Bitcoin BTC Technical Outlook 2025: 109K Support, 112K Invalidation Level, 120K Supply Zone, Daily Higher Lows Guide Altcoin Selection

According to @52kskew, BTC shows mixed structure with weak-looking weekly candles but constructive daily higher lows, favoring coins that closed the weekly above the prior weekly low and display clear daily higher lows, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 13, 2025. According to @52kskew, key BTC risk line is a daily and next weekly close holding above 112K, with 109K having held as support aside from a flash crash, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 13, 2025. According to @52kskew, 120K and above remains a major supply zone likely capping price until a catalyst drives a breakout, so traders can lean long while higher lows persist, use 112K as invalidation on daily or weekly close, and monitor 109K as secondary support, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 13, 2025. According to @52kskew, altcoin selection should prioritize weekly closes above prior weekly lows plus daily higher lows to align with BTC’s trend structure, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 13, 2025.
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In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, recent insights from crypto analyst Skew Δ highlight a nuanced picture for Bitcoin (BTC) as we navigate through October 2025. The weekly candles for BTC have been described as somewhat cursed, suggesting potential underlying weaknesses in the broader market trend. However, the daily candles paint a more optimistic scenario, with clear signs of resilience. According to Skew Δ's analysis shared on October 13, 2025, the key strategy moving forward involves selectively picking coins that have closed their weekly charts above the previous week's low while demonstrating clear higher lows on the daily timeframe. This approach aims to identify assets with building momentum amid the current market dynamics.
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Analysis: Holding Key Levels
Diving deeper into the BTC weekly chart, Skew Δ notes that the overall structure looks relatively stable as long as the price avoids closing below $112K on both the daily and upcoming weekly closes. This $112K level emerges as a critical threshold, acting as a potential line in the sand for bulls. If BTC maintains above this point, it could signal continued upward potential, reinforcing the narrative of a market that's consolidating rather than collapsing. Traders should monitor this closely, as a breach could invite increased selling pressure and shift the sentiment toward bearish territories. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as trading volumes during these periods, would further validate this hold, though exact volume data from that specific timestamp isn't detailed here. The emphasis is on watching for sustained closes above prior lows to avoid false breakdowns.
Daily Chart Resilience and Higher Lows
Shifting focus to the BTC daily chart, the $109K level has held up reasonably well, discounting a brief flash crash that tested trader nerves. Skew Δ points out the formation of higher lows, which is a bullish technical indicator suggesting that buyers are stepping in at progressively higher prices. This pattern could be indicative of accumulating strength, potentially setting the stage for a push toward higher resistances. For active traders, this means looking at trading pairs like BTC/USDT or BTC/USD on major exchanges, where volume spikes during these holds could provide entry signals. Without real-time data at this moment, historical context from October 13, 2025, underscores the importance of these levels in dictating short-term moves. Market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Averages might align with this, showing oversold conditions rebounding into neutral territory.
Overcoming the $120K Supply Zone: Catalyst Needed
A major hurdle identified in the analysis is the $120K zone, which is proving to be a significant supply area for Bitcoin. Breaking through this level will likely require a strong catalyst, such as positive macroeconomic news, institutional inflows, or regulatory developments favorable to crypto. Skew Δ's commentary suggests that without such an impetus, the market might remain range-bound, with sellers dominating at these elevated prices. From a trading perspective, this presents opportunities for range trading strategies, where traders could short near $120K resistances and go long near the $109K-$112K supports. Considering cross-market correlations, if stock markets show bullish trends—perhaps driven by AI advancements influencing tech stocks—this could spill over into crypto sentiment, providing the needed boost for BTC. Institutional flows, tracked through metrics like ETF inflows, would be crucial here, as they often correlate with major price breakouts.
To wrap up this trading-focused breakdown, the overarching advice from Skew Δ revolves around disciplined coin selection based on weekly closes and daily structures. For Bitcoin specifically, maintaining above $112K while building on the $109K hold could pave the way for targeting $120K and beyond, contingent on external catalysts. Traders should integrate multiple timeframes, monitor on-chain activity like active addresses and transaction volumes, and stay alert to global events that might influence crypto markets. This analysis not only highlights immediate trading opportunities but also underscores broader market implications, such as potential shifts in investor sentiment if these levels fail. By focusing on these concrete price points with timestamps from October 13, 2025, investors can better navigate the uncertainties, aiming for calculated entries and exits in a market that's showing signs of both caution and opportunity. In terms of SEO-optimized insights, Bitcoin price movements around these support and resistance levels offer clear trading signals, with higher lows on daily charts suggesting bullish continuation patterns. For those exploring long-tail queries like 'BTC weekly candle analysis October 2025' or 'trading strategies for Bitcoin supply zones,' this breakdown provides actionable context without over-speculating. Remember, always verify current market conditions before executing trades, as volatility remains a constant in crypto.
Skew Δ
@52kskewFull time trader & analyst