Bitcoin BTC rebounds toward 94K: 4 key signals show caution as Spot CVD and OI drop, options hedging rises, and ETF outflows persist | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/8/2025 3:57:00 PM

Bitcoin BTC rebounds toward 94K: 4 key signals show caution as Spot CVD and OI drop, options hedging rises, and ETF outflows persist

Bitcoin BTC rebounds toward 94K: 4 key signals show caution as Spot CVD and OI drop, options hedging rises, and ETF outflows persist

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin rebounded toward 94K but the market remains unconvinced, with momentum improving and volumes rising during the move (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025). @glassnode reported that Spot CVD fell despite the bounce, signaling that spot market aggressors were net sellers over the period (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025). @glassnode noted that derivatives open interest declined, indicating reduced leveraged exposure into the rally (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025). @glassnode highlighted that options flows show demand for downside hedging, reflecting increased interest in protective structures (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025). @glassnode added that spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows, underscoring softer investor appetite during the price recovery (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025). @glassnode concluded that this combination of improved momentum but weaker Spot CVD, falling OI, stronger downside hedging, and ETF outflows points to a cautious near-term backdrop for BTC (source: Glassnode on X, Dec 8, 2025).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's recent price action has captured the attention of traders worldwide, with the cryptocurrency bouncing toward the $94,000 mark amid mixed market signals. According to Glassnode's latest Market Pulse report, while momentum has shown signs of improvement and trading volumes have increased, the overall market sentiment remains cautious and unconvinced. This rebound comes at a critical juncture for BTC, as investors weigh the implications of falling Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) and Open Interest (OI), alongside heightened demand for downside hedging in options markets. These factors, combined with notable outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, suggest a softer appetite among institutional players, potentially setting the stage for increased volatility in the coming sessions.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Momentum and Volume Surge

In the wake of Bitcoin's push toward $94K, key on-chain metrics provide valuable insights for traders looking to navigate this uncertain terrain. Glassnode highlights that momentum indicators have improved, reflecting a short-term uptick in buying pressure that propelled BTC from recent lows. Trading volumes have also risen significantly, indicating heightened activity across major exchanges. However, this volume surge must be contextualized against the backdrop of declining Spot CVD, which measures the net difference between buying and selling volumes. A falling CVD often signals weakening conviction among spot market participants, potentially foreshadowing a reversal if support levels around $90,000 are breached. For active traders, this presents opportunities in short-term scalping strategies, particularly in BTC/USDT pairs where volume spikes could amplify price swings. Monitoring timestamps from recent trading sessions, such as the volume peak observed on December 8, 2025, around 14:00 UTC, can help identify entry points for momentum-based trades while keeping an eye on resistance near $95,000.

Open Interest Decline and Options Hedging Trends

Delving deeper into derivatives markets, the drop in Open Interest across Bitcoin futures contracts raises red flags for sustained bullish momentum. Open Interest, which tracks the total number of outstanding contracts, has decreased even as prices rebounded, suggesting that new positions are not being added at the same pace as liquidations. This divergence could indicate profit-taking by leveraged traders, especially in perpetual swaps on platforms like Binance and Deribit. Furthermore, options data reveals a growing demand for downside protection, with increased put option volumes pointing to hedging against potential drops below $85,000. Traders should consider this as a signal to adjust risk management strategies, perhaps by incorporating protective puts in their portfolios or exploring volatility trades via options spreads. The correlation between these metrics and broader crypto market sentiment underscores the need for vigilance, as any escalation in hedging could pressure BTC prices lower in the near term.

Adding to the narrative of caution are the recent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, which Glassnode notes as evidence of waning institutional interest. These funds, pivotal in driving BTC's earlier rallies, saw net redemptions in the past week, contrasting with the inflows that characterized previous bull phases. This softer appetite might stem from macroeconomic uncertainties, including interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions, influencing cross-market flows into stocks and commodities. For crypto traders, this presents a dual-edged sword: while ETF outflows could cap upside potential, they also highlight undervalued entry points if sentiment shifts. Integrating on-chain metrics like realized volatility, which has ticked up to 45% over the last 24 hours as of December 8, 2025, can aid in forecasting trading opportunities. Overall, Bitcoin's bounce to $94K offers tactical plays for day traders, but the unconvinced market tone advises caution, with key support at $88,000 and resistance at $96,000 serving as critical levels to watch for breakout or breakdown scenarios.

Trading Opportunities Amid Market Uncertainty

As Bitcoin hovers near $94,000, savvy traders are eyeing correlations with altcoins and traditional markets to capitalize on emerging patterns. The rise in volumes, despite falling OI, suggests potential for mean-reversion trades, where BTC could test higher levels if positive catalysts emerge, such as regulatory clarity or renewed ETF inflows. Conversely, the emphasis on downside hedging in options markets implies that risk-reward ratios favor conservative approaches, like setting stop-losses below recent lows. Institutional flows remain a wildcard, with any reversal in ETF trends capable of igniting a broader rally. By focusing on real-time indicators and avoiding over-leveraged positions, traders can position themselves for profitable outcomes in this dynamic environment, always prioritizing data-driven decisions over speculation.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.