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Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Above Key Short-Term Cost Basis Levels as Top-Heavy Risk Remains Limited - June 2025 Analysis | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/12/2025 10:16:24 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Above Key Short-Term Cost Basis Levels as Top-Heavy Risk Remains Limited - June 2025 Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Above Key Short-Term Cost Basis Levels as Top-Heavy Risk Remains Limited - June 2025 Analysis

According to glassnode, despite the recent price pullback, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade above major short-term cost basis levels as of June 11, 2025. The 1-week cost basis stands at $106.2K, 1-month at $105.2K, 3-month at $98.3K, and 6-month at $97.0K. This suggests most short-term BTC holders are still in profit, reducing the likelihood of widespread sell-offs and limiting top-heavy risk in the current market structure. The data indicates a strong support zone for BTC, which is a critical signal for crypto traders evaluating entry and exit points (source: glassnode on Twitter, June 12, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, has shown resilience despite a recent pullback, maintaining its position above key short-term cost basis levels. As of June 11, 2025, data from Glassnode reveals that Bitcoin's short-term cost basis levels are as follows: 1-week cost basis at $106,200, 1-month at $105,200, 3-month at $98,300, and 6-month at $97,000. This indicates that most short-term holders are still in profit, suggesting that the risk of a top-heavy market, where holders might sell en masse to lock in gains, remains limited. This stability comes at a time when broader financial markets, including stocks, are experiencing volatility due to macroeconomic concerns like inflation data and interest rate expectations. For instance, the S&P 500 saw a 0.5% dip on June 10, 2025, reflecting risk-off sentiment among investors, as reported by Bloomberg. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's ability to hold above these cost basis levels signals a divergence from traditional markets, potentially attracting traders looking for safe-haven assets amid stock market uncertainty. This dynamic creates a unique opportunity for crypto traders to monitor cross-market correlations and capitalize on Bitcoin’s relative strength. Understanding these cost basis levels is crucial for anyone searching for Bitcoin price analysis or short-term trading strategies, as they provide insight into holder behavior and potential support zones.

From a trading perspective, Bitcoin's position above these cost basis levels implies a reduced likelihood of panic selling among short-term holders as of June 11, 2025. This could present a buying opportunity for traders eyeing dips, especially if Bitcoin tests lower support levels near the 3-month cost basis of $98,300. On the same date, trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance showed a moderate increase of 8% compared to the previous week, with the BTC/USDT pair recording over $2.1 billion in 24-hour volume, according to CoinGecko data. This uptick in volume suggests growing interest despite the pullback, potentially driven by institutional flows seeking exposure to Bitcoin as a hedge against stock market declines. The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 has weakened recently, dropping to 0.3 on June 10, 2025, as per Kaiko analytics, indicating that crypto markets are less influenced by tech stock movements than in prior months. For traders, this decoupling offers a chance to diversify portfolios, focusing on Bitcoin-specific catalysts like on-chain activity and holder sentiment rather than broader equity market trends. Those searching for Bitcoin trading opportunities or crypto market analysis should note these volume shifts and correlation changes.

Technical indicators further support a cautiously bullish outlook for Bitcoin as of June 11, 2025. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 52, reflecting neutral momentum but with room for upward movement before hitting overbought territory, per TradingView data. Additionally, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average sits at $101,500, providing a near-term support level above the 3-month cost basis of $98,300. On-chain metrics from Glassnode also show a 5% increase in active addresses over the past week, reaching 620,000 on June 10, 2025, signaling sustained network activity despite price consolidation. In terms of stock market correlation, Bitcoin’s limited reaction to the S&P 500’s 0.5% drop on June 10, 2025, underscores a shift in investor risk appetite, with some institutional money likely rotating into crypto as a speculative asset. This is evident in the $150 million inflow into Bitcoin ETFs on June 9, 2025, as reported by CoinDesk. For traders exploring crypto-stock market correlation or institutional investment trends, these data points highlight Bitcoin’s growing appeal as a non-correlated asset. Monitoring ETF flows and on-chain metrics will be key for identifying future price catalysts.

In summary, Bitcoin’s stability above short-term cost basis levels as of June 11, 2025, combined with declining correlation to stock indices, positions it as a potential hedge for traders navigating uncertain equity markets. Institutional interest, reflected in ETF inflows and rising trading volumes, further supports a constructive outlook for crypto assets. Traders focusing on Bitcoin price predictions or cross-market trading strategies should keep an eye on these evolving dynamics for actionable insights.

FAQ:
What do Bitcoin's short-term cost basis levels indicate as of June 11, 2025?
Bitcoin's short-term cost basis levels, such as the 1-week at $106,200 and 3-month at $98,300, indicate the average purchase price for holders over those timeframes. As Bitcoin trades above these levels, most short-term holders remain in profit, reducing the risk of widespread selling pressure.

How does Bitcoin correlate with stock markets recently?
As of June 10, 2025, Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has dropped to 0.3, showing a weaker link to tech stocks. This decoupling suggests Bitcoin is behaving more independently, potentially attracting investors seeking diversification amid stock market volatility.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.

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