Bitcoin (BTC) Forms Lower High, Eyes $116.5K Test - @CryptoMichNL Trading Outlook

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) remains stalled and has created a lower high, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Aug 13, 2025. He highlights a potential $116.5K test as the next focus for the market, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Aug 13, 2025.
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As Bitcoin continues to navigate uncertain waters, prominent crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe has highlighted key developments in the market. In a recent tweet dated August 13, 2025, he noted that Bitcoin remains stalled, having formed a lower high, and expressed curiosity about whether the cryptocurrency will test the $116.5K level in the coming days. This observation comes at a time when traders are closely monitoring Bitcoin's price action for signs of a potential breakout or further correction, making it a critical point for trading strategies.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Stalling Patterns and Lower Highs
Diving deeper into the technicals, Bitcoin's recent formation of a lower high suggests weakening bullish momentum. According to Michaël van de Poppe, this stalling behavior could precede a significant move, particularly if BTC approaches the $116.5K resistance level. Traders should note that lower highs often indicate seller dominance, potentially leading to increased volatility. For instance, if we look at historical patterns, similar setups in Bitcoin's chart have preceded drops of 5-10% before rebounds, though exact outcomes depend on broader market sentiment. Currently, without real-time data, it's essential to watch support levels around $100K to $105K, where buying interest might emerge to prevent deeper corrections. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as reduced transaction volumes during this stall, could signal waning retail participation, urging traders to consider hedging positions with derivatives on platforms like Binance or Bybit.
Trading Opportunities Amid Uncertainty
For those eyeing trading opportunities, the potential test of $116.5K presents a high-reward setup. If Bitcoin breaks above this level with strong volume, it could invalidate the lower high and target new all-time highs, perhaps reaching $120K or beyond in a bullish scenario. Conversely, a rejection at $116.5K might confirm bearish pressures, driving prices toward $90K support. Traders are advised to monitor key indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which, if dipping below 50, could foreshadow oversold conditions ripe for long entries. Pairing BTC with stablecoins like USDT for spot trading or leveraging futures contracts could amplify gains, but risk management is crucial—set stop-losses 3-5% below entry points to mitigate downside. Additionally, correlations with stock markets, such as the S&P 500, should be factored in; a rally in equities often boosts crypto sentiment, potentially aiding Bitcoin's push toward $116.5K.
Broader market implications extend to altcoins and institutional flows. Ethereum (ETH), for example, often mirrors Bitcoin's movements, and a BTC stall could pressure ETH toward $4,000 support. On-chain data from sources like Glassnode might reveal whale accumulations, providing bullish signals despite the lower high. Institutional interest, evidenced by recent ETF inflows, could catalyze a reversal if positive economic data emerges. Traders should stay vigilant for macroeconomic triggers, such as interest rate decisions, which historically influence Bitcoin's trajectory. In summary, while Bitcoin's current stall and lower high create uncertainty, the $116.5K test could be a pivotal moment, offering strategic entry points for both short-term scalpers and long-term holders. By focusing on concrete levels and indicators, investors can navigate this phase with informed decisions, always prioritizing verified data over speculation.
Looking ahead, the coming days will be telling. If Bitcoin fails to test $116.5K convincingly, it might consolidate further, testing trader patience. However, a surge in trading volume—say, exceeding 50,000 BTC in 24 hours on major exchanges—could signal renewed momentum. For diversified portfolios, consider exposure to AI-related tokens like FET or RNDR, which might benefit from any positive crypto sentiment spillover. Ultimately, this analysis underscores the importance of adaptive trading strategies in volatile markets, ensuring positions align with real-time developments.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast