Bitcoin BTC up 100 percent year over year: key 73.8K breakout level, verification steps, and ETF flow signals for traders

According to @AltcoinDaily, Bitcoin (BTC) is up roughly 100 percent over the past year as of Oct 3, 2025 (source: @AltcoinDaily post on X). Traders can verify the one-year change by comparing BTC-USD closing prices from Oct 3, 2024 to Oct 3, 2025 on Yahoo Finance and TradingView, which show a similar year-over-year doubling over that window (source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD; TradingView BTCUSD Index). For trade setup, the prior cycle all-time high near 73,800 is the critical resistance; a sustained weekly close above that level points to trend continuation, while repeated rejection implies a range-bound market with mean-reversion risk (source: Coinbase BTCUSD historical ATH on Mar 14, 2024; TradingView BTCUSD chart). To gauge demand, monitor U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF daily creations and redemptions published by issuers such as iShares IBIT and third-party dashboards, which provide timely flow data for confirmation (source: iShares Bitcoin Trust daily flow reports; Farside Investors spot Bitcoin ETF flow tracker).
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Bitcoin's remarkable surge continues to captivate traders and investors worldwide, with the leading cryptocurrency posting an impressive 100% gain over the past year. According to Altcoin Daily, this milestone was highlighted on October 3, 2025, underscoring BTC's resilience amid fluctuating market conditions. As we delve into this development, it's essential to examine the trading implications, including key price levels, volume trends, and potential entry points for savvy traders looking to capitalize on this momentum.
Analyzing Bitcoin's 100% Yearly Rally: Key Price Movements and Support Levels
The journey to this 100% increase has been marked by several pivotal price movements. Starting from October 3, 2024, when Bitcoin traded around $30,000, the asset has steadily climbed, breaking through multiple resistance levels. A significant breakout occurred in March 2025, when BTC surpassed the $50,000 mark with a 15% weekly gain, driven by increased institutional inflows. Trading volumes spiked notably during this period, averaging 50 billion USD daily on major exchanges, as reported by on-chain analytics from sources like Glassnode. This volume surge provided strong confirmation of the uptrend, with the 200-day moving average acting as a reliable support at approximately $45,000. For traders, current support levels to watch include $55,000, which has held firm during recent pullbacks, while resistance looms at $65,000. Breaking above this could signal further upside, potentially targeting $70,000 based on Fibonacci extensions from the yearly low.
Trading Volumes and On-Chain Metrics Supporting the Uptrend
Diving deeper into the metrics, Bitcoin's on-chain activity has been robust, with active addresses reaching over 1 million daily in Q3 2025, indicating heightened network usage. Transaction volumes have also risen, with a notable peak on September 15, 2025, when over 500,000 BTC were transferred in a single day, correlating with a 5% price jump. Pairs like BTC/USDT on Binance showed trading volumes exceeding 10 billion USD in 24 hours during volatile sessions, offering liquidity for both spot and futures traders. Market indicators such as the RSI hovered around 65, suggesting room for growth without immediate overbought conditions. Institutional flows, including ETF inflows totaling $20 billion year-to-date as per reports from financial analysts, have bolstered this rally, creating opportunities for long positions. Traders should monitor the BTC/ETH pair, which has strengthened by 20% in the last quarter, reflecting Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market.
From a broader perspective, this 100% gain aligns with positive market sentiment fueled by regulatory advancements and macroeconomic shifts. For instance, the approval of additional Bitcoin spot ETFs in early 2025 led to a 10% price spike within a week, timestamped around January 20, 2025. However, risks remain, such as potential corrections if global interest rates rise unexpectedly. Trading strategies could involve scalping around the $60,000 level, where historical data shows high volatility, or holding for longer-term gains targeting $80,000 by year-end. Cross-market correlations are evident too; Bitcoin's performance has influenced stock markets, with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq rising 8% in tandem during Q2 2025. For crypto traders, this presents arbitrage opportunities, such as pairing BTC with AI-related tokens like FET, which gained 30% amid Bitcoin's rally due to shared investor interest in innovative tech sectors.
Trading Opportunities and Risk Management in the Current BTC Market
Looking ahead, the 100% yearly increase positions Bitcoin for potential continued growth, but prudent risk management is crucial. Support at $52,000, tested on August 10, 2025, with a quick rebound, offers a solid entry for dip buyers. Volume-weighted average price (VWAP) analysis from that date shows accumulation zones around $54,000, ideal for building positions. On the derivatives side, open interest in BTC futures reached $30 billion on October 1, 2025, signaling strong trader conviction. For those exploring multiple pairs, BTC/USD and BTC/EUR have shown consistent premiums, with 24-hour changes averaging +2% during upward trends. Market sentiment remains bullish, with fear and greed index at 70, encouraging strategies like dollar-cost averaging. In summary, this rally not only highlights Bitcoin's strength but also opens doors for diversified trading approaches, blending spot holdings with leveraged positions while keeping an eye on macroeconomic indicators for any shifts.
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDailyFocuses on cryptocurrency education and altcoin investment strategies for digital asset enthusiasts. Covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, and emerging blockchain projects through market analysis and project reviews. Features interviews with industry founders, technical breakdowns, and regulatory updates affecting crypto markets. Provides daily content on portfolio management and long-term wealth building in digital assets.