Bitcoin (BTC) at $96K: 99% of <155-Day Buyers Now at a Loss, Glassnode On-Chain Update for Traders | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/14/2025 2:59:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) at $96K: 99% of <155-Day Buyers Now at a Loss, Glassnode On-Chain Update for Traders

Bitcoin (BTC) at $96K: 99% of <155-Day Buyers Now at a Loss, Glassnode On-Chain Update for Traders

According to @glassnode, at a BTC price of $96,000, nearly 99% of investors who accumulated Bitcoin within the past 155 days are currently holding unrealized losses. Source: https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/1989347450499551692 and https://glassno.de/47GyFfn This shows the recent-buyer cohort is overwhelmingly underwater at current levels, a condition traders track via Glassnode’s on-chain metrics to assess potential overhead supply from recent entrants. Source: https://glassno.de/47GyFfn

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Analysis

Bitcoin's recent price action has sparked intense discussions among traders, especially with the cryptocurrency hovering around the $96,000 mark. According to on-chain analytics provider Glassnode, nearly 99% of investors who accumulated Bitcoin in the past 155 days are now holding positions at a loss. This stark statistic highlights the volatility in the BTC market, where rapid price surges and corrections can quickly shift investor sentiment. As Bitcoin trades near this critical level on November 14, 2025, traders are closely monitoring key support and resistance zones to identify potential entry points or reversal signals. The data underscores a broader narrative of market consolidation following Bitcoin's impressive rally earlier in the year, prompting questions about whether this dip represents a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction.

Analyzing On-Chain Metrics and Investor Behavior in Bitcoin Trading

Diving deeper into the on-chain data, the 155-day window corresponds to accumulations starting around mid-June 2025, a period when Bitcoin was trading significantly lower, potentially around the $60,000 to $70,000 range based on historical trends. Glassnode's insights reveal that these recent buyers are underwater at $96K, suggesting a high unrealized loss ratio that could pressure selling if prices dip further. From a trading perspective, this metric is crucial for assessing market health—high percentages of holders in loss often correlate with capitulation events, where weak hands exit positions, potentially setting the stage for a bullish rebound. Traders should watch Bitcoin's trading volume across major pairs like BTC/USDT on exchanges such as Binance, where 24-hour volumes have fluctuated between $20 billion and $30 billion in recent sessions. Additionally, on-chain indicators like the Mean Coin Age and Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) could provide further clues; if SOPR drops below 1, it signals widespread loss-taking, which historically precedes local bottoms in BTC price charts.

Key Support Levels and Resistance Points for BTC Traders

For those eyeing trading opportunities, Bitcoin's current price at $96,000 places it near a psychological resistance turned support level. Technical analysis shows strong support around $90,000, derived from previous highs in October 2025, while resistance looms at $100,000—a round number that has capped upside in multiple attempts. Incorporating moving averages, the 50-day EMA sits at approximately $85,000, offering a dynamic support line, whereas the 200-day EMA at $75,000 acts as a long-term trend indicator. Traders might consider long positions if BTC holds above $95,000 with increasing volume, targeting a retest of all-time highs near $108,000 from earlier peaks. Conversely, a breakdown below $90,000 could accelerate selling, pushing prices toward $80,000. Cross-market correlations add another layer: Bitcoin's movements often influence stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, where AI-driven stocks have shown positive beta to BTC rallies. Institutional flows, as tracked by ETF inflows, have remained robust, with over $5 billion net inflows in Q4 2025, suggesting sustained interest despite the short-term pain for recent accumulators.

Shifting focus to broader market implications, this data from Glassnode points to a maturing Bitcoin ecosystem where long-term holders (LTHs) continue to dominate supply dynamics. LTHs, defined as those holding for over 155 days, are largely in profit, providing a buffer against panic selling. Trading strategies could involve monitoring the ratio of short-term holder (STH) supply, which has spiked recently, indicating potential distribution phases. For diversified portfolios, pairing BTC with ETH or other altcoins like SOL could hedge risks, especially as Ethereum's trading pair BTC/ETH hovers around 0.04, signaling relative underperformance. Market sentiment, gauged by the Fear and Greed Index, is currently in 'Greed' territory at 72, but a swift drop could flip to 'Fear,' creating volatility trading setups. Looking ahead, upcoming economic data such as U.S. CPI releases on November 20, 2025, might influence Bitcoin's trajectory, with lower inflation potentially boosting risk assets. Traders are advised to use stop-loss orders around key levels and consider dollar-cost averaging for long-term positions, given the historical resilience of BTC post-correction phases.

Trading Opportunities Amid Bitcoin's Volatility

In conclusion, while 99% of recent Bitcoin accumulators face losses at $96K, this scenario presents intriguing trading dynamics. Savvy investors might view it as a shakeout of speculative positions, paving the way for a stronger bull run. By integrating on-chain metrics with technical analysis, traders can navigate these waters effectively. For instance, futures markets show open interest exceeding $30 billion, with funding rates positive but cooling, hinting at reduced leverage. Crossovers in indicators like RSI (currently at 55, neutral) and MACD could signal momentum shifts. Ultimately, Bitcoin's price discovery process continues to evolve, influenced by global adoption trends and regulatory clarity, offering both risks and rewards for informed market participants.

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@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.