Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run Intact Despite $108K Pullback, Fueled by Institutional Adoption and Strong ETF Flows

According to @lookonchain, Bitcoin (BTC) maintains its bullish momentum despite a retreat from the $108,000 level, supported by significant institutional adoption signals. A key development is the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency directing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings for mortgage applications, a move that could deeply integrate crypto into the U.S. housing market. Favorable macro conditions, including a Federal Reserve plan to overhaul bank capital requirements and a weakening dollar index, are also providing tailwinds for risk assets like BTC, as cited in the report. FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted that the crypto market cap is nearing a critical volatility threshold between $3.40–$3.55 trillion, which has previously triggered sell-offs. Bullish sentiment is further confirmed by spot BTC ETFs recording a net inflow of $548 million, marking 12 straight days of positive flows. Additionally, Metaplanet continues its aggressive BTC accumulation with another 1,234 BTC purchase, while SEI token has surged 50% in a week on news of being chosen as a settlement layer for Wyoming's state-backed dollar pilot.
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Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated significant strength, briefly surging past the $108,000 mark before a minor retreat. Despite this pullback, the underlying bullish momentum for BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market appears more robust than ever, fueled by a powerful confluence of institutional adoption, favorable macroeconomic signals, and strong on-chain metrics. The narrative of institutional acceptance is rapidly evolving from simple corporate treasury holdings to deeper integration within the traditional financial system. A landmark development comes from Bill Pulte, director of the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency, who has ordered mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to begin preparations for including cryptocurrency holdings as a valid asset class for mortgage applications. This potential integration into the colossal U.S. housing market represents a monumental step towards mainstream validation and could unlock a significant new vector of capital inflow into digital assets.
Macro Tailwinds and Unrelenting ETF Demand
The bullish sentiment is further amplified by supportive macroeconomic conditions. The Federal Reserve's recent advancement of a plan to overhaul bank capital requirements is widely seen as a positive development for risk assets like cryptocurrencies, as it could improve the credit creation capacity of major banks. Simultaneously, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has continued its descent, falling to 97.14, a trend that historically correlates with rising prices for assets like Bitcoin. This risk-on sentiment is mirrored in traditional markets, with Nasdaq futures hitting record highs. The demand from institutional players is undeniable, as evidenced by the relentless inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to data from Farside Investors, these ETFs have recorded 12 consecutive days of net positive flows, with a staggering $547.7 million inflow on the most recent day, bringing the cumulative total to over $48 billion. This sustained demand provides a strong price floor and signals deep-pocketed conviction in BTC's long-term value proposition.
On-Chain Signals and Derivatives Market Nuances
A closer look at market data reveals a landscape of high optimism, albeit with some nuances for traders to watch. According to analysis from FxPro's Alex Kuptsikevich, the total crypto market capitalization is nearing a critical volatility threshold between $3.40 and $3.55 trillion, a zone that has previously activated significant selling pressure. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has climbed to 74, just shy of the "Extreme Greed" territory, suggesting that while sentiment is strong, the market could be susceptible to a short-term correction. In the derivatives market, CME Bitcoin futures open interest has surged to a four-week high of 159,850 BTC, a clear indicator of heightened institutional participation. However, the annualized basis remains flat below 10%, suggesting that the bullish leverage is not yet overheated. An uptick in perpetual futures open interest alongside the recent price action could indicate that some traders are hedging their positions against a potential drop, a prudent strategy in a rapidly appreciating market.
Altcoin Sector Heats Up with SEI Leading the Charge
While Bitcoin captures headlines, the altcoin market is showing vibrant activity, led by a stunning 50% weekly rally in SEI. This surge appears to be a "clean, multi-factor rally" driven by strong fundamentals rather than speculative leverage. Key catalysts include its selection by Wyoming as a settlement layer for a state-backed dollar pilot, a rare institutional endorsement that significantly boosts its credibility. This was compounded by its v2 airdrop snapshot and an increased validator APY of 9%. On-chain data supports the organic nature of this rally, with CEX inflows topping $3 million while perpetual open interest saw only a modest 9% increase with flat funding rates. Elsewhere, Japanese firm Metaplanet has solidified its commitment to a BTC treasury strategy, purchasing another 1,234 BTC and becoming the fifth-largest corporate Bitcoin holder. In another sign of market maturation, Bit Digital announced a strategic pivot to become a pure-play Ether (ETH) staking and treasury company, reflecting the growing institutional interest in ETH's yield-bearing properties. The upcoming listing of AI token Sahara AI (SAHARA) also points to continued interest in the AI and crypto intersection.
From a technical standpoint, traders are identifying bullish patterns across various pairs. The Binance-listed BTC/BCH pair, for instance, is showing signs of a potential golden cross, where the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is on track to cross above the 200-day SMA—a classic long-term bullish indicator. The overall market environment, characterized by strong institutional inflows, supportive macro trends, and robust on-chain activity, points towards continued upside potential. While traders should remain alert to potential volatility and signs of over-leverage, the fundamental case for a sustained bull market in BTC, ETH, and promising altcoins remains firmly intact.
Lookonchain
@lookonchainLooking for smartmoney onchain