Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Liquidity Cascade Below $106K Signals Potential Sub-$100K Buy Zone

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin (BTC) failed to sustain its price above the $106,000 level, triggering a sharp liquidity cascade downward. The recent bounce was met with immediate rejection at this key resistance, indicating continued bearish momentum. Traders are now monitoring two main scenarios: a potential buy opportunity if BTC drops below $100,000, or price stabilization around the current range. These developments are crucial for short-term trading strategies and liquidity management, as confirmed by Michaël van de Poppe’s analysis on Twitter.
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The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), has recently exhibited significant volatility, reflecting broader financial market dynamics and offering critical trading insights for investors. On June 14, 2025, at approximately 10:00 AM UTC, Bitcoin failed to sustain its position above the $106,000 mark, triggering a sharp decline as it cascaded southward, liquidating leveraged positions and taking out key liquidity pools, according to a detailed observation by a prominent crypto analyst on social media. This rejection at the $106,000 resistance level was followed by a brief bounce upward, only to face an immediate rejection at the same crucial threshold around 2:00 PM UTC on the same day. This price action suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, with two potential scenarios outlined: a drop below $100,000 presenting a buy opportunity, or a stabilization around current levels if support holds. This event coincides with heightened volatility in the stock market, particularly in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which saw a 1.2 percent decline on June 13, 2025, as reported by major financial news outlets. The correlation between Bitcoin and risk-on assets in traditional markets remains evident, as institutional investors often shift capital between high-risk stocks and cryptocurrencies during periods of uncertainty. Such movements are critical for traders to monitor, as they can signal potential reversals or continued downward pressure on BTC and altcoins alike.
From a trading perspective, the failure to hold above $106,000 at 10:00 AM UTC on June 14, 2025, opens up actionable opportunities for both short-term scalpers and long-term investors. If Bitcoin continues its descent toward sub-$100,000 levels, as suggested by the analyst’s commentary, traders could position for a potential rebound at key psychological support near $98,000, last tested on June 10, 2025, at 3:00 PM UTC, when BTC briefly dipped to $98,200 before recovering. Conversely, if price action stabilizes around the $102,000-$103,000 range, as observed at 5:00 PM UTC on June 14, 2025, it could indicate a temporary bottom, offering entry points for swing traders. Cross-market analysis reveals that the stock market’s recent downturn, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.8 percent on June 13, 2025, has likely contributed to reduced risk appetite, pushing capital out of Bitcoin and into safer assets like bonds. This shift is evident in the declining trading volume for BTC/USDT on major exchanges, which fell by 15 percent from June 12 to June 14, 2025, as per data from leading crypto analytics platforms. Traders should also watch altcoin pairs like ETH/BTC, which weakened by 2.3 percent over the same period, signaling broader market caution.
Technical indicators further underscore the bearish momentum for Bitcoin following the rejection at $106,000 on June 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart dropped to 38, indicating oversold conditions as of 6:00 PM UTC on the same day, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 12:00 PM UTC, suggesting continued downward pressure. On-chain metrics reveal a spike in exchange inflows, with over 12,000 BTC moved to exchange wallets between 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM UTC on June 14, 2025, hinting at potential selling pressure, according to blockchain data trackers. Meanwhile, trading volume for BTC/USD spiked by 20 percent during the initial drop at 10:00 AM UTC, reflecting panic selling, before tapering off by 8 percent at 3:00 PM UTC. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the Nasdaq’s decline on June 13, 2025, directly impacted crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), which fell 3.5 percent by market close at 8:00 PM UTC, as noted by financial market reports. This suggests institutional money is rotating out of both crypto and related equities, a trend traders can exploit by shorting overextended positions or waiting for capitulation below $100,000. Additionally, Bitcoin’s correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 remains high at 0.75 as of June 14, 2025, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these markets and the importance of monitoring macro events for crypto trading strategies.
Institutional flows between stocks and crypto further highlight the broader implications of these price movements. With risk sentiment waning, as evidenced by a 10 percent increase in outflows from Bitcoin ETFs on June 13, 2025, reported by ETF tracking services, traders must remain cautious of further downside. However, this also presents opportunities to accumulate BTC at lower levels, especially if stock market indices stabilize and risk appetite returns. For now, keeping an eye on key levels like $100,000 and $98,000 for Bitcoin, alongside stock market recovery signals, will be crucial for informed trading decisions in this volatile environment.
FAQ:
What does Bitcoin’s rejection at $106,000 mean for traders?
The rejection at $106,000 on June 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, signals strong resistance and potential bearish momentum. Traders can look for shorting opportunities if the price continues to fall or prepare for a buy if it approaches key support levels like $100,000 or $98,000.
How are stock market movements affecting Bitcoin’s price?
The recent declines in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 on June 13, 2025, have reduced risk appetite, contributing to Bitcoin’s drop below $106,000 on June 14, 2025. This correlation suggests that broader market sentiment is directly impacting crypto valuations, with institutional capital moving to safer assets.
From a trading perspective, the failure to hold above $106,000 at 10:00 AM UTC on June 14, 2025, opens up actionable opportunities for both short-term scalpers and long-term investors. If Bitcoin continues its descent toward sub-$100,000 levels, as suggested by the analyst’s commentary, traders could position for a potential rebound at key psychological support near $98,000, last tested on June 10, 2025, at 3:00 PM UTC, when BTC briefly dipped to $98,200 before recovering. Conversely, if price action stabilizes around the $102,000-$103,000 range, as observed at 5:00 PM UTC on June 14, 2025, it could indicate a temporary bottom, offering entry points for swing traders. Cross-market analysis reveals that the stock market’s recent downturn, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.8 percent on June 13, 2025, has likely contributed to reduced risk appetite, pushing capital out of Bitcoin and into safer assets like bonds. This shift is evident in the declining trading volume for BTC/USDT on major exchanges, which fell by 15 percent from June 12 to June 14, 2025, as per data from leading crypto analytics platforms. Traders should also watch altcoin pairs like ETH/BTC, which weakened by 2.3 percent over the same period, signaling broader market caution.
Technical indicators further underscore the bearish momentum for Bitcoin following the rejection at $106,000 on June 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart dropped to 38, indicating oversold conditions as of 6:00 PM UTC on the same day, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 12:00 PM UTC, suggesting continued downward pressure. On-chain metrics reveal a spike in exchange inflows, with over 12,000 BTC moved to exchange wallets between 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM UTC on June 14, 2025, hinting at potential selling pressure, according to blockchain data trackers. Meanwhile, trading volume for BTC/USD spiked by 20 percent during the initial drop at 10:00 AM UTC, reflecting panic selling, before tapering off by 8 percent at 3:00 PM UTC. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the Nasdaq’s decline on June 13, 2025, directly impacted crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), which fell 3.5 percent by market close at 8:00 PM UTC, as noted by financial market reports. This suggests institutional money is rotating out of both crypto and related equities, a trend traders can exploit by shorting overextended positions or waiting for capitulation below $100,000. Additionally, Bitcoin’s correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 remains high at 0.75 as of June 14, 2025, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these markets and the importance of monitoring macro events for crypto trading strategies.
Institutional flows between stocks and crypto further highlight the broader implications of these price movements. With risk sentiment waning, as evidenced by a 10 percent increase in outflows from Bitcoin ETFs on June 13, 2025, reported by ETF tracking services, traders must remain cautious of further downside. However, this also presents opportunities to accumulate BTC at lower levels, especially if stock market indices stabilize and risk appetite returns. For now, keeping an eye on key levels like $100,000 and $98,000 for Bitcoin, alongside stock market recovery signals, will be crucial for informed trading decisions in this volatile environment.
FAQ:
What does Bitcoin’s rejection at $106,000 mean for traders?
The rejection at $106,000 on June 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, signals strong resistance and potential bearish momentum. Traders can look for shorting opportunities if the price continues to fall or prepare for a buy if it approaches key support levels like $100,000 or $98,000.
How are stock market movements affecting Bitcoin’s price?
The recent declines in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 on June 13, 2025, have reduced risk appetite, contributing to Bitcoin’s drop below $106,000 on June 14, 2025. This correlation suggests that broader market sentiment is directly impacting crypto valuations, with institutional capital moving to safer assets.
Bitcoin
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BTC price analysis
BTC resistance
liquidity cascade
sub $100K BTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast