Bitcoin (BTC) Pushes Above 2025 Yearly Open as FireCharts CVD Shows Broad Buying; Key Test Ahead at 50-Week SMA | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/13/2026 5:02:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Pushes Above 2025 Yearly Open as FireCharts CVD Shows Broad Buying; Key Test Ahead at 50-Week SMA

Bitcoin (BTC) Pushes Above 2025 Yearly Open as FireCharts CVD Shows Broad Buying; Key Test Ahead at 50-Week SMA

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts binned CVD shows all order classes buying and pushing BTC above the 2025 Yearly Open, with a close above that level setting up a potential resistance-to-support (R/S) flip on the trend line, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026). They state the next major upside test is resistance at the 50-Week SMA, and a bull market cannot be asserted without weekly closes above the 50-Week SMA, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026). Trading takeaway: monitor for a confirmed close above the 2025 Yearly Open to trigger the R/S flip and track weekly closes relative to the 50-Week SMA to validate bullish continuation, source: Material Indicators (@MI_Algos, Jan 13, 2026).

Source

Analysis

In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture attention with its latest price movements, as highlighted in a recent analysis from Material Indicators. According to their FireCharts binned Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data, all order classes have been actively buying today, driving BTC price above the 2025 Yearly Open level. This strategic push sets the stage for potential resistance-support (R/S) flips and further tests against key technical indicators, offering traders valuable insights into emerging opportunities in the BTC market.

Understanding the Push Above 2025 Yearly Open

The 2025 Yearly Open represents a critical benchmark in Bitcoin's price chart, marking the opening price at the start of the year. As per the insights shared by @MI_Algos on January 13, 2026, the concerted buying across various order classes has successfully propelled BTC beyond this threshold. This development is significant for traders monitoring support and resistance levels, as closing above the Yearly Open could invalidate bearish sentiments and pave the way for bullish momentum. In technical analysis terms, this move aligns with classic chart patterns where reclaiming a yearly open often signals a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. For those engaged in BTC trading, this presents an opportunity to assess entry points, particularly if the price sustains above this level into the daily close. Traders should watch for increased trading volumes accompanying this push, as higher volumes would confirm the strength of the buying pressure and reduce the risk of a false breakout.

Potential R/S Flip and Trend Line Dynamics

Building on this momentum, the analysis points to an impending resistance-support flip of the prevailing trend line. An R/S flip occurs when a former resistance level transforms into support, often indicating a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. If BTC closes above the 2025 Yearly Open, it could facilitate this flip, allowing the price to challenge higher resistances. Specifically, the next target mentioned is the 50 Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), a long-term indicator that has historically acted as a formidable barrier during market recoveries. Without weekly closes above this 50 Week SMA, claiming a full return to a bull market remains premature. Traders analyzing BTC charts should incorporate this into their strategies, perhaps using tools like moving average crossovers or RSI indicators to gauge overbought conditions. For instance, if BTC approaches the 50 Week SMA with rising on-chain metrics such as increased wallet activity or higher transaction volumes, it could signal sustainable upward pressure. However, caution is advised; failure to flip the trend line might lead to a retest of lower supports, potentially around previous monthly lows, emphasizing the need for stop-loss orders in volatile crypto trading environments.

From a broader market perspective, this buying activity reflects evolving sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector. Institutional flows, often tracked through metrics like Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust inflows or ETF trading volumes, could amplify this trend if they align with the retail buying seen in the CVD data. Traders looking for cross-market correlations might note how BTC's performance influences altcoins, with pairs like ETH/BTC or SOL/BTC potentially showing relative strength or weakness. In terms of trading opportunities, scalpers could target short-term swings around the Yearly Open level, while swing traders might position for a multi-week hold aiming at the 50 Week SMA. Key to success here is monitoring real-time indicators; for example, if trading volumes spike above average daily levels during this push, it bolsters the case for a bullish continuation. Conversely, a sudden drop in CVD buying could hint at exhaustion, prompting defensive strategies. Overall, this setup underscores the importance of technical confluence in crypto trading, where combining CVD data with SMA resistances provides a robust framework for decision-making.

Broader Implications for BTC Bull Market Return

Ultimately, the path to reclaiming a bull market hinges on sustained weekly closes above the 50 Week SMA, as emphasized in the analysis. This metric serves as a litmus test for long-term trend reversals, with historical precedents showing that breaches of such averages often precede major rallies. For traders, this means focusing on weekly candlestick patterns and closing prices to validate bullish theses. In the absence of real-time market disruptions, such as geopolitical events or regulatory news, BTC's ability to hold above these levels could attract more capital inflows, potentially driving prices toward previous all-time highs. To optimize trading strategies, consider diversifying across multiple pairs like BTC/USD or BTC/USDT on exchanges, tracking 24-hour price changes and volumes for timely entries. As of the latest available data from January 13, 2026, this buying pressure highlights a pivotal moment for Bitcoin, urging traders to stay vigilant and adapt to evolving market dynamics for maximized returns.

Material Indicators

@MI_Algos

A comprehensive crypto analytics platform offering trading signals and market data