Bitcoin (BTC) Records Heaviest Crash Ever as 3-Day MACD Hits New Low, Deeper Than 2020, 2018, and LUNA Crash
According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) just posted its heaviest crash on record, with the 3-day MACD dropping to its deepest level ever based on his chart analysis; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026. He states the decline surpassed the 2022 LUNA capitulation, the 2020 COVID crash, and the 2018 bear-market selloff in severity; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026. He adds that buying during those historical extremes has every time led to large profits afterward, framing today’s conditions as comparable to past high-reward zones; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026. He provides no specific price targets or timelines in the post, emphasizing the historical analog rather than forward guidance; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026.
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Bitcoin's historic crash has captured the attention of traders worldwide, marking what could be one of the most significant buying opportunities in the cryptocurrency's history. According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, the recent plunge in Bitcoin's price represents the heaviest crash ever recorded for the asset. This downturn is evidenced by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator on the three-day chart, which has dipped to unprecedented lows, surpassing the severity of previous major events like the 2022 Luna collapse, the 2020 COVID-19 market panic, and the prolonged 2018 bear market. For traders who capitalized on those past dips by buying in, the results were consistently profitable, often yielding substantial returns as the market recovered. This pattern suggests that the current situation might present a similar chance for long-term investors, but it's crucial to approach it with a solid trading strategy grounded in technical analysis and risk management.
Analyzing the MACD Signal and Historical Comparisons
The MACD on Bitcoin's three-day timeframe has never ventured this deep into negative territory, signaling extreme oversold conditions that could precede a reversal. Historically, during the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin plummeted from highs near $20,000 to lows around $3,200, a drop of over 80%, yet those who bought at the bottom saw gains exceeding 1,000% in the subsequent bull run. Similarly, the 2020 COVID crash saw Bitcoin fall from about $10,000 to under $4,000 in March 2020, only to surge to over $60,000 by early 2021. The 2022 Luna crash, triggered by the Terra ecosystem's implosion, pushed Bitcoin down to around $17,000 from $48,000, but recovery led to new all-time highs above $73,000 in 2024. In this latest crash, as noted on January 8, 2026, the intensity exceeds these, with potential support levels forming around $50,000 to $55,000 based on recent price action. Traders should monitor trading volumes, which spiked during the sell-off, indicating capitulation that often marks market bottoms. On-chain metrics, such as increased whale accumulation during dips, further support the narrative of a potential rebound, making this a prime moment for dollar-cost averaging strategies.
Trading Opportunities Amid the Volatility
For those eyeing entry points, key resistance levels to watch include the $60,000 mark, where previous consolidations occurred, and the psychological barrier at $70,000, which could act as a launchpad for upward momentum if breached. Support zones below current prices, around $45,000, might offer additional buying opportunities if the dip extends. Incorporating multiple trading pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH can provide diversified exposure, with ETH often correlating but sometimes decoupling for relative strength plays. Market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on daily charts are hovering near 30, another oversold signal aligning with the MACD's bearish extremes. Institutional flows, including ETF inflows that historically bolster recoveries, could accelerate the turnaround. However, risks remain high; volatility indexes like the Bitcoin Volatility Index have surged, reminding traders to use stop-loss orders and position sizing to mitigate downside. By focusing on these concrete data points, investors can navigate this crash with informed decisions rather than emotion-driven reactions.
Beyond technicals, broader market sentiment plays a pivotal role. The crash's severity has sparked discussions on macroeconomic factors, including interest rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, which amplified the sell-off. Yet, historical precedents show that such events often weed out weak hands, paving the way for stronger bull phases. For crypto traders, this could correlate with stock market movements, where downturns in indices like the S&P 500 often drag Bitcoin lower but also signal cross-market buying opportunities. AI-driven analysis tools are increasingly used to predict these patterns, potentially boosting sentiment in AI-related tokens if recovery narratives gain traction. In summary, while the crash is daunting, the data points to a high-reward setup for patient traders, emphasizing the importance of buying during fear-driven lows as highlighted by past profitable outcomes.
Overall, this event underscores Bitcoin's resilience as an asset class. With no real-time data indicating an immediate reversal as of now, traders should stay vigilant, tracking updates from reliable analysts for timestamps on price movements. By integrating these insights, one can position for potential large profits, much like in previous crashes, while always prioritizing verified information and personal risk tolerance.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast