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Bitcoin BTC Dealer Gamma at Deribit Pins Price in 119K–122K Range; Bulls Need Clean Break Above 123K | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/13/2025 2:14:01 PM

Bitcoin BTC Dealer Gamma at Deribit Pins Price in 119K–122K Range; Bulls Need Clean Break Above 123K

Bitcoin BTC Dealer Gamma at Deribit Pins Price in 119K–122K Range; Bulls Need Clean Break Above 123K

According to @godbole17, BTC price action has been pinned in the 119K–122K band where dealers hold positive gamma on Deribit, explaining the recent range-bound mean reversion. Source: @godbole17 on X; Deribit. He adds that a convincing breakout above 123K is needed for bulls to overcome the gamma pin and extend upside momentum. Source: @godbole17 on X.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin bulls are facing a critical juncture as they attempt to push the price beyond the $123,000 mark, according to insights from market analyst Omkar Godbole. In a recent post dated August 13, 2025, Godbole highlighted the importance of a convincing breakout above $123K, noting that the $119K to $122K region is characterized by positive dealer gamma inventory on Deribit. This gamma positioning likely explains the recent range-bound trading activity in that zone, where Bitcoin has been consolidating without decisive momentum.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Key Resistance Levels and Trading Opportunities

As Bitcoin hovers around these pivotal levels, traders should closely monitor the $123,000 threshold as a major resistance point. A successful breach could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially targeting higher levels such as $130,000 or beyond, based on historical price patterns observed in previous bull runs. The positive dealer gamma in the $119K-$122K range suggests that options dealers are positioned to support price stability here, which might lead to increased volatility if bulls fail to push through. For instance, if BTC/USD fails to break $123K convincingly, it could retreat back to support levels around $115,000, where previous buying interest has emerged. Traders eyeing long positions might consider entering near $120,000 with stop-losses below $118,000 to manage risk, while short sellers could target a breakdown below $119,000 for potential profits down to $110,000. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as rising transaction volumes and whale accumulation, could further validate bullish setups, especially if daily trading volumes exceed 50,000 BTC across major exchanges.

Impact of Gamma Inventory on BTC Price Dynamics

The concept of positive dealer gamma inventory, as mentioned by Godbole, refers to options market dynamics where dealers hold positions that benefit from price stability or slight upward moves in the $119K-$122K band. This setup has contributed to the recent range play, with Bitcoin oscillating between these levels over the past week, showing intraday highs near $122,500 and lows around $118,900 as of August 13, 2025. Such gamma clustering often acts as a magnet for price action, reducing the likelihood of sharp declines but also capping upside until sufficient buying pressure accumulates. From a trading perspective, this implies opportunities in range-bound strategies, like selling calls above $123K or buying puts below $119K, particularly for options expiring in the coming weeks. Market indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 55 on the daily chart, suggest neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, supporting the case for a potential breakout if external catalysts like positive macroeconomic data emerge.

Looking broader, this Bitcoin price analysis ties into overall cryptocurrency market trends, where institutional flows continue to influence trading volumes. For example, if BTC manages to clear $123K, it could trigger correlated rallies in altcoins like ETH/BTC pairs, with Ethereum potentially testing $5,000 in tandem. Conversely, a rejection at resistance might amplify selling pressure across the board, affecting trading pairs such as BTC/USDT on major platforms. Traders should watch for increased open interest in Deribit options, which stood at over $20 billion as of the latest data, as a gauge for impending volatility. In summary, while the path to $123K remains challenging, the underlying gamma support provides a foundation for bulls to build upon, offering strategic entry points for informed trading decisions. Always consider risk management, such as position sizing based on volatility measures like the Average True Range (ATR), which currently indicates daily fluctuations of about $3,000 for BTC.

To optimize trading strategies, investors might explore correlations with stock markets, where a bullish BTC breakout could coincide with gains in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, driven by shared risk-on sentiment. For those focused on AI tokens, positive BTC momentum often spills over to projects like FET or AGIX, enhancing portfolio diversification. Ultimately, staying updated with real-time price data and gamma updates from sources like Deribit will be key to capitalizing on these opportunities.

Omkar Godbole, MMS Finance, CMT

@godbole17

Staff of MMS Finance.