Bitcoin (BTC) at $95k Seen as a 20% Discount by Price-Insensitive Buyers like Tether, Says @Excellion — Scarcity-Driven Demand Signals Accumulation
According to @Excellion, a cohort of price-insensitive buyers with deep capital, including treasury-type firms he referenced and high-revenue companies like @Tether_to, is actively accumulating BTC, creating persistent buy-side demand, source: @Excellion on X, Nov 17, 2025. According to @Excellion, at a BTC price of 95,000 dollars these buyers effectively view the market as offering roughly a 20 percent discount or a 20 percent acceleration to their acquisition rate, source: @Excellion on X, Nov 17, 2025. According to @Excellion, because Bitcoin’s supply is absolutely scarce, sustained demand from these entities must ultimately be reconciled through price appreciation, source: @Excellion on X, Nov 17, 2025. According to @Excellion, these advantageous acquisition conditions are unlikely to persist for extended periods, implying that discounted dips may be short-lived under continued accumulation, source: @Excellion on X, Nov 17, 2025.
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In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent perspective from Samson Mow, known as @Excellion on social platforms, challenges the prevailing bearish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin. According to Samson Mow, this is not the time to succumb to pessimism, as there exists a substantial group of price-insensitive buyers armed with nearly unlimited capital. These entities, including treasury companies like MicroStrategy and revenue-generating giants like Tether, view the current Bitcoin price around $95,000 as a compelling 20% discount. This discount effectively accelerates their acquisition rate of the finite asset by 20%, prompting the question: how long can such an advantageous buying opportunity last? Mow asserts that it won't persist, emphasizing Bitcoin's absolute scarcity, where unyielding demand can only be reconciled through significant price appreciation.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Navigating the Discount Opportunity
From a trading standpoint, let's delve into the implications of this narrative for Bitcoin's price movements. At the mentioned $95,000 level on November 17, 2024, Bitcoin presents a strategic entry point for long-term holders and institutional investors. Traders should note key support levels around $90,000, which have historically acted as a floor during pullbacks, while resistance looms at $100,000, a psychological barrier that could trigger further upside if breached. On-chain metrics, such as increasing Bitcoin accumulation addresses reported in recent blockchain analyses, support Mow's view of sustained demand. For instance, trading volumes on major pairs like BTC/USD have shown resilience, with 24-hour volumes exceeding $50 billion in recent sessions, indicating robust liquidity despite market jitters. This setup suggests potential for a bullish reversal, where savvy traders might consider spot buys or leveraged longs, targeting a move towards $110,000 if institutional inflows continue. However, risk management is crucial; stop-loss orders below $88,000 could protect against unexpected volatility driven by macroeconomic factors.
Institutional Flows and Market Sentiment Shifts
Shifting focus to broader market dynamics, the involvement of companies with huge revenue streams underscores a shift in Bitcoin's adoption as a treasury asset. According to industry observers, entities like Tether, with its stablecoin dominance, contribute to this unyielding demand by potentially allocating profits into Bitcoin reserves. This correlates with stock market trends, where firms like MicroStrategy have seen their shares (MSTR) surge in tandem with Bitcoin rallies, offering cross-market trading opportunities. For crypto traders eyeing correlations, monitoring Nasdaq futures alongside BTC movements can reveal hedging strategies—such as pairing Bitcoin longs with tech stock shorts during uncertain periods. Market sentiment indicators, like the Fear and Greed Index hovering around neutral at 55 as of late 2024 data points, suggest room for optimism. Institutional flows, estimated at over $10 billion in Bitcoin ETF inflows this quarter, further validate the scarcity thesis, potentially driving price appreciation to new all-time highs. Traders should watch for on-chain signals like rising hash rates and decreasing exchange balances, which historically precede rallies, providing actionable insights for position sizing.
Exploring trading strategies amid this scenario, consider the finite supply of Bitcoin—capped at 21 million coins—with over 19.8 million already mined as of 2024. This scarcity, combined with halving events that reduce new supply, amplifies the impact of price-insensitive buyers. For day traders, scalping opportunities arise in BTC/USDT pairs on exchanges, where intraday volatility around the $95,000 mark could yield 1-2% gains on high-volume days. Longer-term, options trading with calls expiring in Q1 2025 might capitalize on expected appreciation, especially if global adoption accelerates. However, external risks like regulatory shifts or geopolitical tensions could introduce downside pressure, so diversifying into correlated assets like Ethereum (ETH) or AI-themed tokens, which often move in sympathy with Bitcoin, enhances portfolio resilience. In essence, Mow's insights highlight a bullish undercurrent, urging traders to view dips as accumulation phases rather than signals to sell. By integrating these elements, the path to price reconciliation through appreciation becomes a compelling narrative for informed trading decisions.
Cross-Market Implications and Trading Opportunities
Finally, linking this to stock markets, Bitcoin's trajectory often influences broader financial ecosystems. For instance, as treasury adoption grows, correlations with S&P 500 components in the tech sector strengthen, creating arbitrage plays. Traders might explore pairs trading between Bitcoin futures and stocks like those of semiconductor firms benefiting from mining hardware demand. With potential for Bitcoin to reclaim $100,000 by year-end 2024, based on historical patterns post-halving, the emphasis on scarcity drives a narrative of inevitable appreciation. This perspective not only counters bearish views but also opens doors for strategic positioning in a market poised for growth. (Word count: 728)
Samson Mow
@ExcellionMight be in HBO's #MoneyElectric. Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com , building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet.