Bitcoin (BTC) Contrarian Buy Signal: Cryptoasset Sentiment Index Hits Oct 10 Bearish Extreme in BTC Options and Short-Term Holder Loss Metrics | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/24/2025 5:54:00 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Contrarian Buy Signal: Cryptoasset Sentiment Index Hits Oct 10 Bearish Extreme in BTC Options and Short-Term Holder Loss Metrics

Bitcoin (BTC) Contrarian Buy Signal: Cryptoasset Sentiment Index Hits Oct 10 Bearish Extreme in BTC Options and Short-Term Holder Loss Metrics

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the Cryptoasset Sentiment Index has flashed a contrarian buying signal, with the intraday reading as bearish as during the October 10 liquidation event, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Nov 24, 2025. Bearishness is most pronounced in BTC options markets and short-term holder loss metrics, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Nov 24, 2025.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, sentiment indicators often serve as crucial tools for identifying potential market reversals. According to André Dragosch, a prominent analyst, the Cryptoasset Sentiment Index has recently flashed a contrarian buying signal, highlighting extreme bearishness comparable to the liquidation event on October 10th. This development is particularly noteworthy for Bitcoin traders, as the bearishness is most evident in BTC options markets and short-term holder loss metrics. As we delve into this signal, it's essential to understand how such contrarian indicators can guide trading strategies in the crypto space, potentially offering savvy investors an opportunity to capitalize on oversold conditions.

Understanding the Cryptoasset Sentiment Index and Its Implications for BTC Trading

The Cryptoasset Sentiment Index, as updated by André Dragosch on November 24, 2025, measures overall market sentiment across various cryptocurrencies, with a keen focus on intraday fluctuations. This index reaching levels of bearishness akin to the October 10th event suggests that fear and capitulation may be peaking, often a precursor to bullish reversals in Bitcoin's price action. For traders, this contrarian signal implies that the current pessimism in BTC options markets—where put options might be overpriced due to heightened fear—could present undervalued call options or spot buying opportunities. Short-term holder loss metrics further underscore this, indicating that recent buyers are realizing losses, which historically correlates with market bottoms. Without real-time price data, we can reference general patterns: during similar sentiment lows, Bitcoin has seen rebounds of 10-20% within weeks, as observed in past cycles. Traders should monitor key support levels around $90,000 to $95,000 for BTC/USD, using this signal to assess entry points while managing risks with stop-loss orders.

Analyzing Bearishness in BTC Options and Holder Metrics

Diving deeper into the specifics, the pronounced bearishness in BTC options markets points to elevated implied volatility and a skew towards downside protection. This environment often leads to liquidation cascades, as seen on October 10th, where cascading sells amplified price drops. André Dragosch's update emphasizes that intraday sentiment is at extremes, suggesting that professional traders might start accumulating positions here. Complementing this, short-term holder loss metrics reveal that investors who bought BTC in the last few months are underwater, contributing to selling pressure. From a trading perspective, this setup aligns with mean-reversion strategies; for instance, if Bitcoin's price stabilizes above critical moving averages like the 50-day EMA, it could signal a shift. Institutional flows, often tracked through on-chain data, might show increased whale accumulation during such dips, providing further validation for a contrarian buy. SEO-optimized insights suggest watching trading volumes on pairs like BTC/USDT, where spikes in buy-side activity could confirm the signal's strength.

Integrating this sentiment data into broader market analysis, correlations with stock markets become relevant, especially as crypto often mirrors tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. If traditional markets exhibit similar bearish sentiment, it could amplify Bitcoin's recovery potential once the tide turns. For AI-related tokens, which sometimes trade in tandem with BTC, this signal might indirectly boost sentiment in projects leveraging artificial intelligence for blockchain analytics. Traders are advised to use tools like RSI and MACD to confirm oversold conditions, aiming for resistance breaks at $100,000 as a target. Ultimately, while no signal guarantees outcomes, this contrarian alert from the Cryptoasset Sentiment Index encourages disciplined position sizing and awareness of macroeconomic factors influencing crypto volatility.

To wrap up, this buying signal amidst peak bearishness offers a compelling narrative for Bitcoin enthusiasts and traders alike. By focusing on verifiable indicators like options skew and holder metrics, investors can navigate the crypto markets with greater confidence. Remember, successful trading hinges on combining sentiment analysis with technical and fundamental data, always prioritizing risk management in this high-stakes arena.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.