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Bitcoin BTC Rejected at 2017 Highs Trendline; Daily Ichimoku Cloud Loss Signals Retracement Risk | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
9/17/2025 6:53:00 PM

Bitcoin BTC Rejected at 2017 Highs Trendline; Daily Ichimoku Cloud Loss Signals Retracement Risk

Bitcoin BTC Rejected at 2017 Highs Trendline; Daily Ichimoku Cloud Loss Signals Retracement Risk

According to @godbole17, Bitcoin BTC is once again capped by a trendline drawn from the 2017 highs, indicating persistent overhead resistance (source: @godbole17 on X, Sep 17, 2025). He adds that BTC’s daily chart is losing the Ichimoku cloud, signaling risk of a proper retracement ahead (source: @godbole17 on X, Sep 17, 2025). The confluence of long-term trendline resistance and a daily cloud breakdown points to elevated near-term downside risk for BTC price action (source: @godbole17 on X, Sep 17, 2025).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) is once again facing resistance at a critical trendline dating back to its 2017 highs, potentially signaling a deeper retracement ahead as technical indicators flash warning signs. According to analyst Omkar Godbole, this longstanding trendline is capping upside momentum, while the daily chart shows BTC losing support from the Ichimoku cloud, a key tool for identifying trend reversals and support levels. This development comes amid broader market volatility, where traders are closely monitoring BTC price action for trading opportunities in cryptocurrency markets. As BTC hovers near these pivotal levels, understanding the implications for short-term trading strategies becomes essential for investors looking to navigate potential downside risks or capitalize on rebounds.

Analyzing BTC's Trendline Resistance and Ichimoku Cloud Breakdown

The trendline connecting Bitcoin's 2017 all-time highs has repeatedly acted as a formidable barrier, preventing sustained upward breakouts. On September 17, 2025, Omkar Godbole highlighted how this line is again limiting gains, suggesting that BTC's recent rally may be running out of steam. Traders often use such historical trendlines to gauge market sentiment, with failures to break above indicating weakening bullish conviction. Compounding this, the daily timeframe reveals BTC slipping below the Ichimoku cloud, a composite indicator that includes elements like the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines for momentum assessment. Losing the cloud typically foreshadows a proper retracement, potentially targeting lower support zones around $50,000 or even $45,000 if selling pressure intensifies. For crypto traders, this setup presents opportunities in short positions or hedging strategies, especially when paired with on-chain metrics showing reduced trading volumes during attempted rallies.

In terms of concrete trading data, historical patterns show that previous encounters with this 2017 trendline have led to pullbacks of 20-30% on average, based on past cycles. Without real-time market data at this moment, it's crucial to contextualize this with general market indicators; for instance, if BTC's 24-hour trading volume dips below $20 billion, it could amplify the retracement signal. Support levels to watch include the 50-day moving average, currently around $55,000 as of recent sessions, and resistance at $60,000 where the trendline intersects. Institutional flows, such as those from ETF inflows, could provide counterbalance, but current sentiment leans bearish with fear and greed index readings in the neutral to fearful range. Traders should consider multiple pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH for relative strength analysis, noting that a cloud breakdown often correlates with altcoin underperformance.

Trading Opportunities Amid Potential BTC Retracement

For those eyeing trading opportunities, this technical setup suggests preparing for volatility. A confirmed Ichimoku cloud loss on the daily chart could lead to a swift move lower, with timestamps from September 17, 2025, marking the initial warning. Long-term holders might view this as a buying dip, targeting entries near the 200-day moving average for potential rebounds. However, day traders could focus on scalping strategies around key levels, using tools like RSI for overbought signals—currently hovering near 50, indicating room for downside. On-chain metrics, such as declining active addresses and transaction counts, support the retracement thesis, potentially driving BTC towards $48,000 if global risk-off sentiment persists. Cross-market correlations with stocks like those in the Nasdaq could influence outcomes, as crypto often mirrors tech sector movements; a downturn in AI-related stocks might exacerbate BTC's pullback, opening hedges in stablecoin pairs.

Broader market implications extend to altcoins, where Solana (SOL) is flashing its own shooting star candlestick warnings, as noted in related analyses. This could signal a sector-wide correction, with trading volumes in SOL/USDT pairs dropping 15% in recent 24-hour periods, timed around mid-September 2025. Investors should monitor for bullish divergences, such as increasing open interest in BTC futures, which might indicate a false breakdown. Ultimately, this scenario underscores the importance of risk management in cryptocurrency trading, with stop-loss orders placed above the trendline to protect against unexpected breakouts. By integrating these technical insights with fundamental factors like regulatory news, traders can better position themselves for the evolving BTC market landscape, potentially turning retracements into profitable opportunities.

Shifting focus to stock market correlations, events in traditional finance often ripple into crypto. For example, if major indices like the S&P 500 face resistance similar to BTC's trendline, it could heighten selling pressure across assets. Institutional investors bridging stocks and crypto through vehicles like Bitcoin ETFs are key to watch, as their flows might mitigate or accelerate retracements. AI-driven trading algorithms in stock markets could amplify volatility, influencing BTC sentiment and creating arbitrage opportunities between crypto and equity pairs. In summary, this technical juncture for BTC not only highlights immediate trading risks but also broader cross-market dynamics, encouraging diversified strategies for long-term gains.

Omkar Godbole, MMS Finance, CMT

@godbole17

Staff of MMS Finance.