Bitcoin (BTC) Down 25% From $126,000 ATH to $94,500 — What This Drawdown Means for Traders Now | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/14/2025 1:51:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Down 25% From $126,000 ATH to $94,500 — What This Drawdown Means for Traders Now

Bitcoin (BTC) Down 25% From $126,000 ATH to $94,500 — What This Drawdown Means for Traders Now

According to @charliebilello, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $94,500, a 25% decline from its October 6 all-time high of $126,000, source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 14, 2025. He states this is not a big decline for Bitcoin, suggesting the move falls within the asset’s typical volatility by his view, source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 14, 2025. For traders, this sets a defined 25% retracement band from $126,000 to $94,500 that can guide position sizing and risk thresholds around recent highs and current levels, source: @charliebilello on X, Nov 14, 2025.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's price action has once again captured the attention of traders worldwide, with the cryptocurrency currently trading at $94,500, marking a 25% decline from its all-time high of $126,000 reached on October 6. According to market analyst Charlie Bilello, this pullback is far from unusual for BTC, highlighting the volatile nature that defines cryptocurrency trading. As traders assess this correction, it's essential to dive into the historical context and potential trading opportunities that arise from such movements. Bitcoin has a storied history of sharp declines even during bull runs, often serving as healthy corrections that shake out weak hands and set the stage for further upside. This recent drop comes amid broader market dynamics, including macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations and institutional adoption trends, which continue to influence BTC's trajectory.

Analyzing Bitcoin's 25% Decline: Key Support Levels and Trading Indicators

In the realm of technical analysis, Bitcoin's descent to $94,500 places it near critical support zones that savvy traders are monitoring closely. Historical data shows that BTC has experienced drawdowns exceeding 20% multiple times within single bull cycles, with recoveries often leading to new highs. For instance, looking at on-chain metrics, the current price level aligns with the 50-day moving average, which has acted as a reliable support during previous corrections. Trading volumes have remained robust, suggesting that the sell-off is not driven by panic but rather by profit-taking after the rapid ascent to $126,000. Traders eyeing entry points might consider the $90,000 to $95,000 range as a potential accumulation zone, especially if BTC holds above the 200-day moving average around $85,000. Market indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are approaching oversold territory at around 40, indicating a possible rebound if buying pressure resumes. From a trading perspective, this correction presents opportunities for swing traders to capitalize on volatility, perhaps through BTC/USD pairs on major exchanges, where 24-hour trading volumes have hovered in the billions, underscoring sustained interest.

Market Sentiment and Institutional Flows Impacting BTC

Shifting focus to market sentiment, the 25% drop from the October 6 peak has not deterred institutional investors, who continue to view Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and a digital store of value. Recent inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have provided a buffer, with billions in assets under management supporting price stability. According to various financial reports, this pullback mirrors patterns seen in 2021, where a similar decline preceded a surge to new all-time highs. For cryptocurrency traders, this environment encourages a balanced approach: monitoring on-chain activity such as whale transactions and hash rate, which remain strong, signaling network health. Cross-market correlations are also noteworthy; Bitcoin's movements often influence altcoins like ETH, with trading pairs such as BTC/ETH showing relative strength in ETH during BTC dips. Institutional flows, particularly from entities adopting crypto for portfolio diversification, could propel BTC back toward resistance levels near $110,000 if positive catalysts like regulatory clarity emerge. Traders should watch for breakout signals above $100,000, which could invalidate bearish theses and open doors to leveraged positions with defined risk management.

Beyond the immediate price action, broader implications for the crypto market include potential ripple effects on stock markets, where tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq often move in tandem with BTC due to shared investor bases in innovation-driven assets. This interconnectedness offers trading opportunities in correlated assets, such as AI-related tokens that benefit from blockchain advancements. For those analyzing from a crypto perspective, the current scenario underscores the importance of dollar-cost averaging strategies during dips, as historical precedents show average returns exceeding 100% post-correction. In summary, while the 25% decline might seem steep to newcomers, seasoned traders recognize it as par for the course in Bitcoin's journey, potentially setting up for explosive gains ahead. By focusing on concrete data points like the October 6 high and current support levels, investors can navigate this volatility with informed strategies, always prioritizing risk assessment in their trading plans.

Delving deeper into trading-focused insights, consider the impact of macroeconomic events on BTC's price. With global uncertainties, Bitcoin's safe-haven appeal strengthens, yet short-term pressures from liquidations in futures markets—where open interest peaked near the all-time high—have contributed to the pullback. On-chain metrics reveal that long-term holders are not selling en masse, with the percentage of BTC held for over a year remaining above 60%, a bullish signal. For day traders, volatility indices like the Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVOL) spiking during this period suggest opportunities in options trading, where premiums rise with uncertainty. Multiple trading pairs, including BTC/USDT and BTC/EUR, show consistent liquidity, enabling efficient entries and exits. Looking ahead, if BTC reclaims the $100,000 psychological barrier, it could trigger a wave of FOMO buying, pushing volumes higher and potentially testing the previous high by year's end. This analysis emphasizes the need for traders to stay updated with real-time data, using tools like moving averages and volume profiles to identify optimal trading setups in this dynamic market.

Charlie Bilello

@charliebilello

Charlie Bilello is the Founder and CEO of Compound Capital Advisors. He shares data-driven insights on financial markets, economic trends, and investment strategies. His content features historical market analysis, inflation updates, and ETF performance research. Followers receive factual charts and statistical perspectives on wealth building and risk management.