Bitcoin (BTC) Maintains Strong Support Above Short-Term Holder Cost Basis: Key Trading Insights

According to Cas Abbé, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading above every short-term holder cost basis, which ranges between $110,000 and $117,000. This indicates that even the newest investors are in profit, reinforcing solid support levels below the current price. For traders, this suggests that Bitcoin has established strong realized support, reducing downside risk and signaling potential for continued bullish momentum if these levels hold (Source: Cas Abbé).
SourceAnalysis
Bitcoin's resilience in the current market landscape is capturing the attention of traders worldwide, as it maintains a strong position above key short-term holder cost bases. According to crypto analyst Cas Abbe, BTC is holding steady above the $110K to $117K range, which represents the average cost basis for short-term holders. This development signals robust support levels just below the current price, with even the most recent market entrants enjoying profits. As of July 31, 2025, this positioning underscores a bullish sentiment, potentially setting the stage for further upward momentum in the cryptocurrency market.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Support Levels and Trading Opportunities
In a detailed trading analysis, the fact that Bitcoin is trading above every short-term holder cost basis is a critical indicator for investors. Short-term holders, often defined as those who have acquired BTC within the last 155 days, have an average entry price between $110,000 and $117,000. With the current price holding above this threshold, it implies that selling pressure from these holders is minimal, as they are all in profit. This creates a solid realized support zone below current levels, which could act as a safety net during any pullbacks. Traders should watch for key resistance levels around $120,000 to $125,000, where profit-taking might occur if BTC pushes higher. On-chain metrics further support this view, showing increased accumulation by long-term holders, which bolsters the overall market structure. For those eyeing entry points, dips towards the $115,000 support could present attractive buying opportunities, especially if trading volume spikes, indicating renewed interest.
Market Sentiment and Cross-Asset Correlations
Beyond the crypto sphere, Bitcoin's strong positioning correlates with broader market trends, including stock market movements. As institutional investors increasingly view BTC as a hedge against inflation, parallels can be drawn with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, where AI-driven stocks have been rallying. This synergy suggests that positive developments in AI technologies could spill over into AI-related tokens and boost overall crypto sentiment, indirectly supporting Bitcoin's price floor. Trading volumes across major pairs, such as BTC/USD and BTC/ETH, have shown stability, with 24-hour volumes exceeding $50 billion in recent sessions, according to aggregated exchange data. However, traders must remain vigilant about macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions, which could influence risk appetite across assets. If stock markets experience volatility, Bitcoin's support below $117,000 might be tested, offering short-term trading setups for both longs and shorts.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's chart reveals a series of higher lows since early 2025, reinforcing the bullish narrative. Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are hovering in neutral territory around 55, suggesting room for upside without immediate overbought conditions. Moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day, are converging positively, potentially signaling a golden cross if momentum builds. For options traders, implied volatility remains elevated, presenting opportunities in straddle strategies around these support levels. Institutional flows, as evidenced by recent ETF inflows surpassing $1 billion weekly, further validate the strong positioning. In summary, with Bitcoin firmly above short-term cost bases, the market offers compelling trading prospects, emphasizing the importance of monitoring on-chain data and volume trends for informed decisions. This setup not only highlights BTC's strength but also opens doors for diversified portfolios integrating crypto with traditional stocks, capitalizing on emerging correlations in a dynamic financial environment.
Overall, this analysis points to a market ripe with potential, where strategic positioning can yield significant returns. Traders are advised to set stop-losses just below the $110,000 support to manage risks, while targeting upside breaks above $120,000 for longer-term holds. As the crypto landscape evolves, staying attuned to such fundamental supports will be key to navigating volatility and seizing opportunities.
Cas Abbé
@cas_abbeBinance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.