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Bitcoin (BTC) Price at a Crossroads: CryptoQuant Warns of $81K Drop While Analysts Diverge, Ethereum (ETH) Gains Momentum | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/28/2025 7:15:05 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Price at a Crossroads: CryptoQuant Warns of $81K Drop While Analysts Diverge, Ethereum (ETH) Gains Momentum

Bitcoin (BTC) Price at a Crossroads: CryptoQuant Warns of $81K Drop While Analysts Diverge, Ethereum (ETH) Gains Momentum

According to @MilkRoadDaily, analysts are sharply divided on Bitcoin's (BTC) next price move as it trades above $104,500, creating significant market uncertainty. CryptoQuant issued an urgent warning, suggesting BTC could revisit $92,000 or even fall to an $81,000 support level if demand continues to weaken, citing a 60% drop in ETF flows since April and its demand momentum indicator hitting a record low. In contrast, Glassnode interprets the low on-chain activity not as a weakness but as a sign of market maturation with institutions and whales using the network for large-value settlements. Meanwhile, trading firm Flowdesk describes the market as "coiled" for a breakout, not cracking. Amid this uncertainty, Ethereum (ETH) is showing positive momentum, with ETH ETFs completing their longest inflow streak as BlackRock's fund (ETHA) added $492 million in one week, while Bitcoin ETFs saw $582 million in net outflows in the same period. A report from Presto Research also notes that Crypto Treasury Companies (CTCs) like MicroStrategy carry less liquidation risk than commonly assumed because their BTC holdings are unpledged.

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Analysis

Ethereum (ETH) is currently navigating what many perceive as an identity crisis, facing criticism for high gas fees, perceived governance chaos, and slower performance compared to rivals like Solana. However, this narrative often overlooks the fundamental strategy underpinning its development: a deliberate and uncompromising commitment to decentralization. This challenging path, while fraught with growing pains, is now beginning to yield significant strategic advantages, as reflected in recent market dynamics and institutional sentiment. While the ETHUSDT pair consolidates around the $2,436 level, its underlying strength is becoming increasingly apparent to discerning traders.

The contrast with other major blockchains highlights Ethereum's unique position. Bitcoin (BTC), often lauded as digital gold, has achieved stability through inertia. Its resistance to change, while preserving its store-of-value narrative, has effectively created a ceiling for innovation, limiting its utility beyond being a simple settlement layer. On the other end of the spectrum, chains like Solana (SOL) have prioritized speed and low transaction costs, but often at the expense of credible decentralization. Ethereum’s approach—fostering a robust, democratic governance process to enable continuous technological evolution like the recent Pectra update—is more arduous but builds a foundation for sustainable, long-term innovation that centralized systems cannot replicate. This commitment is the very reason thousands of projects choose to build on Ethereum, trusting its promise of credible neutrality.

Market Sentiment Shifts as Institutional Flows Favor Ethereum

This long-term vision is translating into tangible market shifts. Recent analysis from Bernstein highlights a "critical inflection point" in how investors perceive value accrual in public blockchains, with a notable surge in interest towards Ethereum. This is not just a theoretical shift; it is backed by hard data. In a recent week, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded their longest inflow streak of the year, with BlackRock's IBIT fund alone attracting an impressive $492 million. During the same period, spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows totaling $582 million, signaling a potential rotation of capital and a growing confidence in Ethereum's ecosystem, particularly ahead of further network upgrades.

ETH and BTC Price Analysis: A Tale of Two Trajectories

From a trading perspective, this divergence is visible in the charts. Ethereum found strong support around the $2,490 mark following a recent high-volume selloff and is now consolidating. The key immediate resistance for ETH lies at $2,510, a level traders are watching closely for a potential breakout. The ETH/BTC pair, currently trading around 0.02273, has shown resilience, suggesting Ethereum is holding its ground against the market leader. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has been trading in a more precarious state. After reaching a 24-hour high of $108,473 on the BTCUSDT pair, it faces conflicting pressures. On-chain analysis from CryptoQuant warns that deteriorating demand could push BTC down to support levels at $92,000 or even $81,000. This is evidenced by a 60% drop in ETF flows since April and a halving of whale accumulation. Conversely, Glassnode interprets the quiet on-chain activity as a sign of market maturation, with institutions using Bitcoin for large-value settlements. This tug-of-war between waning retail interest and institutional positioning leaves Bitcoin vulnerable to significant volatility.

Ultimately, Ethereum’s so-called crisis is the appearance of a system functioning as designed—a decentralized global computer evolving through open debate and technical advancement. While critics focus on short-term metrics, the market is beginning to price in the long-term value of this approach. As the financial analyst John Maynard Keynes warned, “the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” For the Ethereum community and its investors, the key is to look past the noise of price fluctuations and competing narratives. The focus must remain on the core mission: building credibly neutral infrastructure. The recent positive ETF flows and resilient price action suggest that the harder path Ethereum has chosen is not only the right one but is finally being recognized for its profound value.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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