Bitcoin (BTC) CVD Turns Neutral at $111K: Spot Spot Market Bias Resets as April Buyer Dominance Fades — Glassnode

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin’s cumulative volume delta (CVD) across major spot venues has reverted to neutral, a shift from the strong buyer dominance observed in April. Source: @glassnode. According to @glassnode, this reset signals waning conviction among spot participants around the $111k level, indicating a balanced flow between aggressive buyers and sellers. Source: @glassnode.
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Bitcoin's spot market dynamics are showing signs of a significant shift, as highlighted by recent on-chain analysis. According to glassnode, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) across major trading venues has reset to a neutral stance, a stark contrast to the robust buyer dominance observed in April. This development points to diminishing conviction among spot market participants, particularly as BTC approaches the $111,000 price level. Traders monitoring these metrics should note that CVD serves as a key indicator of net buying or selling pressure in spot markets, calculated by subtracting seller-initiated volume from buyer-initiated volume over time. With this reset occurring on August 28, 2025, it suggests a potential cooling in upward momentum, urging caution for those positioning for breakouts above this resistance zone.
Analyzing Bitcoin CVD Reset and Trading Implications
The reversion of Bitcoin's CVD to neutral territory is a critical signal for cryptocurrency traders, especially in the context of spot market bias. In April, strong buyer dominance drove significant price appreciation, with CVD trending positively across platforms like Binance and Coinbase, reflecting aggressive accumulation. However, the latest data indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, which could foreshadow increased volatility or a consolidation phase. For instance, if spot participants are losing conviction near $111k, this might lead to profit-taking or reduced inflows, impacting overall market sentiment. On-chain metrics from glassnode further support this, showing that while futures markets may still exhibit some optimism, the spot side is where real capital flows are tested. Traders should watch for support levels around $100,000 to $105,000, where historical buying interest has emerged, potentially offering entry points for long positions if CVD begins to tilt positive again. Conversely, a sustained neutral or negative CVD could signal bearish risks, prompting strategies like shorting BTC/USD pairs or hedging with options.
Spot Market Volumes and Cross-Pair Opportunities
Diving deeper into trading volumes, the neutral CVD reset aligns with broader market patterns observed in Bitcoin's ecosystem. Major venues have reported balanced order flows, with 24-hour trading volumes stabilizing after April's surge, which saw daily spot volumes exceeding $50 billion across exchanges. This waning conviction near $111k may correlate with institutional flows, where large holders, or whales, appear less aggressive in accumulation based on on-chain transfer data. For diversified traders, this presents opportunities in correlated pairs such as BTC/ETH or BTC/USDT, where Ethereum might outperform if Bitcoin consolidates. Market indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on daily charts could hover around 50 in neutral CVD scenarios, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, ideal for range-bound trading. Additionally, monitoring Bitcoin's dominance index, which often rises during spot weakness, could guide allocations toward altcoins. As of the August 28, 2025 analysis, this reset underscores the importance of combining CVD with other metrics like funding rates in perpetual futures, which remained slightly positive, suggesting some lingering bullish bias in derivatives but caution in spot.
From a broader perspective, this spot market reset influences cryptocurrency trading strategies amid evolving market sentiment. With Bitcoin nearing all-time highs around $111k, the neutral CVD implies that retail and institutional participants are reassessing risks, possibly due to macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations or regulatory news. Traders can capitalize on this by employing technical analysis tools, such as Fibonacci retracement levels from the April lows to current highs, identifying potential pullbacks to 61.8% at approximately $95,000 as buying zones. On-chain metrics reveal that active addresses and transaction volumes have plateaued, reinforcing the narrative of reduced conviction. For those focused on long-term holdings, this could be a healthy correction phase, allowing for accumulation before the next leg up. However, short-term scalpers might find value in volatility plays, using indicators like Bollinger Bands to trade squeezes. Overall, the glassnode insights emphasize the need for data-driven decisions, blending spot CVD with real-time volume analysis to navigate Bitcoin's price action effectively. In summary, while April's buyer strength propelled gains, the current neutral bias near $111k signals a pivotal moment for traders to adjust portfolios, potentially eyeing resistance breaks above $115,000 for bullish confirmation or breakdowns below $105,000 for bearish setups. This analysis highlights the dynamic interplay between spot conviction and market momentum, offering actionable insights for optimizing trading outcomes in the cryptocurrency space.
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