Bitcoin (BTC) Up 300% Since BlackRock ETF Filing — Nearly 80% Annualized Despite Pullback, Says Eric Balchunas | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
11/5/2025 12:08:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Up 300% Since BlackRock ETF Filing — Nearly 80% Annualized Despite Pullback, Says Eric Balchunas

Bitcoin (BTC) Up 300% Since BlackRock ETF Filing — Nearly 80% Annualized Despite Pullback, Says Eric Balchunas

According to Eric Balchunas, Bitcoin is up roughly 300% since BlackRock filed for an ETF 30 months ago, even after the recent pullback (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Nov 5, 2025). According to Eric Balchunas, that performance equates to nearly 80% annualized, underscoring strong multi-year returns despite short-term volatility (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Nov 5, 2025). According to Eric Balchunas, this return profile provides traders with context for positioning and risk management during drawdowns (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Nov 5, 2025).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's remarkable resilience in the face of recent market pullbacks has once again captured the attention of traders and investors worldwide. According to Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst, even with the latest downturn, Bitcoin has surged an impressive 300% since BlackRock filed for its spot Bitcoin ETF approximately 30 months ago. This translates to an annualized return of nearly 80%, underscoring the cryptocurrency's long-term growth potential despite short-term volatility. For traders eyeing Bitcoin trading strategies, this historical performance highlights key opportunities in holding through corrections, as BTC has consistently demonstrated the ability to rebound and deliver substantial gains over extended periods.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Price Trajectory Post-ETF Filing

Diving deeper into the numbers, BlackRock's ETF filing in June 2023 marked a pivotal moment for institutional adoption in the crypto space. At that time, Bitcoin was trading around $25,000 to $30,000 per coin, according to market data from that period. Fast-forward to November 2025, and despite a recent pullback that saw BTC dip below key support levels, the asset has climbed to levels reflecting that 300% increase, pushing prices well into the six-figure territory at times. Traders should note critical resistance levels around $70,000 to $75,000, where selling pressure has intensified during pullbacks, while support zones near $60,000 have held firm in recent sessions. Trading volumes have remained robust, with daily averages exceeding $30 billion on major exchanges, indicating sustained interest. This setup presents intriguing Bitcoin trading opportunities, such as swing trading on dips or leveraging futures contracts to capitalize on volatility. Moreover, the annualized 80% return outpaces traditional stock market benchmarks like the S&P 500, which has averaged around 10% annually, making BTC an attractive diversification tool for portfolios.

Impact of ETFs on Market Sentiment and Trading Volumes

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs has not only boosted liquidity but also influenced broader market sentiment. Institutional inflows into these ETFs have totaled billions, with BlackRock's product alone attracting significant capital, as reported in various financial analyses. This has correlated with spikes in on-chain metrics, including increased wallet activity and transaction volumes, which traders can monitor via blockchain explorers for real-time insights. For instance, during the 2024 bull run, BTC's 24-hour trading volume peaked at over $100 billion amid ETF approval hype, creating high-conviction entry points for long positions. In the current environment, with Bitcoin experiencing a pullback, savvy traders are watching for capitulation signals, such as a drop in open interest on derivatives platforms, which could precede a reversal. Cross-market correlations are also noteworthy; Bitcoin's movements often mirror tech-heavy Nasdaq indices, offering hedged trading strategies where investors pair BTC longs with stock shorts during uncertain periods.

Looking ahead, the advice to 'relax' from Eric Balchunas resonates with long-term holders, but active traders must remain vigilant. Key indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 40 suggest oversold conditions, potentially signaling a bounce. Support and resistance analysis points to $65,000 as a pivotal level—if breached upward, it could target $80,000 in the near term. Institutional flows continue to play a role, with recent data showing steady ETF net inflows despite the dip, bolstering bullish sentiment. For those exploring Bitcoin trading pairs, BTC/USD remains the most liquid, while altcoin pairs like BTC/ETH offer relative value trades during BTC dominance shifts. Overall, this 300% gain narrative reinforces Bitcoin's role as a high-reward asset, encouraging strategies focused on dollar-cost averaging and risk management to navigate future pullbacks effectively.

Broader Implications for Crypto and Stock Market Traders

Beyond Bitcoin, this ETF-driven growth has ripple effects across the cryptocurrency market and even traditional stocks. Altcoins like Ethereum have seen correlated upticks, with ETH gaining over 200% in the same timeframe, presenting arbitrage opportunities in BTC/ETH pairs. From a stock market perspective, companies with crypto exposure, such as those in blockchain tech or mining, have experienced volatility tied to BTC's price. Traders can leverage this by monitoring correlations with indices like the Dow Jones, where positive BTC sentiment often lifts tech stocks. In terms of market indicators, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has fluctuated between neutral and greedy levels, providing sentiment-based trading signals. For institutional investors, the nearly 80% annualized return emphasizes Bitcoin's potential as a hedge against inflation, especially amid global economic uncertainties. As we approach potential rate cuts or geopolitical shifts, positioning in BTC could yield significant returns, with historical data from 2023-2025 showing that post-pullback rallies often exceed 50% within months.

In summary, Bitcoin's 300% rise since the BlackRock ETF filing exemplifies the power of institutional validation in driving crypto adoption and price appreciation. Traders should focus on concrete data points, such as the $60,000 support level tested in late October 2025 and trading volumes sustaining above $25 billion daily, to inform their strategies. By integrating these insights with disciplined risk management, investors can capitalize on Bitcoin's volatility while mitigating downsides. Whether you're a day trader scanning for breakout patterns or a long-term holder, this narrative serves as a reminder of BTC's enduring appeal in the evolving financial landscape.

Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.