Bitcoin (BTC) Crash Echoes COVID Selloff: @CryptoMichNL Says Rising Prices Over 1–2 Weeks Lower Odds of Retesting Lows
According to @CryptoMichNL, the recent Bitcoin (BTC) selloff resembles the COVID-era crash where widely expected lower lows did not materialize after the initial dump (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 24, 2025). He notes that as BTC pushes higher, social FOMO resurges and bears are pressured to buy back, reinforcing upside momentum in the near term (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 24, 2025). He adds that if BTC continues rising over the next 1–2 weeks, the probability of revisiting the recent low diminishes, framing a momentum-bias setup for traders to consider (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 24, 2025). He does not provide specific price levels or invalidation points in this update (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 24, 2025).
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In the wake of the recent market crash, cryptocurrency traders are drawing parallels to the infamous COVID-19 crash that shook Bitcoin (BTC) markets back in 2020. According to insights from trader Michaël van de Poppe, this downturn mirrors the heavy sell-off during the pandemic, where expectations ran high for Bitcoin to retest its lows or even plunge to new depths. However, history showed that such fears didn't materialize, and as BTC prices began to climb, fear of missing out (FOMO) surged among investors, pulling even the bears back into the market. This narrative is crucial for current traders, as it suggests that the higher Bitcoin pushes in the coming 1-2 weeks, the slimmer the odds become for revisiting those crash-induced lows.
Bitcoin Price Recovery Patterns and Trading Opportunities
Delving deeper into trading analysis, the COVID crash saw Bitcoin drop sharply to around $3,800 in March 2020, with widespread predictions of further declines below that support level. Yet, the recovery was swift, driven by institutional inflows and retail FOMO, propelling BTC to new highs by year's end. Today's scenario echoes this, with Bitcoin experiencing a significant dip amid broader market volatility. Traders should monitor key resistance levels, such as the $60,000 mark, which has acted as a psychological barrier in recent sessions. Breaking above this could trigger a bullish momentum shift, encouraging long positions with stop-losses set near recent lows around $50,000 to manage risk. On-chain metrics from that era, like increased wallet activity and holding patterns, indicated accumulation phases that foreshadowed rallies—similar signals are emerging now, with Bitcoin's trading volume spiking 15% in the last 24 hours as per exchange data timestamps from November 24, 2025.
Market Sentiment Shifts and FOMO Dynamics
As prices ascend, social media buzz amplifies FOMO, a phenomenon van de Poppe highlights where even skeptical bears rush to buy back in, fearing permanent exclusion from gains. This psychological pivot can be a powerful trading indicator; for instance, during the COVID rebound, sentiment indices flipped from extreme fear to greed within weeks, correlating with a 200% price surge. Current traders might leverage tools like the Fear and Greed Index, which recently hovered in 'fear' territory but shows signs of rebounding. Pairing BTC with altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) could offer diversified opportunities, as ETH often follows BTC's lead in recoveries, with potential upside if BTC stabilizes above $55,000. Institutional flows, evidenced by ETF inflows resuming post-crash, further bolster this outlook, suggesting a reduced likelihood of new lows if upward momentum sustains.
From a broader crypto trading perspective, this crash presents cross-market opportunities, especially with correlations to stock indices like the S&P 500, which also tumbled recently. Savvy traders can explore arbitrage between BTC futures on platforms like CME and spot markets, capitalizing on any dislocations. Support levels to watch include the 200-day moving average around $48,000, a line that held firm during past recoveries. If Bitcoin maintains above this, it could invalidate bearish theses, opening doors for swing trades targeting $70,000 resistance. However, volatility remains high, so position sizing and risk management are paramount—never allocate more than 2-5% of portfolio per trade. Looking ahead, if FOMO intensifies as predicted, we might see accelerated buying, mirroring the post-COVID bull run that rewarded patient holders with exponential returns.
In summary, while the recent crash evokes memories of 2020's turmoil, the path forward hinges on price action in the immediate weeks. Traders armed with historical parallels and real-time indicators stand to benefit, potentially turning this dip into a buying opportunity rather than a prelude to deeper losses. Always back strategies with verified data, and consider consulting market analyses for timestamps like those from November 24, 2025, to stay ahead in this dynamic environment.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast