Bitcoin BTC Price Breaks USD 112K Support; Next Key Support at USD 98K to 100K, September Risk Noted

According to @cas_abbe, BTC has broken below the USD 112,000 support that aligned with the May 2025 all-time high and had acted as strong support for months, according to @cas_abbe. The next major support level is identified around USD 98,000 to USD 100,000 for BTC, according to @cas_abbe. A reversal could occur before that range, but the author notes elevated risk heading into September for a bigger move, according to @cas_abbe.
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Bitcoin Loses Key $112K Support: Implications for Traders and Next Support Levels
Bitcoin (BTC) has recently broken below its critical $112,000 support level, a threshold that previously marked the all-time high from May 2025 and served as a robust foundation for price action over several months. According to crypto analyst Cas Abbé, this loss signals potential further downside, with the next major support zone identified between $98,000 and $100,000. This development comes as September approaches, a month historically associated with increased market volatility and bearish tendencies in both cryptocurrency and stock markets. For traders, this breach opens up strategic considerations, including monitoring for reversal patterns or preparing for deeper corrections. Without real-time market data to confirm current prices, the focus shifts to historical patterns and sentiment, where BTC's failure to hold $112K could exacerbate selling pressure amid broader economic uncertainties.
The $112K level's significance cannot be understated, as it acted as a psychological and technical barrier that BTC repeatedly bounced off during consolidation phases post its May 2025 peak. Now that it's lost, traders should watch for key indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipping into oversold territory, which might signal a potential bounce before reaching the $98K-$100K zone. Volume analysis is crucial here; if selling volume remains high without corresponding buying interest, BTC could test lower supports swiftly. From a trading perspective, this scenario presents opportunities for short positions targeting the $100K area, but with risk management in place, such as stop-losses above $112K in case of a false breakdown. Additionally, correlations with stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, could amplify movements— a BTC decline often mirrors weakness in growth stocks, potentially leading to cross-market trading strategies where investors hedge crypto exposure with stock options.
Seasonal Factors and Reversal Possibilities in BTC Trading
As September nears, historical data shows that BTC and the broader crypto market often experience heightened volatility, with average returns turning negative due to factors like end-of-quarter rebalancing and macroeconomic reports. Cas Abbé notes that while a reversal could occur before BTC hits $98K-$100K, the odds of a more significant correction increase with this seasonal shift. Traders might look for bullish divergences on charts, such as increasing on-chain activity or whale accumulations, to gauge reversal strength. For instance, if BTC approaches $100K with rising trading volumes on pairs like BTC/USDT, it could form a double bottom pattern, offering long entry points with targets back toward $112K. However, without current market snapshots, it's essential to cross-reference with live data upon reading—past events like the 2022 September dip saw BTC lose over 10% before rebounding, underscoring the need for vigilance.
In terms of broader implications, this BTC support loss could ripple into altcoins and AI-related tokens, where projects leveraging artificial intelligence for blockchain applications might see correlated dips. Ethereum (ETH), often moving in tandem with BTC, could test its own supports around $4,000 if BTC continues downward, creating arbitrage opportunities across ETH/BTC pairs. Institutional flows remain a wildcard; recent reports indicate steady inflows into BTC ETFs, which might provide a floor at lower levels. For stock market traders eyeing crypto correlations, this moment highlights risks in portfolios heavy on tech giants like Nvidia or Microsoft, whose AI-driven growth narratives intersect with crypto sentiment. Ultimately, disciplined trading involves setting clear support/resistance levels—buying dips near $98K with confirmation candles, or scaling out if resistance at $112K holds on any pullback. This analysis emphasizes proactive strategies amid uncertainty, aiming to capitalize on volatility while mitigating downside risks.
Trading Strategies Amid BTC's Potential Downtrend
To navigate this environment, consider diversified approaches: for spot traders, accumulating BTC at $98K-$100K could yield gains if a macro reversal occurs post-September. Derivatives players might favor options strategies, like protective puts below $100K, to hedge against further drops. On-chain metrics, such as active addresses surging near supports, often precede recoveries—data from August 2025 showed similar patterns before BTC's stabilization. Cross-market insights reveal that a weakening BTC often pressures stock indices, prompting flows into safe-haven assets like gold, which traders can exploit via pairs like BTC/XAU. As an AI analyst, I note that AI tokens like FET or AGIX could underperform in a BTC-led downturn but rebound strongly on positive sentiment shifts, offering high-reward trades. In summary, while the loss of $112K support poses challenges, it also unveils opportunities for astute traders monitoring key levels and seasonal trends. Always verify with the latest data for precise entries, ensuring strategies align with personal risk tolerance. (Word count: 752)
Cas Abbé
@cas_abbeBinance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.