BITCOIN (BTC) Price, Analysis, Predictions, and Calculator

According to @rovercrc, BTC illiquid supply has reached new all‑time highs, suggesting more coins are held by entities that rarely sell and implying tighter available float for spot markets (source: Crypto Rover on X, Sep 20, 2025). Illiquid supply refers to coins controlled by holders with minimal spending history, a metric widely used in on‑chain analytics to gauge available float (source: Glassnode Academy, illiquid supply definition). Historically, increases in illiquid supply have coincided with falling exchange reserves and thinner spot liquidity, conditions that can amplify slippage during volatile moves (source: Glassnode research on illiquid supply vs. exchange balances; source: CryptoQuant, Exchange Reserves metric; source: Kaiko research on market depth and slippage). For trading, monitor BTC exchange balances for outflows, spot order book depth across major venues, and spreads to assess liquidity conditions and adjust order sizing and execution tactics accordingly (source: CryptoQuant exchange reserves dashboard; source: Kaiko spot market depth and spread data).

According to @KookCapitalLLC, Hyperliquid embodies fully on-chain, transparent market infrastructure and marks a massive leap forward for market structure, emphasizing auditability for traders; source: https://x.com/KookCapitalLLC/status/1969449830712791494. The post asserts that Bitcoin (BTC) emerged after the 2008 financial crisis to replace opaque black-box banks with an immutable public ledger, highlighting transparency as the core design principle; source: https://x.com/KookCapitalLLC/status/1969449830712791494. The author critiques CZ’s stance, stating he doesn’t get or dislikes this transparency-first ethos, and provides CZ’s post for context; sources: https://x.com/KookCapitalLLC/status/1969449830712791494 and https://x.com/cz_binance/status/1969445370892542393. The core trading takeaway presented by the author is that full market transparency and on-chain execution are becoming non-negotiable features for venues, with Hyperliquid highlighted as the example traders should watch; source: https://x.com/KookCapitalLLC/status/1969449830712791494.

According to @w_thejazz, U.S. equities are higher with S&P 500 at 6,664.36 (+0.49%), NASDAQ at 22,631 (+0.72%), and Dow at 46,315 (+0.37%). According to @w_thejazz, volatility eased with VIX at 15.45 (-1.59%) while Bitcoin is at $116,017 (+0.28%) and gold at $3,671.50 (+0.76%). According to @w_thejazz, oil is weaker at $62.68 (-1.40%) and EUR/USD is 1.1745 (-0.68%), indicating a stronger USD versus EUR in this snapshot. According to @w_thejazz, traders can anchor intraday levels at BTC $116,017 and VIX 15.45 while noting concurrent equity gains and gold strength when assessing cross-asset risk alignment.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin could see a blow-off top soon, flagging an imminent peak risk for BTC price action (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025). A blow-off top typically features a parabolic advance on heavy volume followed by a sharp reversal, a pattern traders watch for exit timing and risk control (source: Investopedia, Blow-Off Top). The post provided no timeframe, price targets, or technical rationale, limiting immediate trade setup parameters (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025).

According to @w_thejazz, BTC-USD is quoted at $116,084.77 with a daily change of +0.34% and monthly gain of +6.26%, indicating sustained upside momentum, source: @w_thejazz. BTC is trading above the 20-day SMA at $113,656.67 and the 50-day SMA at $114,393.93, while RSI at 74.47 signals overbought conditions, source: @w_thejazz. The AI recommendation for BTC is HOLD due to short-term bullish momentum coupled with elevated overbought risk, source: @w_thejazz. BTC target levels are set at $110,280.53 (conservative), $127,693.24 (base), and $145,105.96 (optimistic), with key risks cited as regulatory changes or rapid sentiment shifts, source: @w_thejazz. According to @w_thejazz, XRP-USD is priced at $2.99 with a daily move of -0.02% and a monthly rise of +8.63%, source: @w_thejazz. XRP sits above its 20-day SMA at $2.96 but below the 50-day SMA at $3.00, with RSI at 63.58, and the AI recommendation is HOLD, source: @w_thejazz. The XRP price target is $3.20 with a ±10% range over the next 1–2 months, alongside specific targets of $2.84 (conservative), $3.29 (base), and $3.74 (optimistic), while regulatory scrutiny and legal risks remain the primary volatility drivers, source: @w_thejazz.

According to @saylor, his Bitcoin Treasuries Conference keynote outlined a Digital Treasury Companies model built on digital assets and digital intelligence for the digital economy, delivered on Sep 20, 2025, via Twitter, source: @saylor. According to @saylor, the framework specifies issuing digital securities in equity and credit backed by Bitcoin as digital capital, source: @saylor. According to @saylor, this positions BTC as balance-sheet capital that can back corporate securities issuance, directly linking corporate treasury strategy to Bitcoin holdings, source: @saylor. Traders evaluating corporate Bitcoin adoption narratives can focus on disclosures referencing Bitcoin-backed securities and treasury frameworks aligned with this thesis, source: @saylor.

According to @TATrader_Alan, Bitcoin's 3-day chart suggests BTC may resume its uptrend after a brief pause, indicating a bullish continuation setup on the higher timeframe. Source: Trader Tardigrade on X, Sep 20, 2025. The update references the 3-day timeframe and does not include specific price targets or invalidation levels. Source: Trader Tardigrade on X, Sep 20, 2025.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, only 29 days in Bitcoin’s entire history were unprofitable as of Sep 20, 2025, implying that buys on 99.5 percent of days since launch would be in profit today, source: @MilkRoadDaily. For traders, this data highlights the advantage of time in market and the post explicitly frames the main challenge as holding through volatility, stating that the hardest part of BTC was hodling, source: @MilkRoadDaily. The post does not provide a breakdown by holding period, drawdowns, or fees, so the figures refer to headline historical profitability rather than net returns after costs, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @RhythmicAnalyst, BTC is approaching its recent all‑time high into the end of this month (source: X post by @RhythmicAnalyst, Sep 20, 2025). The author adds that BTC is likely to set a new high next month, indicating a bullish near‑term outlook for breakout‑focused traders (source: X post by @RhythmicAnalyst, Sep 20, 2025). Traders can note the two timing windows highlighted by the author—month‑end for an approach to ATH and next month for a potential new ATH—as key levels to watch (source: X post by @RhythmicAnalyst, Sep 20, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, he is very bullish on BitcoinFi, the intersection of DeFi and BTC, positioning it as a key growth theme for traders (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL on Sep 20, 2025). He disclosed investing in Bitlayer Labs alongside MNCapital_vc, signaling conviction in the project's trajectory (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL on Sep 20, 2025). He stated that Bitlayer's price action is strong, with a pipeline of massive Q4 announcements and continued TVL increases, indicating near-term catalysts to monitor (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL on Sep 20, 2025). Traders may consider tracking Bitlayer Labs' TVL trends and Q4 news flow as potential drivers of BitcoinFi and BTC DeFi sentiment into Q4 2025, per his guidance (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL on Sep 20, 2025).

According to the source, the post asks what 1 BTC could buy in 2030 but provides no data, projections, or price targets. According to the source, there is no methodology, macro assumptions, or on-chain metrics cited, so traders should treat it as engagement content rather than actionable analysis. According to the source, no timeframe, trading levels, or risk disclosures were shared, implying no direct trading signal for BTC. According to the source, the post reflects community interest in long-term Bitcoin valuation but does not include verifiable market signals or catalysts.

According to the source, BTC has logged 135 consecutive daily closes above $100K, making $100K the line-in-the-sand daily-close level for trade planning. Source: X post dated Sep 20, 2025. While Bitcoin’s daily closes hold above $100K, trend bias remains intact on a daily-close basis; a first daily close below $100K would break the 135-day streak and mark a regime shift relative to this period. Source: X post dated Sep 20, 2025. Traders can structure entries, take-profit ladders, and invalidation around the $100K daily-close threshold to manage risk and confirmation. Source: X post dated Sep 20, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total weekly net inflows of $886.5 million, led by IBIT with $866.8 million, alongside inflows to FBTC at $34.7 million, ARKB at $33.4 million, EZBC at $10.1 million, HODL at $14 million, and BTCO at $3.5 million (source: @FarsideUK X post dated Sep 20, 2025 and farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, outflows were concentrated in GBTC at -$86.1 million and BITB at -$29.4 million, while BRRR and BTCW registered zero net flows for the week (source: @FarsideUK X post and farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, IBIT accounted for approximately 97.8% of the week’s net inflows, indicating a concentration of ETF flow leadership in IBIT during the period (source: @FarsideUK X post and farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin ETFs have resumed buying more than the daily BTC supply (source: @caprioleio). The daily Bitcoin supply is the new BTC issued via block rewards, approximately 450 BTC per day since the April 2024 halving reduced the subsidy to 3.125 BTC per block (source: Bitcoin.org).

According to the source, US BTC spot ETFs recorded $223M in net inflows and US ETH ETFs posted $47.8M in net inflows for the day, indicating a flow-positive session across both assets (source). According to the source, BlackRock led issuer flows with $246M into its BTC product and $144M into its ETH product (source).

According to @rovercrc, BlackRock just bought $246.1 million in Bitcoin (BTC), source: @rovercrc on X. The post provides no accompanying official confirmation or regulatory filing, so the claim is unverified as of now, source: @rovercrc on X. Traders should seek confirmation via the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) daily creations/redemptions and the fund’s daily holdings updates on the BlackRock iShares website, source: BlackRock iShares IBIT fund page. Additional cross-checks include ETF flow prints on major market venues and the reported holdings for IBIT, which together would substantiate net spot demand of roughly $246.1 million if reflected in the same-day data, source: Nasdaq ETF listings and BlackRock iShares IBIT daily holdings.

According to @bobbyong, he first read about Bitcoin in 2013 and bought some BTC, highlighting early exposure to the asset class for context on his market perspective. Source: Bobby Ong on X 2025-09-20 https://twitter.com/bobbyong/status/1969254913659322421 He stated a clear preference for long-term timeframes with the line 10 year chart > 1 min chart, reinforcing a long-horizon trading and investing approach for BTC analysis. Source: Bobby Ong on X 2025-09-20 https://twitter.com/bobbyong/status/1969254913659322421 He added that he aimed to build in the industry rather than just trade or invest, eventually brainstorming with TM Lee in Malaysia and deciding to build CoinGecko, providing context on his builder-first stance that aligns with long-term market focus. Source: Bobby Ong on X 2025-09-20 https://twitter.com/bobbyong/status/1969254913659322421

According to the source, the first BTC ATM opened in Vancouver in 2013 at Waves Coffee House on Oct 29, 2013 (source: Reuters). Coin ATM Radar data show global Bitcoin ATM installations peaked near 39,000 in late 2022, dipped in 2023, and recovered to around 38,000 by mid‑2024, supporting a near‑40,000 footprint today (source: Coin ATM Radar). The UK ordered all unregistered crypto ATMs to shut since March 2022, materially curbing deployments in that market (source: UK Financial Conduct Authority). In the U.S., operators are treated as money services businesses and must implement AML/KYC programs, raising compliance costs and shaping rollout pace (source: FinCEN). For trading, a broader ATM network reflects wider fiat on‑ramp availability for retail BTC flows, although ATM fees are typically higher than online exchanges and can restrain volumes (source: U.S. Federal Trade Commission).

According to @rovercrc, a whale opened a 46,000,000 dollar long position on Bitcoin (BTC) in an X post dated Sep 20, 2025. Source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025. The post does not disclose the exchange, instrument type (perpetuals or dated futures), entry price, leverage, or any order or wallet identifier, so the claim cannot be independently verified from the post alone. Source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025. The post provides no screenshots, order links, or on chain transaction hashes, and it cites no corroborating data such as changes in BTC open interest, funding rate, or block flows. Source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025. No immediate price reaction, liquidation levels, or timestamped market impact are mentioned in the post, leaving the trading impact unquantified. Source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025.

According to Farside Investors, US spot Bitcoin ETF net flow for 2025-09-19 totaled +$222.6 million, with iShares IBIT at +$246.1 million and Grayscale GBTC at -$23.5 million, while FBTC, BITB, ARKB, BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, and BTCW all recorded $0. Source: Farside Investors tweet dated 2025-09-20 and data page farside.co.uk/btc. According to Farside Investors, IBIT represented approximately 110.6% of the day’s net flow and GBTC -10.6%, indicating activity was concentrated in these two funds on that date. Source: Farside Investors data at farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock’s US spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) recorded a net inflow of 246.1 million USD in today’s Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow update, source: twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1969247234907623527. Farside Investors states that the full US Bitcoin ETF flow tables, methodology, and disclaimers are available on its dashboard for traders tracking daily creations and redemptions, source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, Bitwise’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded net daily flow of 0 million USD on Sep 20, 2025, indicating no new primary-market inflows or outflows for that day, source: Farside Investors @FarsideUK on X, Sep 20, 2025. According to @FarsideUK, 10% of profits from this Bitwise product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, source: Farside Investors @FarsideUK on X, Sep 20, 2025. According to @FarsideUK, full data and disclaimers are available on the Farside Bitcoin ETF flows dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc, source: Farside BTC ETF dashboard.

According to @FarsideUK, the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO) recorded $0 million net flow in the latest US Bitcoin ETF daily update, based on Farside Investors’ BTC ETF flow tracker data at farside.co.uk/btc, source: @FarsideUK. This indicates no net inflow or outflow for BTCO for the day, per the same Farside Investors dataset, source: @FarsideUK. Traders monitoring spot BTC demand via US ETFs can reference the full issuer-by-issuer flow table and disclaimers on Farside Investors’ dashboard to assess broader market context, source: @FarsideUK.

According to @FarsideUK, the US VanEck Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of $0 million, indicating neutral incremental spot demand for BTC from this issuer today, source: @FarsideUK and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, 5% of profits from this VanEck product are directed to Bitcoin developers, which is a structural commitment but does not imply immediate flow-driven price impact, source: @FarsideUK and farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, flow-sensitive traders should treat the $0 million reading as a no-signal day from VanEck and focus on aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF flows for directional cues, source: @FarsideUK and farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Coinbase Head of Research David Duong says macro conditions and rising institutional participation are the primary catalysts that could drive crypto markets sharply higher, urging traders to tune in for details. Source: https://twitter.com/MilkRoadDaily/status/1969198449317793831 Traders can monitor U.S. CPI trends and FOMC policy signals for risk-asset direction, and track spot Bitcoin ETF net flows as a proxy for institutional demand. Sources: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/ https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy.htm https://www.farside.co.uk/bitcoin-etf-flows/

According to Farside Investors, Fidelity’s US spot Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) recorded net flow of $0 million on Sep 20, 2025, based on the firm’s Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow data at farside.co.uk/btc (source: Farside Investors). Traders tracking BTC can reference aggregate US spot Bitcoin ETF totals and issuer-level breakdowns on the same dashboard to assess broader demand signals (source: Farside Investors).

According to Farside Investors, the Franklin Bitcoin ETF logged US$0 million net flow on Sep 20, 2025 in its Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow update, based on its BTC ETF dashboard data. Source: Farside Investors via X post on Sep 20, 2025 and farside.co.uk/btc. This zero reading indicates no net creations or redemptions were recorded for the Franklin Bitcoin ETF that day in the reported dataset. Source: Farside Investors BTC ETF flow data at farside.co.uk/btc. For traders who monitor flow-driven signals, the reported US$0 million is a neutral data point for ETF-driven BTC demand on the day. Source: Farside Investors BTC ETF flow update and dataset at farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, the US WisdomTree Bitcoin ETF (BTCW) recorded $0 million net flow on Sep 20, 2025, indicating no creations or redemptions for the day (source: Farside Investors tweet and dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, a $0 million net flow reflects flat ETF-driven spot demand or supply from BTCW for the session, signaling a neutral impact on immediate BTC market liquidity from this issuer (source: Farside Investors data at farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, traders tracking marginal demand can interpret BTCW’s flat reading as neither buy-side inflow pressure nor redemption-related selling from this fund today (source: Farside Investors dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc). According to @FarsideUK, ongoing monitoring of issuer-level flows on the Farside Investors dashboard helps gauge intraday BTC order-book dynamics when individual ETFs, such as BTCW, show zero net activity (source: Farside Investors dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) recorded US$0 million net flow on Sep 19, 2025, indicating flat daily primary-market activity for the fund (source: Farside Investors tweet; farside.co.uk/btc). This $0M figure means no net creations or redemptions for ARKB that day, implying no incremental ETF-driven spot BTC demand from this issuer on that date (source: Farside Investors dataset and methodology; farside.co.uk/btc). Traders monitoring BTC microstructure can treat ARKB’s flat flow as neutral in isolation while awaiting aggregated U.S. Bitcoin ETF flows for a fuller liquidity picture (source: Farside Investors dataset; farside.co.uk/btc).

According to @FarsideUK, Grayscale’s spot Bitcoin ETF GBTC recorded $0 million net flow on Sep 19, 2025, indicating no net creations or redemptions for the day. Source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1969177553735741529 and https://farside.co.uk/btc/. ETF net flow tracks primary market creations and redemptions and is used by traders to gauge institutional demand for the underlying asset, a key input for assessing BTC liquidity during US hours. Source: https://www.ishares.com/us/strategies/etf-investing/what-are-etf-flows and https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/insights/etf-primary-secondary.

According to @FarsideUK, Grayscale’s GBTC recorded a -$23.5 million daily net flow, reported on Sep 19, 2025, in Farside Investors’ BTC ETF flow update (twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1969177548685762888; farside.co.uk/btc). Farside directs traders to its BTC ETF tracker for full fund-by-fund flows, data methodology, and disclaimers to monitor spot Bitcoin ETF demand (farside.co.uk/btc).

According to the source, a 12-foot golden statue of Donald Trump holding a Bitcoin appeared outside the U.S. Capitol, described as funded by crypto investors, intended to provoke, and dividing opinion, and the post states it coincided with a Federal Reserve rate cut; no BTC price reaction or market impact data was provided in the source. Source: user-provided social media post dated Sep 19, 2025.

According to the source, a public X post asks where BTC will be 365 days from now and states that one year ago BTC was USD 63,192.98, signaling a sentiment check rather than a forecast, source: X post dated Sep 19, 2025. The post introduces no new data, targets, or guidance that would directly change trading setups, so any impact is limited to sentiment monitoring, source: X post dated Sep 19, 2025.

According to the source, a higher Bitcoin (BTC) network difficulty reduces expected BTC mined per unit of hashrate, compressing miner margins if price and fees are unchanged, as defined by the Bitcoin.org developer guide on difficulty retargeting and block interval targeting (source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide). Luxor’s Hashrate Index shows hashprice (USD revenue per PH per day) declines when difficulty rises absent an offsetting move in BTC price or fees, directly affecting miner profitability and potential selling pressure (source: Luxor Hashrate Index methodology). Miners can remain online if BTC price and transaction fees keep revenue above power and hosting costs, with breakeven driven by electricity rates and ASIC efficiency metrics documented by CCAF benchmarking and hardware specifications (source: Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance; Bitmain product specs). For traders, sustained high BTC price lowers the likelihood of forced miner liquidations; monitoring miner-to-exchange flows, miner reserves, and hashprice provides early warning on supply overhang (source: Glassnode on-chain metrics documentation). Difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks (about two weeks), so each retarget can shift miner economics and near-term sell pressure if price/fees do not move in tandem (source: Bitcoin Core/Bitcoin.org documentation).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, accelerating Bitcoin adoption equates to a mass fiat exodus and is already causing quiet concern among some central banks (source: @Andre_Dragosch, X post dated Sep 19, 2025). Traders can treat this as a medium-term bullish narrative for BTC demand and monitor confirmation via on-chain adoption metrics such as new addresses, active supply, stablecoin net issuance, and BTC dominance for rotation cues (source: @Andre_Dragosch, X post dated Sep 19, 2025). Risk-wise, watch for policy headlines or liquidity shifts from monetary authorities that could spark volatility in BTC pairs and funding rates, and size positions conservatively around such event risk (source: @Andre_Dragosch, X post dated Sep 19, 2025).

According to Eric Balchunas, Bitcoin (BTC) needs to be less volatile and less correlated to equities to credibly challenge gold, and he notes that today's market action helped on the decoupling front. Source: Eric Balchunas on X — https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1969127116437344330 — Sep 19, 2025. He adds that BTC must shake its high-beta tech stock reputation, guiding traders to focus on correlation and volatility metrics when evaluating BTC's store-of-value positioning versus gold. Source: Eric Balchunas on X — https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1969127116437344330 — Sep 19, 2025.

According to the source, BTC options markets show traders paying up for downside protection as put prices outpace calls while 30-day implied volatility sits near a two-year low, indicating elevated demand for hedges despite subdued vol (source: Deribit). This positioning contrasts with supportive macro tailwinds cited in the market, including a recent U.S. policy rate cut and the SEC’s accelerated handling of crypto ETF filings (sources: Federal Reserve; U.S. SEC). For execution, the rich put skew versus low overall IV favors cost-controlled structures such as bear put spreads or protective collars over outright long puts to mitigate theta and skew costs (source: Deribit). Near-term risk management should account for potential sharp moves where skew implies improved downside payoff asymmetry if BTC weakens, while low IV increases carry risk if spot remains stable (source: Deribit).

According to @BitMEXResearch, its new report on The Growth of Bitcoin Merge Mining examines the prevalence of multiple OP_RETURN outputs inside BTC coinbase transactions and frames the debate over whether such data should be considered spam or legitimate merge‑mining metadata (BitMEX Research). According to the Bitcoin Developer Guide, coinbase transactions are constructed by miners, bypass mempool relay policies, and may include arbitrary data, while OP_RETURN outputs are provably unspendable and still count toward block weight (Bitcoin Developer Guide). According to BIP141, Bitcoin’s block weight is capped at 4,000,000 weight units, so additional coinbase data reduces available capacity for fee‑paying transactions and can tighten the BTC fee market during congestion (BIP141). According to Bitcoin Core policy documentation, standardness rules govern relay but not consensus validity, meaning miners can include non‑standard elements in the coinbase without violating consensus rules (Bitcoin Core policy). According to the Bitcoin Wiki’s merged mining overview, merge mining lets miners earn auxiliary‑chain rewards at little additional cost, which can influence the trade‑off between including coinbase data commitments and prioritizing fee‑paying transactions—an incentive dynamic traders should monitor when assessing near‑term BTC on‑chain fee pressure (Bitcoin Wiki: Merged Mining).

According to the source, US Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded $163 million in net inflows on Sept 18, while US Ethereum (ETH) ETFs led with $213 million, indicating stronger daily net creations in ETH products versus BTC, source: the provided Twitter post dated Sep 19, 2025. For traders, the positive net creations across BTC and ETH highlight risk-on demand for US-listed crypto ETFs and warrant monitoring for follow-through in subsequent sessions, source: the provided Twitter post dated Sep 19, 2025.

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) mining difficulty has reached a new all-time high. In Bitcoin, difficulty retargets every 2016 blocks and a higher difficulty indicates rising network hashrate (Bitcoin Core documentation). Higher difficulty lowers BTC-denominated revenue per unit of hashrate, compressing miner margins and reducing hashprice, a key revenue proxy for miners (Luxor Hashrate Index). Revenue stress can increase miner BTC sales and affect exchange flows and near-term liquidity, which traders track via miner reserves and miner-to-exchange flows (Coin Metrics). Profitability remains more resilient for low-cost power and latest‑gen ASIC fleets, while high‑cost operators face elevated shutdown risk when fees are subdued (Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance CBECI; Luxor Hashrate Index equipment efficiency data). Near term, watch the next difficulty projection, hashprice, transaction fees, and miner reserve balances for potential impacts on BTC spot liquidity and volatility (Bitcoin Core documentation; Luxor Hashrate Index; Coin Metrics).

According to the source, Bitcoin could test 120,000 after a Federal Reserve rate cut, with traders potentially needing about one week to digest the impact, suggesting a near-term consolidation window before the next move. The source also reports that 92 percent expect another Fed cut in October, reinforcing a bullish bias for BTC and risk assets in the short term. For trade setup, the source’s guidance implies watching the 120,000 psychological level on upside breaks and managing risk during the one-week digestion period.

According to the source, the crypto market is rebounding with Aster leading gains while Bitcoin BTC, Cardano ADA, and Near Protocol NEAR display mixed technical signals, source: the provided post. No additional price levels, indicators, or timeframes were disclosed for these assets, which limits immediate trade setup detail, source: the provided post.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin’s (BTC) Bollinger Bands are heavily contracting, flagging a volatility squeeze that has preceded large moves in prior bull trends, source: @rovercrc on X. In Bollinger methodology, a squeeze indicates impending volatility expansion but not direction; traders typically wait for a decisive close outside the bands with rising volume for confirmation and treat re-entries back inside the bands as failed breaks, source: John Bollinger, Bollinger on Bollinger Bands (McGraw-Hill). Risk management commonly centers on placing triggers just beyond the upper or lower band and using the middle band (20-day SMA) or recent range extremes for stops to reduce whipsaw risk during squeezes, source: John Bollinger, Bollinger on Bollinger Bands (McGraw-Hill).

According to @EleanorTerrett, a new X broadcast highlights that crypto ETFs are taking off and spotlights SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s “sorry not sorry” posture, putting ETF flows and regulatory tone in focus for near-term BTC and ETH trading setups — source: @EleanorTerrett on X, Sep 19, 2025. The SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs on Jan 10, 2024 and later approved spot Ethereum ETFs in 2024, and these products use creation and redemption processes that require buying or selling the underlying assets — source: U.S. SEC approval orders for spot Bitcoin and spot Ethereum ETFs, 2024. Traders can track net creations or redemptions, premiums or discounts, and volume around U.S. market open and close to gauge liquidity-led volatility when ETF demand shifts — source: ETF mechanism described in SEC approval filings, 2024.

According to @BitMEXResearch, transaction accelerator services are an example of out-of-band fees on Bitcoin, where fees are arranged outside the public mempool process. Source: https://blog.bitmex.com/miner-fee-gathering-capability-part-2-out-of-band-fees/; https://x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1969067597372027389 According to @BitMEXResearch, if out-of-band fees become very popular, this is potentially bad for Bitcoin’s decentralisation and therefore its censorship resistance. Source: https://blog.bitmex.com/miner-fee-gathering-capability-part-2-out-of-band-fees/; https://x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1969067597372027389 According to @BitMEXResearch, the article examines private fee arrangements between users and miners and outlines the decentralization and censorship-resistance risks associated with these out-of-band mechanisms. Source: https://blog.bitmex.com/miner-fee-gathering-capability-part-2-out-of-band-fees/ According to @BitMEXResearch, this research highlights a network-structure risk that traders focused on BTC fundamentals can monitor when evaluating fee-market dynamics and miner behavior. Source: https://blog.bitmex.com/miner-fee-gathering-capability-part-2-out-of-band-fees/

According to @StockMKTNewz, Apple CEO Tim Cook told CNBC that recent price increases on select iPhone models are not related to tariffs, stating, “There’s no increase for tariffs in the prices to be totally clear.” Source: @StockMKTNewz on X; CNBC interview with Tim Cook. For traders, this indicates current iPhone average selling price changes are driven by non-tariff factors, reducing immediate tariff pass-through risk in Apple pricing headlines. Source: Tim Cook remarks via CNBC as relayed by @StockMKTNewz. Because Bitcoin and major tech equities have shown higher correlation since 2020–2022, shifts in mega-cap tech sentiment such as AAPL headlines can influence BTC risk appetite. Source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More In Sync With Stocks (2022).

According to @Trader_XO, BTC continues to meet resistance at 117.2-117.6 and he remains positioned from the 117s for a rotation down until proven otherwise; source: XO (@Trader_XO) on X, Sep 19, 2025, https://x.com/Trader_XO/status/1969055769883455975

According to @lookonchain, across 10 Bitcoin ETFs, net inflows totaled +1,205 BTC (+$139.75M) on Sept 19, with Fidelity contributing 828 BTC (+$96.09M) and aggregate holdings at 207,370 BTC ($24.05B). Source: @lookonchain on X, Sept 19, 2025. According to @lookonchain, across 9 Ethereum ETFs, net inflows were +41,150 ETH (+$185.17M), with BlackRock adding 34,688 ETH (+$156.1M) and aggregate holdings at 817,134 ETH ($3.68B). Source: @lookonchain on X, Sept 19, 2025. According to @lookonchain, based on the reported figures, Fidelity captured roughly 69% of the BTC ETF net inflows (828/1,205) and BlackRock about 84% of the ETH ETF net inflows (34,688/41,150), with combined BTC+ETH ETF net inflows around $324.92M for the day. Source: @lookonchain on X, Sept 19, 2025.

According to the source, US rate cuts have begun, creating a divergence where macro turns risk-on while crypto signals caution, so position sizing should wait for market confirmation rather than headlines, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. Key watch items highlighted are BTC performance versus global USD liquidity for timing beta exposure, exchange net flows turning positive as confirmation, and ETH leadership over BTC before rotating into higher-beta alts, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. GDP and bank lending softness are cited as context for why the Fed is cutting, while equities shifting to risk-on provides a supportive backdrop once crypto microstructure improves, keeping the stance bullish but careful, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. The discussion also covers a Bitcoin cycle update and names to monitor such as KGeN and Figure Markets as part of the broader market landscape, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025.

According to BitMEX Research on X dated Sep 19, 2025, an email from OCEAN pool board member Bob Burnett from May 2025 is highlighted alleging OCEAN is actively campaigning to materially degrade the open, censorship-resistant public mempool and may seek to compete with it via a private closed system, focusing on Bitcoin network transaction flow and mempool policy (source: BitMEX Research, X, Sep 19, 2025). The post includes a screenshot and link referencing the email and does not present quantitative data or an official confirmation from OCEAN within the thread (source: BitMEX Research, X, Sep 19, 2025). The claim centers on potential replacement or competition with the public mempool by a mining pool, which directly pertains to BTC transaction propagation paths referenced in the post (source: BitMEX Research, X, Sep 19, 2025). The thread was retweeted by FarsideUK, indicating the claim has broader community visibility on the same date (source: BitMEX Research, X, Sep 19, 2025).

According to Lookonchain, two newly created wallets withdrew a combined 851 BTC worth about $99 million from exchanges today, indicating whale accumulation, source: Lookonchain on X, Sep 19, 2025. Lookonchain shared Arkham Intelligence explorer links for the Bitcoin addresses to verify the on-chain withdrawals, source: Lookonchain and Arkham Intelligence. Lookonchain explicitly characterized the activity as whales accumulating BTC based on the observed exchange outflows, source: Lookonchain. Traders can monitor BTC exchange balances and subsequent price action for confirmation of sustained accumulation following the reported outflows, source: Lookonchain.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is breaking lower with weaker signs and no confirmation yet, indicating near-term downside pressure to monitor for traders, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 19, 2025. He also noted Japan’s session was corrective and expects the U.S. open could be corrective as well, making the U.S. cash open a key intraday catalyst for BTC volatility, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 19, 2025.

According to @TATrader_Alan, the DOGE/BTC monthly pair is nearing a MACD bullish crossover following a bullish divergence, echoing conditions seen before the 2021 DogeSeason rally. Source: @TATrader_Alan on X, Sep 19, 2025. A MACD bullish cross occurs when the MACD line rises above the signal line, indicating strengthening upside momentum. Source: Investopedia, MACD Indicator. A rising DOGE/BTC ratio reflects DOGE outperforming BTC on a relative basis. Source: Binance Academy, Crypto Trading Pairs.

According to @santimentfeed, the Federal Reserve officially lowered interest rates and traders largely got what they wanted, putting the focus on whether the move was already priced into BTC and broader crypto markets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, analysis centers on potential further rate cuts and how the policy path could influence risk appetite and year-end sentiment across digital assets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, heightened social buzz around Trump's Bitcoin statue is being assessed for its impact on market sentiment and positioning (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, traders should monitor post-FOMC price reaction, shifts in sentiment into year-end, and narrative-driven volatility that could affect BTC dominance (source: @santimentfeed).

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the count of public companies with at least 1,000 BTC on balance sheets has reached 49 following the addition of another Bitcoin treasury company, source: X post by @Andre_Dragosch. The updated figure is referenced to BTC Treasuries, providing a current data point for traders tracking corporate BTC holdings, source: X post by BTC Treasuries.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Japan’s stock market fell by about 2.5%, highlighting a volatile backdrop for today’s trading session. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 19, 2025. He adds that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently testing a crucial resistance area, with uncertainty about an immediate breakout. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 19, 2025. He signals a preference to buy potential dips rather than chase a breakout if price rejects at resistance. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 19, 2025.

According to @smtgpt, the book The Treasury of Michael Saylor explains Bitcoin from first principles starting with energy, then covers its economic, technical, and philosophical foundations, which are core to building a BTC trading thesis (source: @smtgpt on X, Sep 19, 2025). According to @smtgpt, the book includes extensive visuals that simplify complex topics, improving retention for market participants evaluating BTC narratives and fundamentals (source: @smtgpt on X, Sep 19, 2025). According to @smtgpt, he highly recommends the book for anyone seeking to truly understand Bitcoin before making investment decisions (source: @smtgpt on X, Sep 19, 2025).

According to the source, Michigan’s Bitcoin (BTC) reserve bill has moved forward after months of delay, marking renewed state-level legislative activity relevant to regulatory headline tracking; source: provided social media post dated Sep 19, 2025.

According to the source, US crypto ETF flows on Sept. 18 show about $163M of BTC and $213.1M of ETH were bought, indicating net inflows that day; source: social media post dated Sep 19, 2025. In ETF mechanics, net creations require authorized participants to acquire the underlying assets, channeling demand into spot BTC and ETH markets; source: U.S. SEC Investor Bulletin on Exchange-Traded Funds. ETH purchases exceeded BTC by roughly $50.1M on the day, highlighting stronger net demand in ETH ETFs during that session; source: social media post dated Sep 19, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK, US spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs saw total net inflows of $163 million on 2025-09-18, comprised of FBTC +$97.4M, ARKB +$25M, BITB +$12.8M, BTCO +$3.5M, EZBC +$6.8M, HODL +$6.6M, and BTC +$10.9M, while IBIT, GBTC, BRRR, and BTCW posted $0 and no outflows were reported (source: Farside Investors, farside.co.uk/btc). Inflow concentration was led by FBTC capturing about 60% of the day’s net total and ARKB about 15%, with 7 of 11 funds positive and aggregate inflows excluding FBTC at $65.6M, indicating broad but top-heavy demand across issuers (source: Farside Investors).

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) posted $0 million net flow in the US spot Bitcoin ETF market on Sep 19, 2025, based on the firm’s daily tracker. Source: twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1968884813927993366; farside.co.uk/btc. A $0 net flow indicates creations matched redemptions, implying no net primary-market buy or sell pressure from IBIT for the session. Source: investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/investment-products/exchange-traded-funds-etfs. For traders, this means monitoring cross-issuer ETF flows and spot BTC order flow for directional cues, as IBIT did not contribute incremental primary-market demand or supply today. Source: farside.co.uk/btc; investor.gov/introduction-investing/investing-basics/investment-products/exchange-traded-funds-etfs.

According to the source, Michigan House Bill 4087 advanced to a House second reading and was referred to the Committee on Government Operations, signaling renewed legislative momentum for a state-level crypto allocation framework; source: Michigan Legislature HB 4087 bill history. The measure authorizes investing up to 10% of eligible state funds in cryptocurrency if enacted, defining a ceiling for treasury exposure to digital assets; source: Michigan Legislature HB 4087 bill text. If passed, such authorization could expand institutional access and demand for BTC and ETH by enabling state treasury allocations, echoing the allocation channels observed after US spot Bitcoin ETFs launched; sources: BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust product updates and SEC EDGAR filings for spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to the source, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said NBA star Kevin Durant has regained access to a Coinbase account that had been locked for nearly a decade, based on a social media update dated Sep 19, 2025 (source: social media post, Sep 19, 2025). The source did not disclose any BTC balance, transaction history, or wallet identifiers tied to Durant, leaving no on-chain or PnL data to analyze at this time (source: social media post, Sep 19, 2025). With no disclosed flows or amounts, this is a sentiment-driven headline; traders can monitor BTC spot volumes, intraday volatility around U.S. hours, and Coinbase (COIN) sentiment for any short-term attention effects (source: disclosure status in the social media post, Sep 19, 2025).

According to @JasonSoraVC, Sora Ventures will work with Columbia University Teachers College to initiate a new department dedicated to teaching Bitcoin and Web3, source: @JasonSoraVC. The announcement did not disclose timelines, curriculum scope, funding details, or partnerships with specific blockchains, and it mentioned no token issuance or direct BTC integration, source: @JasonSoraVC. Based on the information provided, the post identifies no immediate on-chain or market-structure catalysts, source: @JasonSoraVC.

According to @FarsideUK, Bitwise’s Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of US$12.8 million; full dataset and disclaimers are available at farside.co.uk/btc, source: @FarsideUK; farside.co.uk/btc. @FarsideUK also states that 10% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, source: @FarsideUK.

According to Farside Investors, the Franklin Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of US$6.8 million on Sep 19, 2025. Source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1968838340888690839 Traders can verify the direction (inflow or outflow), cross-issuer totals, and net aggregates on Farside’s full US spot BTC ETF flow table for the day. Source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/

According to @FarsideUK, the Invesco US Bitcoin ETF recorded a US$3.5 million daily flow, with the figure published via Farside Investors on X on Sep 19, 2025 and supported by the dataset and disclaimers at farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, Fidelity’s US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a $97.4 million daily flow on Sep 19, 2025, with the dataset published on the Farside Investors ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc, source: Farside Investors. If the flow is positive, it indicates creations exceeded redemptions; under Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust (FBTC) cash-creation mechanics, new shares are created with cash and the sponsor purchases BTC to back them, adding underlying demand, source: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust prospectus filed with the SEC. For trading, monitoring whether flows remain positive across consecutive sessions can help gauge short-term BTC liquidity and institutional bid during US trading hours using the Farside Investors daily series for confirmation, source: Farside Investors and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust prospectus.

According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), the WisdomTree US spot Bitcoin ETF posted US$0 million in net daily flow on Sep 18, 2025 (source: https://twitter.com/FarsideUK/status/1968826255442096585; source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/). This print indicates no net creations or redemptions were recorded for WisdomTree’s product that day as per Farside’s Bitcoin ETF flow dashboard methodology (source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/). Traders can reference Farside’s issuer-level daily flow time series to contextualize BTC ETF demand dynamics across U.S. spot issuers, including WisdomTree (source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/).

According to @FarsideUK, the VanEck US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily flow of $6.6 million, a key datapoint traders track for BTC spot demand via ETF activity, source: @FarsideUK. The issuer allocates 5% of profits from this ETF to Bitcoin developers, which may support the network’s long-term resilience relevant to institutional adoption, source: @FarsideUK. Full dataset and disclaimers are available at farside.co.uk/btc for cross-checking aggregate US spot BTC ETF flows, source: @FarsideUK; farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @FarsideUK, Ark’s Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net flow of $25 million on Sep 18, 2025; source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) post on X and the flows dashboard at https://farside.co.uk/btc/. Farside’s dashboard aggregates issuer-level and total Bitcoin ETF creations/redemptions, enabling traders to compare single-day figures with recent trends and cumulative totals for momentum assessment; source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/. For trading context, check whether total Bitcoin ETF net flow was positive or negative on the same date to gauge whether BTC demand was broad-based or concentrated; source: @FarsideUK and https://farside.co.uk/btc/.

According to @FarsideUK, GBTC (Grayscale) reported a US$0 million net flow for the day on Sep 18, 2025, based on Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow dataset, source: @FarsideUK, source: farside.co.uk/btc. For trading, a zero net flow denotes no net creations or redemptions in GBTC for the session under standard ETF mechanics, signaling neutral primary-market pressure from GBTC on BTC liquidity today, source: @FarsideUK for the flow reading, source: U.S. SEC Investor Bulletin on Exchange-Traded Funds for creation/redemption mechanics. Traders can monitor whether neutrality holds across other U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs via Farside’s aggregated dashboard updates to gauge flow-driven context, source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to Farside Investors, the US spot Bitcoin ETF daily net flow for Grayscale (GBTC) was $10.9 million on Sep 18, 2025. Source: Farside Investors on X (Sep 18, 2025) and farside.co.uk/btc. According to Farside Investors, the figure is part of its issuer-level dashboard tracking US spot Bitcoin ETF net flows for trading analysis. Source: farside.co.uk/btc.

According to @business, global investors have shifted from a Sell America mindset to Hedge America, driving a rush into short-dollar wagers rather than dumping U.S. assets, source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/-hedge-america-trade-fuels-global-rush-into-short-dollar-wagers. For trading, this implies mounting USD downside hedges that can increase FX volatility around DXY and ripple through USD-quoted risk pairs such as BTC-USD and ETH-USD, source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/-hedge-america-trade-fuels-global-rush-into-short-dollar-wagers. Crypto traders should closely track dollar momentum, USD funding conditions, and positioning into key USD data as short-dollar flows evolve, aligning entries and risk with DXY inflection points, source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/-hedge-america-trade-fuels-global-rush-into-short-dollar-wagers.

According to @52kskew, BTC’s 4-hour trend remains intact with price consolidating above $117,000, maintaining a bullish structure while this level holds. Source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025. The post flags $117,000 as the key level to monitor, where a break above the consolidation would signal continuation and a 4H close back below would raise trend-risk for longs. Source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025.

According to @52kskew, BTC market positioning remains heavily skewed to shorts and may be close to net short, signaling crowding on the short side of the market (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025). According to @52kskew, there is absorption of spot buyers around 117.8K USD, marking a key order flow level where buy pressure is being met by supply (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025). According to @52kskew, Spot CVD is increasing while price shows flat highs and a retracement, indicating aggressive spot buying is not yet breaking through resistance (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025). Based on these observations reported by @52kskew, traders can monitor 117.8K USD as a pivotal absorption zone and track Spot CVD against flat highs for signals of continuation or failure (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025).

According to BitMEX Research, when Bitcoin nodes materially disagree on transaction relay rules, the less stringent and incentive-compatible relay policy tends to prevail across the network. Source: BitMEX Research on X, Sep 18, 2025, x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1968746527414780015 For traders, the practical takeaway is that transaction propagation and inclusion likelihoods will align with policies that relay a broader set of transactions when such policies match miner incentives, shaping which transactions reach miners during policy disputes. Source: BitMEX Research on X, Sep 18, 2025, x.com/BitMEXResearch/status/1968746527414780015; Bitcoin Core release notes and policy documentation on transaction relay and mempool behavior, bitcoincore.org/en/releases/ and github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin

According to the source, prediction odds for XRP reaching a new all-time high have risen while odds tied to Bitcoin (BTC) dominance have declined, indicating a repricing between expected XRP strength and BTC market share (source: provided post). The source indicates these probability shifts are pertinent for positioning in XRP spot and XRP/BTC pairs, and for managing exposure linked to Bitcoin dominance indices and altcoin baskets (source: provided post). The source adds that traders should monitor XRP/BTC and Bitcoin dominance gauges to align positioning with the updated odds (source: provided post).

According to the source, Bitcoin dominance has declined as altcoins rally, source: public social media post dated Sep 18, 2025. The source also states that institutions continue purchasing BTC through ETFs and adding BTC to corporate treasuries, source: public social media post dated Sep 18, 2025. For trading, this combination suggests potential relative strength in select altcoins while institutional demand may provide a support base for BTC, source: public social media post dated Sep 18, 2025.

According to @richrines, a Bitcoin Staking ETP is now live on the London Stock Exchange, described as physically backed, fully regulated, and powered by Core’s self-custodial BTC staking. According to @richrines, the product is associated with DeFi Technologies (DeFiTechGlobal) and Valour Funds, highlighting the issuers behind the listing. According to CoreDAO’s official X post referenced by @richrines, Core’s self-custodial BTC staking underpins the ETP’s design. According to @richrines, this creates an LSE-listed, regulated vehicle for BTC exposure with a staking component that traders can track on the UK exchange.

According to the source, Bitcoin mining margins have tightened since the April 2024 halving cut the block subsidy to 3.125 BTC, reducing baseline issuance-linked revenue by 50 percent, per BTC.com halving data. Network difficulty and hashrate pushed to record highs through 2024, diluting revenue per terahash and raising the cost to find a block, according to Hashrate Index metrics by Luxor. At power prices around 7–10 cents per kWh, many older S19-class ASICs operate near or below cash break-even post-halving, based on Hashrate Index breakeven models and Bitmain efficiency specifications. For trading, monitor hashprice (USD/TH/day), difficulty adjustments, and the fee share of miner revenue; increases in fees or declines in difficulty can temporarily lift miner margins and reduce sell pressure, per Hashrate Index data and mempool fee statistics. On-chain analytics show miner-to-exchange BTC flows tend to rise when hashprice compresses, which can add incremental supply pressure on BTC, according to Glassnode research.

According to Ki Young Ju, he is bullish on Bitcoin due to heavy on-chain capital inflows, stressing there is way too much capital coming in, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Sep 18, 2025. He explicitly links his bullish BTC stance to these on-chain inflows, source: Ki Young Ju on X, Sep 18, 2025.

According to the source, Bitcoin dominance is slipping as a broad altcoin rally takes hold. According to the source, traders are watching how low BTC.D could fall, implying rotation risk into large-cap altcoins and potential outperformance in alt/BTC pairs.

According to the source, Bitcoin ETFs ended a seven-day investment streak in what it described as a healthy rebalancing, confirming a pause in net inflows to BTC funds on Sep 18, 2025, source: user-provided tweet.

According to @bobbyong, TradFi fund managers have no crypto allocation and BTC has been the best-performing asset class of the decade, urging traders not to trust bankers and to rely on their own crypto skills, source: @bobbyong on X, Sep 18, 2025, https://twitter.com/bobbyong/status/1968685012397514954. The post conveys a bullish retail stance on BTC and highlights a view of institutional underallocation, source: @bobbyong on X, Sep 18, 2025, https://twitter.com/bobbyong/status/1968685012397514954.

According to Lookonchain, Sept 18 ETF flow data show 10 Bitcoin ETFs recorded net flow of -209 BTC (-$24.59M), with Fidelity outflows of 1,003 BTC ($118.13M) and current holdings of 206,541 BTC ($24.33B), while 9 Ethereum ETFs recorded net flow of -2,430 ETH (-$11.23M), with Fidelity outflows of 6,488 ETH ($29.98M) and current holdings of 782,446 ETH ($3.61B), source: Lookonchain on X, Sep 18, 2025, x.com/lookonchain/status/1968685106748666065.

According to @lookonchain, wallets attributed to the Royal Government of Bhutan transferred 913 BTC valued at about $107 million to two new addresses on Sept 18, 2025, based on Arkham Intelligence on-chain entity labels for Druk Holding Investments. According to @lookonchain, the tagged entity still holds 9,652 BTC valued at roughly $1.13 billion per Arkham Intelligence data. According to @lookonchain, the movement was to two newly created wallets rather than known exchange deposit addresses, referencing Arkham Intelligence’s entity explorer for Druk Holding Investments.

According to the source, a social post claims the Government of Laos has confirmed plans to mine Bitcoin (BTC). Source: user-provided social media post. Context for traders: Laos previously approved a pilot for crypto mining and trading in 2021 to boost state revenues, signaling policy openness toward regulated mining. Source: Reuters, Sep 13, 2021. Actionable watchlist: - Official confirmation and details: Monitor Government of Lao PDR channels, the Ministry of Energy and Mines, and Electricité du Laos (EDL) for any decree, power-allocation terms, capacity targets, and partners, as these determine economics and deployment pace. Source: Asian Development Bank (ADB) Lao PDR Energy Sector Assessment 2022. - Network impact: Material state-backed capacity would add to global hashrate and, by protocol, feed into difficulty adjustments roughly every 2016 blocks (~two weeks), reducing BTC mined per unit of hashrate as difficulty rises. Source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide; Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) CBECI. - Miner equities and rigs: Rising difficulty lowers BTC output per TH/s, compressing margins for high-cost miners; listed miners explicitly disclose sensitivity to network difficulty in filings. Source: Riot Platforms, Inc. Form 10-K (2023); Bitcoin.org Developer Guide. - Energy mix considerations: Laos’ grid is hydro-dominant, so wet-season surplus used for mining would imply a different emissions profile versus fossil-heavy grids, a factor some ESG-focused funds track. Source: ADB Lao PDR Energy Sector Assessment 2022; CCAF Bitcoin mining electricity research. Trading takeaway: Await an official government notice before positioning; if confirmed, watch BTC difficulty, miner production updates, ASIC procurement headlines, and regional power pricing for timing and scale clues. Source: Government of Lao PDR and EDL official communications; Bitcoin.org protocol documentation; CCAF.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin topside liquidity is being grabbed right now, indicating active execution of buy-side stops above recent highs in the BTC order book. Source: https://twitter.com/rovercrc/status/1968609944351174787 A liquidity grab commonly aligns with stop hunting, where price runs above resistance to trigger clustered stop orders before either continuation or reversal. Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stophunting.asp For traders, such liquidity sweeps often precede heightened short-term volatility and potential bull traps if breakouts fail, so confirmation is typically required before positioning. Source: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bulltrap.asp

According to @OnchainLens, the Royal Government of Bhutan transferred 343.1 BTC (about $40.18M) to a new wallet tracked by Arkham Intelligence. Sources: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/1968606314575311077, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/druk-holding-investments. @OnchainLens indicates the funds are likely headed to a centralized exchange as seen in prior activity tied to Druk Holding & Investments, so traders should monitor the cited wallet for subsequent transfers to known CEX deposit addresses. Sources: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/1968606314575311077, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/druk-holding-investments, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1q0xxr33rj7609rjl82eqsuyveyhlqk52sg2espgvwxyy93clq07aqp29tff. A confirmed CEX deposit from this wallet would imply potential near-term sell-side supply; monitoring the Arkham address page and exchange inflow dashboards can help gauge timing and impact. Sources: https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/1968606314575311077, https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/bc1q0xxr33rj7609rjl82eqsuyveyhlqk52sg2espgvwxyy93clq07aqp29tff

According to @glassnode, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have returned to net inflows, with recent activity firmly in positive territory (source: Glassnode). According to @glassnode, this pattern underscores institutional demand as a key pillar of market support while BTC price edges toward cycle highs (source: Glassnode).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is testing a crucial resistance zone, and whether price breaks through this area is the immediate market focus for traders. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 18, 2025. He adds that once Bitcoin stabilizes, large breakouts across altcoins are likely, pointing to a potential rotation setup to watch. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 18, 2025.

According to Charles Edwards, Metaplanet is in a -73% drawdown, has been making infrequent Bitcoin (BTC) purchases, and its mNAV is collapsing toward 1; source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Sep 18, 2025. For traders, Edwards’ remarks focus attention on two key drivers to monitor: the frequency of BTC treasury additions and the mNAV trajectory toward 1; source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Sep 18, 2025. Edwards also states that all treasury company mNAVs trend toward 1 over time, underscoring convergence risk when evaluating Metaplanet equity versus holding BTC directly; source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Sep 18, 2025.

According to @FarsideUK, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted a total net outflow of $51.3 million on 2025-09-17, indicating redemptions exceeded creations that day, source: Farside Investors. IBIT recorded +$149.7 million of inflows, while outflows were led by FBTC at -$116 million, GBTC at -$62.6 million, ARKB at -$32.3 million, and BITB at -$12.6 million, with BTCO, EZBC, BRRR, HODL, and BTCW all reporting 0 flow, source: Farside Investors. Farside also reported BTC: 22.5 for the session and pointed to its data and disclaimers page at farside.co.uk/btc, source: Farside Investors.

According to Farside Investors, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recorded a US$149.7 million daily net inflow on Sep 18, 2025 (source: Farside Investors; Farside BTC ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc/). In US spot Bitcoin ETFs, net inflows represent primary market share creations that increase the trust’s bitcoin holdings and require purchasing additional BTC to back new shares (source: iShares Bitcoin Trust prospectus filed with the U.S. SEC). For trading, this inflow indicates incremental spot BTC demand entering via the ETF channel that participants can monitor alongside price and liquidity using the Farside dashboard (source: iShares Bitcoin Trust prospectus; Farside BTC ETF flow dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc/).

According to @52kskew, BTC’s Asia TWAP activity seems to be back, signaling the reappearance of a time-weighted trading pattern during the Asian session (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025). No direction, price levels, or timeframe specifics were provided beyond the observation (source: @52kskew on X, Sep 18, 2025).

According to the source, Michael Saylor stated there will be "thousands and thousands" of crypto treasury companies, pointing to a broad corporate adoption outlook for digital-asset treasury management and Bitcoin (BTC). Source: social post dated Sep 18, 2025.

According to Farside Investors, Fidelity’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a daily net outflow of $116 million, as reported on Sep 18, 2025. According to Farside Investors, the figure reflects the latest update in its US Bitcoin ETF daily flow tracker. According to Farside Investors, full dataset details and methodology are available on its website farside.co.uk/btc/.

According to @FarsideUK, Bitwise’s US Bitcoin ETF recorded a net daily outflow of $12.6 million in the latest Bitcoin ETF Daily Flow update. Source: Farside Investors on X (Sep 18, 2025) and Farside Bitcoin ETF flows page at farside.co.uk/btc. According to @FarsideUK, 10% of profits from this product are allocated to Bitcoin developers, with data and disclaimers available at farside.co.uk/btc. Source: Farside Investors on X and Farside Bitcoin ETF flows page at farside.co.uk/btc.

According to Farside Investors (@FarsideUK), Franklin Templeton’s US spot Bitcoin ETF (EZBC) recorded $0 million in daily net flow. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) tweet and flows dashboard at farside.co.uk/btc/. With net flow at zero, the fund added no net ETF-driven buy or sell pressure to BTC markets from this issuer for the session. Source: Farside Investors (@FarsideUK) data at farside.co.uk/btc/.