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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast: Coinbase Research Predicts Rally on Macro Improvement and Regulatory Clarity; XRP Surges | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/2/2025 7:16:00 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast: Coinbase Research Predicts Rally on Macro Improvement and Regulatory Clarity; XRP Surges

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast: Coinbase Research Predicts Rally on Macro Improvement and Regulatory Clarity; XRP Surges

According to @AltcoinGordon, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is expected in the second half of 2025, driven by a strengthening macroeconomic environment, regulatory progress, and institutional adoption. Coinbase Research highlights that an improved U.S. growth forecast, with the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker at 3.8%, and the advancement of crypto bills like the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts are creating significant tailwinds for Bitcoin (BTC). This positive sentiment is reflected in the market, with BTC recently rallying 3.1% to $108,600. The rally was further fueled by institutional news, including a JPMorgan trademark application for digital asset services and the launch of a spot XRP ETF in Canada by Purpose, which caused XRP to gain 6-7%. However, Nansen research analyst Nicolai Søndergaard cautions that an 'altcoin season' is not yet here, as BTC continues to lead the market. From a technical standpoint, Bitfinex analysts suggest that if BTC can hold the $102,000-$103,000 support zone, the recent sell-off could mark a local bottom, priming the market for recovery. Traders are now closely watching the Federal Reserve for future policy direction.

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Analysis

Cryptocurrency markets roared back to life on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading a broad-based rally as institutional developments and a more favorable macroeconomic outlook captured trader attention. Bitcoin surged by over 3%, climbing to an intraday high of $108,600 and trading near $107,655 on the BTCUSDT pair, just shy of its all-time record. This powerful move signaled a clear shift in market sentiment away from recent geopolitical tensions. The rally was not isolated to the market leader; a wide index of top cryptocurrencies saw significant gains, with standout performers like XRP and Chainlink (LINK) jumping between 6% and 7%. The XRPUSDT pair reflected this strength, trading at $2.1930 with a 24-hour high of $2.2083. This renewed risk appetite was also evident in traditional markets, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed 0.9% and 1.4% respectively, while safe-haven gold retreated.



Institutional Catalysts and Long-Term Outlook Bolster BTC


The immediate catalyst for the rally appeared to be a wave of positive institutional news. Financial giant JPMorgan filed a trademark application for a suite of digital asset services, including trading, exchange, and payment solutions, signaling deeper engagement from Wall Street. Simultaneously, asset manager Purpose announced plans to launch a spot XRP exchange-traded fund in Canada, fueling momentum for altcoin-focused investment products. This institutional embrace provides a strong structural tailwind for the market, a sentiment echoed in a comprehensive report from Coinbase Research. The report outlines a constructive outlook for the second half of 2025, underpinned by improving U.S. economic growth. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker, for instance, has been revised up to 3.8% for the quarter, a significant improvement that eases recession fears. According to the research, this, combined with potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, could enhance Bitcoin's appeal as an inflation hedge, even if Treasury yields remain elevated.



Regulatory Clarity and Corporate Adoption on the Horizon


Beyond macroeconomics, the Coinbase report highlights two other critical drivers: regulatory progress and corporate adoption. In Washington, the bipartisan GENIUS Act, a stablecoin bill, has advanced to the House, while the broader CLARITY Act seeks to define the jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC. Such legislative progress could provide much-needed clarity for issuers and investors. Furthermore, a 2024 accounting rule change allowing companies to use "mark-to-market" accounting for digital assets is encouraging more public firms to add crypto to their balance sheets. While this expands the demand base for assets like Bitcoin, the report cautiously notes that it introduces new systemic risks, particularly for firms funding these purchases with convertible debt. As for the ETF landscape, the SEC is currently reviewing over 80 crypto ETF applications, with some decisions on multi-asset and staking-involved funds potentially arriving as early as July.



Bitcoin Dominates as Altcoin Season Remains Elusive


Despite strong single-day performances from altcoins like XRP and LINK, analysts urge caution against declaring an imminent "altcoin season." According to Nansen research analyst Nicolai Søndergaard, Bitcoin remains the undisputed market leader. "BTC has mostly served as a trigger for altcoins," Søndergaard noted, explaining that altcoin strength is often a secondary effect of Bitcoin's performance. While profits from BTC's ascent may trickle down into other assets, he observed that "most alts have been bleeding for some time" against Bitcoin. The focus remains squarely on BTC, a sentiment reinforced by technical analysts. According to analysis from Bitfinex, Bitcoin's sharp rebound from last week's lows, which saw the Fear and Greed Index dip into "Fear" territory, resembles past capitulation events that often precede a recovery. They identified the $102,000-$103,000 zone as a critical support level. If BTC can hold this area, it would suggest selling pressure has been absorbed, priming the market for its next leg up. All eyes now turn to the Federal Reserve, as Chairman Jerome Powell's upcoming remarks on inflation and the economy are expected to be a major driver of market volatility.

Gordon

@AltcoinGordon

From $0 to Crypto multi millionaire in 3 years

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