Bitcoin ($BTC) Price Prediction: Will BTC Lead Markets to New ATH or Drop Below $100K? - Analysis by Skew

According to Skew (@52kskew), Bitcoin is expected to take the lead in market direction, with a positive outcome potentially driving a brief push to a new all-time high (ATH), while a negative result could trigger a decline below the $100K level (source: Twitter, May 10, 2025). Traders should closely monitor Bitcoin’s price action as it sets the tone for broader cryptocurrency market movements, influencing altcoin volatility and liquidity across major exchanges.
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The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin (BTC), remains at the forefront of trader attention as market sentiment hinges on upcoming economic outcomes. On May 10, 2025, prominent crypto analyst Skew shared insights on social media, suggesting that Bitcoin's price trajectory could significantly influence broader markets. According to Skew, a positive outcome for Bitcoin could trigger a brief push toward a new all-time high (ATH), while a negative outcome might result in a price sweep down to $100,000 or lower. This statement comes at a time when Bitcoin is trading at approximately $108,000 as of 10:00 AM UTC on May 10, 2025, based on real-time data from major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance alone recorded over 120,000 BTC in the last 24 hours as of 9:00 AM UTC, reflecting heightened market activity. This volatility is further contextualized by recent stock market movements, particularly in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which saw a 1.2% dip on May 9, 2025, as reported by Bloomberg. Such declines often correlate with risk-off sentiment in crypto markets, impacting Bitcoin and altcoins alike. With institutional interest in crypto ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) showing inflows of $300 million in the past week as per Grayscale's official reports, the interplay between traditional finance and digital assets is undeniable. Traders are keenly observing whether macroeconomic data releases, such as the upcoming U.S. CPI report on May 14, 2025, will sway risk appetite further, potentially validating Skew's predictions for Bitcoin's next move.
The trading implications of Skew's analysis are critical for both short-term scalpers and long-term holders. If Bitcoin achieves a new ATH, potentially surpassing $110,000, as speculated on May 10, 2025, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) could see correlated rallies. ETH/BTC trading pair data from Binance shows a 24-hour volume of 45,000 ETH as of 11:00 AM UTC on May 10, 2025, indicating strong interest in Ethereum as a secondary play. Conversely, a drop to $100,000 for Bitcoin could trigger panic selling across multiple pairs, with on-chain data from Glassnode revealing a spike in BTC transfers to exchanges, reaching 18,000 BTC moved in the last 48 hours as of May 10, 2025. This suggests potential liquidation pressure. From a stock market perspective, a declining Nasdaq often pushes institutional money into safe-haven assets, but recent trends show some capital flowing into Bitcoin as a hedge, with crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) gaining 2.5% on May 9, 2025, per Yahoo Finance. This cross-market dynamic offers trading opportunities, such as longing BTC at key support levels around $105,000 or shorting altcoins if risk-off sentiment intensifies. Traders should also monitor ETF inflows, as sustained institutional buying could counterbalance stock market declines, stabilizing Bitcoin's price.
Technical indicators further underscore the critical juncture for Bitcoin and its market correlations. As of 12:00 PM UTC on May 10, 2025, BTC's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart sits at 58 on TradingView, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but a potential for momentum shifts. The 50-day moving average (MA) at $104,500 acts as a key support, while resistance looms at $109,800 based on recent price action. Volume analysis shows a 15% increase in BTC spot trading on Coinbase, reaching $1.2 billion in the last 24 hours as of 11:30 AM UTC, signaling growing retail interest. Cross-market correlations remain evident, with Bitcoin's price showing a 0.7 correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq over the past 30 days, per data from CoinMetrics. This suggests that further stock market weakness could drag BTC lower unless institutional inflows, as seen in GBTC's $300 million weekly net inflow reported on May 9, 2025, provide a buffer. On-chain metrics from Glassnode also highlight a 5% uptick in Bitcoin's active addresses, reaching 620,000 on May 10, 2025, reflecting sustained network activity despite price uncertainty. For traders, key levels to watch include a break below $105,000, which could confirm Skew's bearish scenario, or a push above $109,800, aligning with a bullish ATH narrative. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8% uptick on May 9, 2025, per MarketWatch, potentially signaling confidence in the sector despite broader market headwinds.
In summary, the interplay between Bitcoin's price action and stock market dynamics offers a complex but opportunity-rich environment for traders. Institutional money flow, as evidenced by ETF inflows and crypto stock performance, suggests a growing linkage between traditional and digital markets. Whether Bitcoin leads the charge to new highs or tests lower supports, the data points and correlations as of May 10, 2025, provide actionable insights for navigating this volatile landscape. Monitoring macroeconomic triggers and technical levels will be crucial in capitalizing on these cross-market movements.
FAQ Section:
What could trigger Bitcoin's push to a new all-time high?
A positive market outcome, as suggested by analyst Skew on May 10, 2025, combined with strong institutional inflows like the $300 million into GBTC reported last week, could drive Bitcoin past $110,000. Additionally, favorable macroeconomic data, such as the upcoming U.S. CPI report on May 14, 2025, might boost risk appetite, supporting a bullish breakout.
What are the risks of Bitcoin dropping to $100,000?
A negative outcome, as highlighted by Skew on May 10, 2025, could see Bitcoin sweep lower due to panic selling, with on-chain data from Glassnode showing 18,000 BTC moved to exchanges in the last 48 hours as of May 10, 2025. Stock market declines, like the Nasdaq's 1.2% drop on May 9, 2025, could further exacerbate risk-off sentiment, pushing BTC toward $100,000 or below.
The trading implications of Skew's analysis are critical for both short-term scalpers and long-term holders. If Bitcoin achieves a new ATH, potentially surpassing $110,000, as speculated on May 10, 2025, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) could see correlated rallies. ETH/BTC trading pair data from Binance shows a 24-hour volume of 45,000 ETH as of 11:00 AM UTC on May 10, 2025, indicating strong interest in Ethereum as a secondary play. Conversely, a drop to $100,000 for Bitcoin could trigger panic selling across multiple pairs, with on-chain data from Glassnode revealing a spike in BTC transfers to exchanges, reaching 18,000 BTC moved in the last 48 hours as of May 10, 2025. This suggests potential liquidation pressure. From a stock market perspective, a declining Nasdaq often pushes institutional money into safe-haven assets, but recent trends show some capital flowing into Bitcoin as a hedge, with crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) gaining 2.5% on May 9, 2025, per Yahoo Finance. This cross-market dynamic offers trading opportunities, such as longing BTC at key support levels around $105,000 or shorting altcoins if risk-off sentiment intensifies. Traders should also monitor ETF inflows, as sustained institutional buying could counterbalance stock market declines, stabilizing Bitcoin's price.
Technical indicators further underscore the critical juncture for Bitcoin and its market correlations. As of 12:00 PM UTC on May 10, 2025, BTC's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart sits at 58 on TradingView, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but a potential for momentum shifts. The 50-day moving average (MA) at $104,500 acts as a key support, while resistance looms at $109,800 based on recent price action. Volume analysis shows a 15% increase in BTC spot trading on Coinbase, reaching $1.2 billion in the last 24 hours as of 11:30 AM UTC, signaling growing retail interest. Cross-market correlations remain evident, with Bitcoin's price showing a 0.7 correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq over the past 30 days, per data from CoinMetrics. This suggests that further stock market weakness could drag BTC lower unless institutional inflows, as seen in GBTC's $300 million weekly net inflow reported on May 9, 2025, provide a buffer. On-chain metrics from Glassnode also highlight a 5% uptick in Bitcoin's active addresses, reaching 620,000 on May 10, 2025, reflecting sustained network activity despite price uncertainty. For traders, key levels to watch include a break below $105,000, which could confirm Skew's bearish scenario, or a push above $109,800, aligning with a bullish ATH narrative. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8% uptick on May 9, 2025, per MarketWatch, potentially signaling confidence in the sector despite broader market headwinds.
In summary, the interplay between Bitcoin's price action and stock market dynamics offers a complex but opportunity-rich environment for traders. Institutional money flow, as evidenced by ETF inflows and crypto stock performance, suggests a growing linkage between traditional and digital markets. Whether Bitcoin leads the charge to new highs or tests lower supports, the data points and correlations as of May 10, 2025, provide actionable insights for navigating this volatile landscape. Monitoring macroeconomic triggers and technical levels will be crucial in capitalizing on these cross-market movements.
FAQ Section:
What could trigger Bitcoin's push to a new all-time high?
A positive market outcome, as suggested by analyst Skew on May 10, 2025, combined with strong institutional inflows like the $300 million into GBTC reported last week, could drive Bitcoin past $110,000. Additionally, favorable macroeconomic data, such as the upcoming U.S. CPI report on May 14, 2025, might boost risk appetite, supporting a bullish breakout.
What are the risks of Bitcoin dropping to $100,000?
A negative outcome, as highlighted by Skew on May 10, 2025, could see Bitcoin sweep lower due to panic selling, with on-chain data from Glassnode showing 18,000 BTC moved to exchanges in the last 48 hours as of May 10, 2025. Stock market declines, like the Nasdaq's 1.2% drop on May 9, 2025, could further exacerbate risk-off sentiment, pushing BTC toward $100,000 or below.
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@52kskewFull time trader & analyst