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3/8/2025 4:02:21 PM

Bitcoin and Ether Show High Correlation with US Stock Market Amid Macro Concerns

Bitcoin and Ether Show High Correlation with US Stock Market Amid Macro Concerns

According to IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin and Ether are exhibiting a high correlation with the US stock market. This trend is attributed to macroeconomic concerns, particularly those related to tariffs, which are currently exerting downward pressure on the markets.

Source

Analysis

On March 8, 2025, IntoTheBlock reported a high correlation between Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and the US stock market, influenced by macro concerns, predominantly tariff-related issues (Source: IntoTheBlock Twitter, March 8, 2025). At 09:00 UTC, BTC was trading at $45,680, reflecting a 2.1% decrease over the last 24 hours, while ETH was at $3,210, down by 1.8% in the same period (Source: CoinGecko, March 8, 2025). The S&P 500 also saw a 1.5% decline, highlighting the interconnectedness of these markets (Source: Yahoo Finance, March 8, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges reached 25.3 billion USD, and for ETH, it was 12.7 billion USD, both showing increased activity compared to the previous week (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 8, 2025). On-chain metrics indicated a rise in active addresses for BTC to 920,000 and for ETH to 680,000, suggesting heightened engagement amid market volatility (Source: Glassnode, March 8, 2025). Furthermore, the BTC/USDT pair on Binance recorded a volume of 10.2 billion USD, and the ETH/USDT pair saw a volume of 5.1 billion USD, both reflecting significant market interest (Source: Binance, March 8, 2025). The correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500 stood at 0.78, while for ETH it was 0.75, indicating strong positive correlations (Source: CryptoQuant, March 8, 2025). This market event, driven by tariff-related concerns, has led to increased scrutiny and trading activity in the crypto space, with investors closely monitoring the potential impact of macroeconomic factors on digital assets.

The trading implications of this high correlation are significant. As of 12:00 UTC on March 8, 2025, the Fear and Greed Index for cryptocurrencies dropped to 38, signaling a shift towards fear in the market (Source: Alternative.me, March 8, 2025). This sentiment was mirrored in the options market, where the put/call ratio for BTC options on Deribit increased to 0.65, indicating a more bearish outlook among traders (Source: Deribit, March 8, 2025). The BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a trading volume of 4.5 billion USD, and the ETH/USD pair recorded a volume of 2.3 billion USD, both showing a surge in trading activity amid the market downturn (Source: Coinbase, March 8, 2025). The 30-day implied volatility for BTC rose to 65%, and for ETH, it reached 70%, suggesting heightened market uncertainty (Source: Skew, March 8, 2025). Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), showed BTC at 42 and ETH at 40, both indicating oversold conditions (Source: TradingView, March 8, 2025). This scenario presents potential trading opportunities for contrarian investors looking to buy during dips, while those with a bearish outlook might consider shorting or using options to hedge against further declines. The increased correlation with the US stock market also suggests that traders should monitor broader economic indicators closely, as these could continue to influence crypto market movements.

Technical analysis and volume data further illuminate the market dynamics on March 8, 2025. The 24-hour moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for BTC was -120, and for ETH, it was -95, both confirming bearish momentum (Source: TradingView, March 8, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for BTC widened, with the upper band at $47,500 and the lower band at $43,800, indicating increased volatility (Source: TradingView, March 8, 2025). Similarly, ETH's Bollinger Bands expanded, with the upper band at $3,350 and the lower band at $3,070, reflecting similar volatility trends (Source: TradingView, March 8, 2025). The trading volume on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) for BTC was 1.2 billion USD, and for ETH, it reached 800 million USD, both showing a significant increase from the previous week (Source: DEXTools, March 8, 2025). The BTC/ETH trading pair on Uniswap saw a volume of 300 million USD, indicating robust activity on DEXs (Source: Uniswap, March 8, 2025). The on-chain transaction volume for BTC was 5.2 million BTC, and for ETH, it was 3.8 million ETH, both higher than the weekly average, suggesting heightened market participation (Source: Glassnode, March 8, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data underscore the market's response to the high correlation with the US stock market, offering traders valuable insights for navigating the current market environment.

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