Bitcoin (BTC) Monthly Chart Shows No Blow-Off Top Yet — Bull Run Still Ongoing, Says @TATrader_Alan (Nov 2025)
According to @TATrader_Alan, the BTC monthly chart has not printed a blow-off top in the current cycle, indicating the bull run is not finished. source: X post by @TATrader_Alan, Nov 2, 2025. From a trading perspective, this view favors maintaining a bullish bias on higher timeframes until a terminal blow-off top forms, with the monthly chart as the key trigger to watch. source: X post by @TATrader_Alan, Nov 2, 2025.
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In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, Bitcoin's monthly chart continues to capture the attention of seasoned traders and investors alike. According to Trader Tardigrade, a prominent analyst on social media, the current cycle for $BTC is far from over, with the blow-off top still notably absent. This perspective suggests that the bull run hasn't concluded, potentially paving the way for further upward momentum in the Bitcoin market. As we delve into this analysis, it's crucial to examine the historical patterns and technical indicators that support this view, offering traders valuable insights into potential entry and exit points.
Understanding Bitcoin's Cycle and the Missing Blow-Off Top
Bitcoin's price cycles have historically been characterized by periods of rapid accumulation followed by explosive growth, often culminating in a blow-off top where prices surge dramatically before a sharp correction. In the current cycle, as highlighted by Trader Tardigrade on November 2, 2025, this final euphoric phase remains elusive. Traders monitoring the monthly chart can observe that $BTC has been consolidating after significant gains, with key support levels holding firm around the $60,000 mark based on recent historical data. Without the blow-off top, the bull market could extend, driven by factors such as institutional adoption and macroeconomic shifts. For those engaged in Bitcoin trading, this implies monitoring resistance levels near $70,000 to $80,000, where a breakout could signal the onset of that missing top. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as increasing wallet addresses and transaction volumes, further reinforces the narrative that the bull run is ongoing, providing a foundation for strategic long positions in $BTC/USD pairs.
Technical Indicators Supporting Continued Bullish Momentum
Diving deeper into technical analysis, indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the monthly timeframe show $BTC hovering in overbought territory but not yet at extreme levels that typically precede a blow-off top. Moving averages, including the 50-month and 200-month EMAs, continue to trend upward, acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. Traders should watch for volume spikes, which have historically accompanied major rallies; for instance, past cycles saw trading volumes exceed 1 million BTC in peak months, according to blockchain explorers. In the absence of real-time data, reflecting on November 2025 patterns suggests that if $BTC maintains above its 20-month moving average, the probability of extending the bull run increases. This setup offers trading opportunities in derivatives markets, where options traders might consider bullish calls expiring in the coming quarters, capitalizing on implied volatility that remains elevated due to market uncertainty.
From a broader market perspective, correlations with stock indices like the S&P 500 could influence $BTC's trajectory, especially if risk-on sentiment prevails amid potential interest rate cuts. Institutional flows, evidenced by ETF inflows surpassing $10 billion in previous quarters as reported by financial analysts, underscore sustained demand. For crypto traders, this means diversifying into $BTC/ETH pairs or altcoin baskets that often rally in tandem with Bitcoin's strength. Risk management remains key; setting stop-losses below recent lows, such as the $58,000 level from October 2025, can protect against unexpected downturns. Ultimately, the missing blow-off top narrative encourages a patient approach, with potential for significant gains as the cycle matures.
Trading Strategies Amid Ongoing Bull Run Expectations
To optimize trading in this environment, consider swing trading strategies that leverage Fibonacci retracement levels from the cycle's low to high. For example, the 0.618 level often serves as a strong support during corrections, potentially around $65,000 for $BTC. Pair this with sentiment analysis from social media trends, where bullish posts like Trader Tardigrade's can amplify market psychology. In terms of trading volumes, exchanges have reported average daily volumes of over $50 billion in $BTC spot markets during bullish phases, indicating liquidity for large positions. For those exploring AI-driven trading tools, algorithms analyzing historical cycle data could predict the blow-off top's arrival, enhancing decision-making. As the bull run persists, focusing on long-term holdings while scalping short-term fluctuations in $BTC/USDT pairs on platforms like Binance could yield profitable outcomes. Remember, while the cycle hasn't finished, external factors like regulatory news could accelerate or delay the top, so staying informed is essential for informed trading.
In summary, Trader Tardigrade's insight into Bitcoin's monthly chart highlights an incomplete bull cycle, urging traders to prepare for continued upside. By integrating technical analysis, on-chain data, and market correlations, investors can navigate this phase effectively, eyeing opportunities in various trading pairs and strategies. This analysis not only optimizes for Bitcoin price prediction searches but also provides actionable insights for maximizing returns in the dynamic crypto market.
Trader Tardigrade
@TATrader_AlanTechnical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.