In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a prominent voice in the space, Michaël van de Poppe, has declared the traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle as a thing of the past. According to his recent statement on November 6, 2025, the notion of a rigid 4-year cycle is dead and non-existent, buried in history. Instead of viewing the current market conditions as a bear market, he argues that Bitcoin is simply undergoing a regular correction within a much longer bull cycle. This perspective shifts the narrative for BTC traders, suggesting that what might feel like a downturn is actually a healthy pullback in an extended upward trend. For those monitoring Bitcoin price action, this could mean reassessing entry points and support levels rather than panicking over perceived bearish signals. Traders should watch key resistance around previous all-time highs, as a break above could confirm this longer bull thesis.

Understanding Bitcoin's Shift from 4-Year Cycles to Extended Bull Phases

The idea of a 4-year cycle in Bitcoin has long been tied to halving events, where mining rewards are cut in half approximately every four years, historically sparking massive rallies followed by sharp corrections. However, as per Michaël van de Poppe's analysis, this pattern is no longer reliable. He emphasizes that the markets are not entrenched in a bear phase but are experiencing a standard correction amid a prolonged bull market. This viewpoint is crucial for cryptocurrency investors looking at BTC/USD trading pairs, where recent volatility might tempt sellers, but underlying on-chain metrics like increasing holder accumulation could signal strength. For instance, if we consider historical data from past halvings, such as the 2020 event that propelled BTC from around $8,000 to over $60,000 by 2021, the current setup might extend that momentum beyond traditional timelines. Traders should focus on volume indicators; a surge in trading volume during dips could indicate smart money buying, turning corrections into opportunities for long positions. Support levels to monitor include the $50,000-$55,000 range, where Bitcoin has bounced multiple times in recent months, potentially setting the stage for a rally toward $80,000 or higher if global adoption continues.

Trading Strategies in a Longer Bitcoin Bull Cycle

Adopting this longer bull cycle mindset opens up various trading strategies for Bitcoin enthusiasts. Rather than shorting during corrections, savvy traders might look for dip-buying opportunities, using tools like RSI (Relative Strength Index) to gauge oversold conditions. Michaël van de Poppe's take suggests that what feels like a market downturn is merely a reset, allowing for healthier price discovery in the BTC ecosystem. Consider cross-market correlations: as stock markets rally on positive economic data, Bitcoin often follows suit due to institutional flows from entities like ETFs. For example, if we analyze trading volumes on major exchanges, a consistent uptick in BTC spot volumes during pullbacks could validate this correction narrative. Long-term holders might benefit from dollar-cost averaging, entering positions at key Fibonacci retracement levels such as 0.618 from recent peaks. Moreover, with Ethereum and other altcoins showing sympathy moves, diversifying into ETH/BTC pairs could hedge risks while capitalizing on the broader crypto bull run. Always timestamp your entries; for instance, noting price action on November 6, 2025, when this statement was made, provides a reference point for future analysis.

Beyond pure price analysis, the implications of a dead 4-year cycle extend to market sentiment and institutional involvement. If Bitcoin is indeed in an extended bull phase, as posited, we could see accelerated adoption from traditional finance sectors, boosting liquidity and reducing volatility over time. Traders should keep an eye on macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions, which have historically influenced BTC's trajectory. For those optimizing their portfolios, incorporating on-chain data like active addresses and transaction volumes offers concrete insights—rising metrics during corrections often precede breakouts. This perspective discourages fear-based selling and encourages a data-driven approach, where support and resistance levels become pivotal. In summary, embracing this shift could transform how traders navigate Bitcoin's landscape, turning potential pitfalls into profitable setups in what might be the longest bull cycle yet.

To wrap up, Michaël van de Poppe's declaration challenges outdated models and invites a fresh look at Bitcoin trading. By recognizing this as a correction in a longer bull cycle, investors can position themselves for upside potential, focusing on metrics like trading volumes and price levels for informed decisions. Whether you're scalping short-term moves or holding for the long haul, this narrative underscores the importance of adaptability in crypto markets.