Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Analyst Warns of Incoming Volatility Despite Upward Trend

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin (BTC) is not displaying a strong daily candle, which could indicate short-term bearish pressure. His analysis suggests that traders should prepare for incoming volatility. Despite the weak short-term signal, van de Poppe emphasizes that the broader, significant trend for Bitcoin remains upward, suggesting that the long-term bullish structure is still intact.
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Bitcoin traders are closely monitoring the latest developments as highlighted by prominent analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who noted on July 14, 2025, that BTC isn't forming a strong daily candle. Despite this, he emphasizes that volatility is on the horizon, with the overarching narrative being an upward trend. This insight comes at a pivotal time for cryptocurrency markets, where understanding daily price actions can unlock significant trading opportunities. As we delve into this analysis, we'll explore how this fits into broader Bitcoin trading strategies, potential support and resistance levels, and what it means for investors eyeing long-term gains in the crypto space.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Daily Candle and Impending Volatility
In his recent tweet, Michaël van de Poppe pointed out the lackluster performance in Bitcoin's daily candle as of July 14, 2025, signaling potential short-term weaknesses. For traders, the daily candle is a critical indicator, often revealing momentum shifts through patterns like doji or engulfing formations. Without a robust close, BTC might be consolidating before a breakout, which aligns with van de Poppe's warning of incoming volatility. Historically, such periods of subdued candle strength have preceded sharp price swings, with Bitcoin volatility indexes like the BVOL often spiking in response. Traders should watch key levels: support around $60,000, based on recent consolidation zones, and resistance near $70,000, where previous highs have capped rallies. If volatility ramps up, options trading could become attractive, with strategies like straddles capitalizing on undefined directional moves. This setup underscores the importance of risk management, as sudden spikes could liquidate overleveraged positions on exchanges.
Uptrend Remains the Big Story for BTC
Amid the noise of daily fluctuations, van de Poppe's core message is clear: the Bitcoin trend is upward. This bullish outlook is supported by on-chain metrics showing increased accumulation by long-term holders, with metrics like the HODL waves indicating reduced selling pressure. As of mid-2025, institutional flows into Bitcoin ETFs have continued to bolster this trend, driving net inflows that correlate with price recoveries. For spot traders, this means focusing on dip-buying opportunities during volatile pullbacks, targeting entries near moving averages such as the 50-day EMA. Pairing BTC with stablecoins like USDT on major exchanges could enhance liquidity, while cross-market correlations with stocks like those in the Nasdaq might offer additional insights—if tech equities rally, Bitcoin often follows suit. Sentiment analysis from social platforms further reinforces this uptrend, with positive mentions outweighing bearish ones, potentially setting the stage for a push toward all-time highs.
From a technical standpoint, integrating tools like RSI and MACD can provide deeper trading signals. Currently, if Bitcoin's RSI hovers around neutral levels, it suggests room for upward momentum without overbought conditions. Volume analysis is key here; a surge in trading volume during volatility could confirm the uptrend's strength, with recent 24-hour volumes exceeding $50 billion on peak days. Traders should also consider macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions, which have historically influenced crypto trends. For instance, dovish policies from central banks often fuel risk-on assets like BTC. In summary, while the daily candle may not inspire confidence, the bigger picture points to resilience, offering savvy traders chances to position for gains amid expected market turbulence.
Looking ahead, Bitcoin's volatility could intersect with emerging trends in AI and decentralized finance, potentially amplifying trading volumes in related tokens. Investors might explore diversified portfolios, allocating to BTC alongside AI-driven projects for balanced exposure. Ultimately, staying informed through verified analyses like van de Poppe's can guide decisions, emphasizing patience in an uptrending market. With these dynamics in play, the cryptocurrency landscape remains ripe for strategic trades, blending technical prowess with fundamental awareness.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast