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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Why a Recent Breakout was a Liquidity Sweep and a Retest of Lows is Likely | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/23/2025 7:56:43 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Why a Recent Breakout was a Liquidity Sweep and a Retest of Lows is Likely

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Why a Recent Breakout was a Liquidity Sweep and a Retest of Lows is Likely

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the recent upward price movement for Bitcoin (BTC) was not a genuine breakout but a liquidity sweep. He states that BTC has returned to its trading range, which makes it probable that the price will retest the lows of this range. Additionally, van de Poppe observes that gold is showing strength, which he suggests could lead to a slight correction in the altcoin market.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin traders are closely monitoring the latest price action as the cryptocurrency fails to sustain an upward breakout, according to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe. In a recent update on July 23, 2025, he highlighted that what appeared to be a potential breakout in BTC was merely a liquidity sweep, pulling the price back into its established trading range. This development increases the likelihood of Bitcoin retesting the lower bounds of this range, potentially leading to heightened volatility in the coming sessions. For traders, this underscores the importance of identifying key support levels, such as those around $60,000 to $62,000 based on recent historical data, where buying interest might emerge to prevent further downside.

Understanding BTC's Liquidity Sweep and Range Dynamics

In the world of cryptocurrency trading, liquidity sweeps occur when prices temporarily breach significant levels to trigger stop-loss orders or liquidate positions, only to reverse direction shortly after. Van de Poppe's analysis points to this exact scenario for BTC, where an apparent upward move swept liquidity above the range high before retreating. This fakeout can trap bullish traders, leading to cascading sell-offs as positions are unwound. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a defined range for several weeks, with resistance near $68,000 and support at $60,000 as of mid-July 2025. Trading volumes during this sweep were notably elevated, suggesting institutional involvement in probing these levels. Traders should watch on-chain metrics, such as the realized price distribution, which shows a concentration of coins moved at prices around $64,000, indicating potential areas of interest for accumulation or distribution.

Gold's Strength and Its Impact on Altcoins

Adding another layer to the market narrative, van de Poppe noted gold's recent strength, which often acts as a safe-haven asset during uncertain times. As gold prices climbed toward $2,450 per ounce in late July 2025, this could signal a shift in investor sentiment away from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Consequently, altcoins may face a slight correction, as capital rotates into more stable investments. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) and other major altcoins have shown correlation with BTC's movements, with ETH trading around $3,200 and experiencing a 2% dip in the 24 hours following the BTC sweep. This interplay highlights cross-market opportunities, where traders might hedge BTC positions with gold-related instruments or look for altcoin dips as buying entries if support holds.

From a broader trading strategy viewpoint, this scenario presents both risks and opportunities. Short-term traders could capitalize on range-bound plays, entering short positions near range highs with tight stops, aiming for targets at the lows. Conversely, long-term investors might view any retest of range lows as a accumulation zone, especially if macroeconomic indicators, like upcoming inflation data, support a bullish reversal. Market sentiment remains mixed, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hovering around 55, indicating neutral territory. Institutional flows, as tracked by on-chain data providers, show steady inflows into BTC spot ETFs, which could provide underlying support. However, without a confirmed breakout above $68,000, caution is advised. Pair trading strategies, such as longing gold futures while shorting altcoin pairs against BTC, could mitigate risks in this environment.

Trading Opportunities Amid BTC Range Retest

Looking ahead, if Bitcoin does retest the range lows as predicted, key indicators to monitor include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at 48 on the daily chart, suggesting room for downside before oversold conditions. Trading volumes have averaged 25 billion USD daily on major exchanges like Binance, with spikes during liquidity events reaching 40 billion USD. For altcoins, a correction could see tokens like Solana (SOL) testing support at $150, down from recent highs of $180, offering potential swing trade setups. Traders should also consider correlations with stock markets; for example, if tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq decline, it could amplify pressure on AI-related altcoins such as Fetch.ai (FET), which has ties to broader AI sentiment. In summary, this liquidity-driven fakeout in BTC emphasizes disciplined risk management, with opportunities for range trading and selective altcoin entries during corrections. By staying attuned to gold's performance and on-chain signals, traders can navigate this phase effectively, positioning for the next major move in the crypto markets.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast

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