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Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance Nears Peak, Signaling Potential Altcoin Season Ahead, Analyst Says | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/7/2025 9:21:58 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance Nears Peak, Signaling Potential Altcoin Season Ahead, Analyst Says

Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance Nears Peak, Signaling Potential Altcoin Season Ahead, Analyst Says

According to Gregory Mall, Chief Investment Officer at Lionsoul Global, Bitcoin's (BTC) recent rally and rising market dominance, which has climbed above 54%, are historically key indicators that an altcoin rally may be approaching. Citing the 2017 and 2021 cycles, Mall notes that altcoin outperformance typically lagged BTC's all-time highs by two to six months. The current BTC surge is attributed to institutional inflows from spot ETFs, which have surpassed $16 billion year-to-date, and optimism surrounding potential central bank rate cuts. Early signs of a market rotation are potentially emerging, highlighted by Ethereum's (ETH) 81% rally since its April lows. Traders are advised to monitor for broader institutional adoption of diversified crypto products, innovation in Layer 1 ecosystems like Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX), and the resurgence of DeFi, where Total Value Locked (TVL) has recovered to over $117 billion. However, Mall also cautions that crypto remains a risk-on asset class vulnerable to global economic fragility, as noted in a recent OECD report.

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Analysis

In a strategic move that echoes the corporate crypto treasury playbook but with a significant twist, Unicoin has announced its agreement to acquire a 51% majority stake in the digital asset firm Diamond Lake Minerals. The deal, announced Monday, will see Diamond Lake Minerals rebranded as DiamondLake and pivot its focus to building a corporate treasury centered not on Bitcoin (BTC), but on a diversified portfolio of emerging altcoins. This altcoin treasury strategy is a bold departure from the BTC-centric model famously pioneered by companies like MicroStrategy. With Diamond Lake Minerals' shares last trading at $3.96, the acquisition's valuation could exceed $70 million, with the deal expected to close within 20 days. Unicoin CEO Alex Konanykhin positioned the acquisition as a forward-looking bet on the expanding altcoin market, suggesting that the impressive returns seen with Bitcoin could be replicated in the altcoin segment at a lower cost basis.

However, this ambitious venture is shadowed by significant legal challenges. Just a month prior to this acquisition news, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Unicoin and its executives, including Konanykhin, alleging a major securities fraud that raised over $100 million from investors. The SEC claims the company used misleading marketing and inflated asset valuations to lure investors with unrealistic return projections. Konanykhin has vehemently denied these allegations, framing the SEC's actions as part of a broader, aggressive stance against the crypto industry and rejecting a proposed settlement. For traders and investors, this legal battle introduces a substantial layer of counterparty risk, contrasting the company's forward-thinking altcoin strategy with serious regulatory scrutiny that could impact its operational future.

Bitcoin's Rally and the Looming Altcoin Rotation

While Unicoin bets on altcoins, the broader market has been dominated by Bitcoin's recent performance. According to analysis from Gregory Mall, Chief Investment Officer at Lionsoul Global, Bitcoin's surge to new all-time highs around May 22 occurred amid low trading volumes and widespread market skepticism, leading some to dub it the "most hated rally." This created a significant divergence in the market. While BTC tested its peaks, major altcoins remained far below their 2021 highs; as of early June, Ethereum (ETH) was still trading approximately 20% below its all-time high, and Solana (SOL) was down over 30%. This dynamic has pushed Bitcoin dominance—its share of the total crypto market capitalization—to over 54%, a steep climb from around 38% in late 2022. This concentration of capital in BTC is a critical indicator for traders watching for the next market phase.

Historical Cycles Point to an Impending Altseason

History provides a compelling roadmap for what might come next. In previous bull cycles, such as those in 2017 and 2021, a peak in Bitcoin dominance often preceded a major rally in altcoins. This capital rotation from BTC into the broader altcoin market typically lagged Bitcoin's new all-time highs by two to six months. Signs of this rotation may already be emerging. Ethereum's powerful 81% rally from its April lows is a strong signal that market sentiment is beginning to shift. Further bolstering the case for an "altseason" is the resurgence in the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) sector. According to data from DeFiLlama, the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols has surged past $117 billion, a 31% increase from the lows seen in April, indicating renewed confidence and capital flow into on-chain applications.

Institutional Flows Creating a Supply Shock

The fuel for Bitcoin's initial surge, and potentially the subsequent altcoin rally, is unprecedented institutional adoption. As noted by expert Kevin Tam, the demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs has been immense. In the past year, ETFs purchased approximately 500,000 BTC, while miners produced only 164,250 BTC, meaning ETF demand outstripped new supply by a factor of three. This doesn't even account for the 250,000 BTC acquired by corporations. This intense buying pressure is creating a significant supply shock. We are seeing tangible evidence of this institutional wave, with Canadian pension fund manager Trans-Canada Capital adding $55 million in spot BTC ETFs to its portfolio. As these large-scale investors establish a foothold in Bitcoin, the natural next step is diversification into other digital assets. This rotation, driven by a search for higher beta and exposure to different blockchain ecosystems like Solana and Avalanche, could be the primary catalyst that ignites the broader altcoin market in the coming months.

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

Retired crypto hunter seeking 1000x gems through BullX strategies

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