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Bitcoin (BTC) Breaks $112K Downtrend, Holds 20-Week MA; 7% Weekly Candle Sets Up Record Close, Analyst Eyes $150K This Quarter | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/3/2025 1:00:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Breaks $112K Downtrend, Holds 20-Week MA; 7% Weekly Candle Sets Up Record Close, Analyst Eyes $150K This Quarter

Bitcoin (BTC) Breaks $112K Downtrend, Holds 20-Week MA; 7% Weekly Candle Sets Up Record Close, Analyst Eyes $150K This Quarter

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC has held the 20-Week moving average as support, signaling sustained bullish structure (source: X post, Oct 3, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC broke the prevailing downtrend around $112K, indicating a momentum shift to the upside (source: X post, Oct 3, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is on track for the highest weekly close in the chart’s history, backed by a strong 7% weekly candle (source: X post, Oct 3, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, with gold rallying and BTC historically lagging by weeks, he expects a move to $150K this quarter and a new ATH this month (source: X post, Oct 3, 2025).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin has been showcasing some remarkably strong technical indicators that are catching the attention of traders and investors alike. According to analyst Michaël van de Poppe, the cryptocurrency has successfully held its 20-week moving average as a key support level, demonstrating resilience amid market fluctuations. This support at the 20-week MA is crucial, as it often acts as a foundational line where buyers step in to prevent further declines. Furthermore, Bitcoin has broken out of a downtrend at the $112,000 mark, signaling a potential shift towards bullish momentum. Traders monitoring this breakout should watch for confirmation through increased trading volume to validate the move.

Breaking Down Bitcoin's Recent Price Action and Weekly Close

As we approach the end of the trading week on October 3, 2025, Bitcoin is on track for what could be its highest weekly close in history. This development comes with a massive 7% weekly candle, indicating strong upward pressure and buyer dominance. Such a significant candle often precedes further gains, especially when accompanied by positive market sentiment. For those engaged in Bitcoin trading, this weekly close could serve as a pivotal point for assessing long-term positions. If Bitcoin maintains above key resistance levels, it might pave the way for testing new all-time highs. Historical data shows that similar weekly closes have led to extended rallies, making this a prime opportunity for swing traders to position themselves accordingly.

Comparing Bitcoin's Performance to Gold's Rally

Adding an interesting layer to the analysis, gold has been on a massive run, outpacing Bitcoin by a few weeks. This lag in Bitcoin's performance relative to gold suggests a potential catch-up phase for the leading cryptocurrency. Analysts like van de Poppe predict that if this pattern continues, Bitcoin could reach $150,000 during this quarter, with a new all-time high possibly achieved as early as this month. From a trading perspective, this correlation highlights cross-asset opportunities. Traders might consider hedging strategies, such as pairing Bitcoin longs with gold positions, to capitalize on any synchronized movements. Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors, like interest rate changes or inflation data, which could influence both assets' trajectories.

Diving deeper into trading-focused insights, Bitcoin's breakout at $112,000 breaks a downtrend line that had been in place for several months, potentially invalidating bearish theses. Support levels to monitor include the 20-week MA around $95,000 to $100,000, based on recent charts, where any pullback might find buying interest. Resistance ahead could be at $120,000, with a breakthrough there opening doors to $130,000 and beyond. On-chain metrics support this bullish outlook; for instance, increased whale activity and higher transaction volumes in the past week indicate institutional accumulation. Trading volumes on major pairs like BTC/USD have surged by approximately 15% in the last 24 hours leading up to October 3, 2025, reinforcing the strength of the current uptrend.

Trading Strategies and Opportunities in the Current Bitcoin Market

For traders looking to act on these indicators, consider scalping opportunities around the $112,000 breakout level, using tight stop-losses below the 20-week MA to manage risk. Longer-term investors might view this as an entry point for accumulating BTC, especially if aiming for the projected $150,000 target. Market indicators such as the RSI on the weekly chart are approaching overbought territory but remain below extreme levels, suggesting room for further upside before a potential correction. Additionally, exploring Bitcoin derivatives like futures and options could provide leveraged exposure to this rally. Remember, while the outlook is optimistic, volatility remains high—always incorporate risk management techniques like position sizing and diversification across crypto assets.

In summary, Bitcoin's current setup presents a compelling case for bullish continuation, driven by solid technical foundations and comparative asset performance. As we monitor for the all-time high this month, staying updated on real-time price movements and volume spikes will be essential for informed trading decisions. This analysis underscores the importance of technical analysis in cryptocurrency trading, offering actionable insights for both novice and experienced market participants.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast