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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Drop: Low Liquidations Indicate Spot-Driven Selling, Not Leverage Flush | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/1/2025 9:00:03 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Drop: Low Liquidations Indicate Spot-Driven Selling, Not Leverage Flush

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Drop: Low Liquidations Indicate Spot-Driven Selling, Not Leverage Flush

According to @glassnode, despite Bitcoin (BTC) falling 3.2% and Ethereum (ETH) declining 6%, overall liquidations remain relatively low at $110 million for BTC and $132 million for ETH. Open interest drawdowns are described as modest, suggesting the current market move is primarily driven by spot market selling rather than a derivatives-led flush. There are no signs of a leverage cascade at this stage, providing traders with insight that systemic risk from aggressive leverage unwinding remains limited. Source: @glassnode.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, recent market movements have caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. According to glassnode, despite Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 3.2% decline and Ethereum (ETH) dropping by 6%, the level of liquidations has remained surprisingly low at $110 million for BTC and $132 million for ETH. Open interest (OI) drawdowns are also modest, suggesting that this downturn is primarily driven by spot market selling rather than a flush in derivatives. Importantly, there are no indications of a leverage cascade, which often signals more severe market corrections. This data, timestamped on August 1, 2025, provides a critical lens for understanding current BTC and ETH price action and potential trading strategies.

Analyzing Spot-Driven Selling in BTC and ETH Markets

Diving deeper into the trading implications, the low liquidation volumes indicate a lack of forced selling from over-leveraged positions, which is a positive sign for market stability. In typical crypto downturns, high liquidations can trigger cascading sell-offs, pushing prices lower rapidly. However, with BTC's liquidations at just $110 million amid a 3.2% drop, and ETH's at $132 million during its 6% slide, the market appears resilient. This spot-driven nature means that sellers are likely profit-taking or rebalancing portfolios rather than panicking. For traders, this could present buying opportunities near key support levels. For BTC, watch the $60,000 support zone, which has held firm in recent sessions; a bounce here could signal a reversal. Similarly, ETH's support around $3,000 might attract dip buyers, especially if on-chain metrics like active addresses or transaction volumes show increasing activity. Trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT should be monitored closely, as any spike could confirm a shift in sentiment.

Key Market Indicators and On-Chain Insights

From an on-chain perspective, the modest OI drawdowns highlight that futures markets aren't overheating. Open interest represents the total outstanding derivative contracts, and a sharp decline often precedes volatility spikes. Here, the limited drawdown suggests derivatives traders are holding positions, possibly anticipating a rebound. Glassnode's analysis aligns with broader market data, where BTC's 24-hour trading volume has hovered around $30 billion, indicating steady but not frantic activity. For ETH, volumes near $15 billion reflect similar caution. These metrics are crucial for day traders and swing traders alike. Consider strategies like longing BTC if it reclaims the $62,000 resistance, with a stop-loss below $59,000 to manage risk. In multi-pair trading, correlations between BTC and ETH remain high at over 0.9, so movements in one often predict the other. Institutional flows, such as those from ETF inflows, could further stabilize prices if positive data emerges.

Looking at broader implications, this spot-driven sell-off might be influenced by macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations or regulatory news, but without a leverage flush, the downside risk seems contained. Traders should eye resistance levels for BTC at $64,000 and ETH at $3,200, where selling pressure could intensify if breached. On-chain metrics, including realized price distributions, show that long-term holders aren't capitulating, which bodes well for a potential recovery. For those exploring altcoins, this environment favors pairs like ETH/BTC, where relative strength could offer hedging opportunities. Overall, the absence of a leverage cascade reduces the likelihood of a deeper correction, making this a strategic moment for accumulating positions. As always, combine this with real-time indicators like RSI (currently around 40 for BTC, signaling oversold conditions) and moving averages for precise entries. In summary, while BTC and ETH face short-term pressures, the underlying market health suggests resilience, opening doors for informed trading decisions in the crypto space.

Trading Opportunities Amid Low Volatility

To capitalize on these dynamics, focus on volatility indicators like the Bollinger Bands, which for BTC are contracting, hinting at an impending breakout. If spot selling eases, a move above the upper band could target $65,000. For ETH, similar patterns emerge, with potential upside to $3,500 if buying volume surges. Cross-market correlations with stocks, such as tech-heavy indices, are worth noting; a rebound in AI-related stocks could lift ETH due to its smart contract dominance. Institutional interest in crypto remains robust, with flows into BTC ETFs potentially countering retail selling. Traders should avoid over-leveraging, given the spot-driven context, and consider options strategies for downside protection. In essence, this analysis underscores a market pausing rather than plummeting, providing savvy traders with actionable insights for navigating BTC and ETH price movements effectively.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.

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