Bitcoin's recent price action has captured the attention of traders worldwide, with a potential retest of the $112,000 level emerging as a key support zone. According to cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe, this retest could be beneficial for Bitcoin, aligning with standard end-of-month volatility and market shakeouts. As we approach the close of September 2025, this scenario presents intriguing trading opportunities for those monitoring BTC/USD pairs on major exchanges.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Support at $112K

In his update on September 30, 2025, van de Poppe highlighted that Bitcoin appears to be undergoing a retest at $112,000, describing it as a solid support test and zone. This level has historical significance, often acting as a psychological barrier where buyers step in during pullbacks. Traders should watch for increased trading volume around this price point, as it could signal accumulation by institutional investors. If Bitcoin holds above $112,000, it might pave the way for a bullish reversal, potentially targeting higher resistance levels like $120,000 or beyond. From a technical perspective, this retest aligns with common market patterns seen at month-end, where volatility spikes due to portfolio rebalancing and profit-taking. For those engaged in spot trading or futures, setting stop-loss orders just below $112,000 could mitigate risks while positioning for an upside move.

Market Volatility and Shakeouts: What Traders Need to Know

End-of-month volatility is a recurring theme in cryptocurrency markets, often leading to shakeouts that flush out weak hands before a trend resumption. Van de Poppe notes this as standard behavior, expecting an upward trend to resume in a few days. Historical data from previous cycles shows that such shakeouts in Bitcoin have preceded significant rallies, with average gains of 15-20% following successful support tests. Traders analyzing on-chain metrics might observe metrics like the realized price distribution or whale activity around $112,000 to gauge sentiment. For instance, if large wallet transfers increase without corresponding sell-offs, it could indicate confidence in the support level. In terms of trading pairs, BTC against stablecoins like USDT on platforms such as Binance could see heightened liquidity, offering better entry points for long positions. However, caution is advised; a breakdown below $112,000 might lead to further downside, testing lower supports around $105,000 based on Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent all-time high.

Looking broader, this Bitcoin narrative ties into overall market sentiment, where institutional flows continue to influence price dynamics. With traditional stock markets showing correlations to crypto, events like quarterly earnings reports could amplify volatility. Traders interested in cross-market opportunities might consider how Bitcoin's performance impacts altcoins, potentially leading to rotational plays into Ethereum or other majors. Van de Poppe's expectation of an upward trend suggests monitoring key indicators such as the RSI, which if oversold at $112,000, could signal a buying opportunity. For those optimizing their strategies, incorporating moving averages—like the 50-day EMA crossing above the 200-day—could confirm the bullish outlook. Ultimately, this retest scenario underscores the importance of disciplined risk management in volatile markets, where patience during shakeouts often rewards with substantial gains.

Trading Strategies for Bitcoin's Potential Upswing

As we anticipate a shift upwards from the $112,000 zone, developing a robust trading plan is essential. Start by identifying entry points: a confirmed bounce with closing candles above support, accompanied by rising volume, could be ideal for initiating longs. Position sizing should account for the inherent volatility, perhaps allocating no more than 2-5% of portfolio per trade. For derivatives traders, options strategies like buying calls with strikes at $115,000 expiring in the coming weeks might capitalize on the expected uptrend. Moreover, keeping an eye on macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions, can provide additional context—lower rates often boost risk assets like Bitcoin. In summary, van de Poppe's analysis points to a constructive setup for Bitcoin, where a successful retest could ignite the next leg up, offering traders a chance to ride the momentum while navigating the end-of-month turbulence effectively.