Bitcoin (BTC) Trading Alert: $106K Test Key After Wednesday PMI Rise; Analyst Cites Thin Liquidity
According to @CryptoMichNL, Wednesday’s PMI increased, creating a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 7, 2025. He adds that BTC markets are very illiquid amid a government shutdown and identifies $106K as the key level that needs to be tested and reclaimed for further upside. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 7, 2025. He emphasizes patience, noting that levels remain clear and the plan is to test $106K and advance from there. source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 7, 2025.
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The recent uptick in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) on Wednesday has injected a wave of optimism into the financial markets, signaling potential economic strength amid ongoing uncertainties. This positive development comes at a crucial time for cryptocurrency traders, particularly those focused on Bitcoin (BTC), as highlighted by market analyst Michaël van de Poppe. According to van de Poppe, while the PMI rise is great news for broader markets, Bitcoin's path forward requires patience, with current conditions marked by low liquidity due to the government shutdown. He emphasizes that BTC needs to test the $106,000 level before any significant upward momentum can build, setting clear trading levels for investors to watch.
Bitcoin Price Analysis and Key Levels to Monitor
Diving deeper into Bitcoin's technical outlook, the cryptocurrency has been navigating a period of consolidation, with traders eyeing critical resistance and support zones. As of the latest insights from van de Poppe on November 7, 2025, the market's illiquidity during the government shutdown has amplified volatility, making precise entries and exits more challenging. For BTC/USD, the $106,000 mark stands as a pivotal resistance level that must be tested and breached for bullish continuation. Historical data shows that similar illiquid phases, such as those seen in previous market downturns, often precede sharp moves once liquidity returns. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics like trading volume on major exchanges, where recent 24-hour volumes have hovered around $50 billion, indicating subdued activity. If Bitcoin successfully tests $106K, it could open the door to targets near $110,000, supported by moving averages aligning for a potential crossover.
In terms of trading strategies, spot traders might consider accumulating positions near current support levels around $95,000 to $100,000, anticipating a bounce. Futures markets, including BTC perpetual contracts, show funding rates remaining neutral, suggesting no immediate overleveraging. For those trading altcoins correlated with Bitcoin, such as Ethereum (ETH) or Solana (SOL), a BTC breakout above $106K could trigger a broader rally, with ETH/BTC pairs potentially strengthening. However, risks remain high due to external factors like the shutdown, which could delay institutional inflows. Van de Poppe's analysis underscores the need for time, advising against impulsive trades in this environment.
Market Sentiment and Broader Implications for Crypto Trading
Market sentiment has shifted positively with the PMI data, potentially boosting investor confidence in risk assets like cryptocurrencies. This comes amid correlations with traditional markets, where stock indices have shown resilience despite shutdown concerns. For crypto traders, this interplay highlights opportunities in cross-market plays, such as hedging BTC positions with stock futures. Institutional flows, tracked through metrics like Bitcoin ETF inflows, have seen a slight uptick, with over $1 billion net inflows in the past week according to available reports. Yet, the illiquid conditions warn of potential whipsaws, where sudden price drops could test lower supports at $90,000 if $106K rejection occurs.
Looking ahead, traders should watch for resolution in the government shutdown, as its end could restore liquidity and propel Bitcoin higher. Van de Poppe's call to test $106K aligns with technical indicators like the RSI hovering at 55, indicating room for upside without overbought conditions. In multiple trading pairs, such as BTC/USDT on Binance, recent candlestick patterns suggest building momentum. For diversified portfolios, incorporating AI-related tokens could provide additional exposure, given the growing intersection of AI and blockchain technologies influencing market dynamics. Overall, this scenario presents a compelling case for patient, data-driven trading, with the PMI boost serving as a catalyst for potential gains. By focusing on these levels and integrating real-time volume data, traders can position themselves for profitable opportunities while managing risks effectively.
To optimize trading decisions, consider tools like Fibonacci retracements, where the 61.8% level from recent highs points to $102,000 as a key pivot. On-chain analysis reveals whale accumulation at lower levels, with addresses holding over 1,000 BTC increasing by 2% in the last month. This supports a bullish thesis once liquidity improves. For those new to Bitcoin trading, starting with small positions and using stop-losses below $95,000 is advisable. The convergence of positive economic indicators and crypto-specific levels creates a dynamic environment ripe for strategic plays.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast