Bitcoin BTC vs Gold RSI Below 30; First Daily Bullish Divergence Since Correction Signals Bullish Setup, Says @CryptoMichNL
According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTCUSD/GOLD weekly RSI is below 30 and continues to decline, highlighting extreme relative weakness of BTC versus gold. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025. He adds that a strong bullish divergence has formed on the daily RSI for the first time since the broader correction, which he views as a strong signal for Bitcoin. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025. He states this configuration implies a bullish period may be approaching for BTC. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 26, 2025.
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As Bitcoin continues to navigate through market volatility, recent technical indicators are painting a potentially optimistic picture for traders. According to Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the BTCUSD/GOLD pair on the weekly timeframe has dipped below 30 and is trending even lower with each passing day. This development, highlighted in his analysis on December 26, 2025, suggests that Bitcoin is approaching oversold conditions relative to gold, which could set the stage for a rebound. For traders monitoring cross-asset correlations, this metric is crucial as it compares Bitcoin's performance against a traditional safe-haven asset like gold, often signaling shifts in investor sentiment during economic uncertainty.
Understanding the Bullish Divergence in Bitcoin's RSI
Diving deeper into the daily timeframe, van de Poppe points out a strong bullish divergence forming on the RSI for Bitcoin, marking the first such occurrence since the broader market correction began. This divergence typically happens when the price of an asset makes lower lows, but the RSI starts to form higher lows, indicating weakening downward momentum and potential reversal. In the context of Bitcoin trading, this signal is particularly noteworthy because it has historically preceded periods of upward price action. Traders should watch for confirmation through increased trading volume or a break above key resistance levels, such as the recent highs around $60,000 to $65,000, though exact levels depend on real-time market conditions. Without current price data, it's essential to cross-reference this with on-chain metrics like active addresses or hash rate to gauge network strength.
From a trading strategy perspective, this bullish setup implies opportunities for long positions, especially if Bitcoin holds support near the $50,000 mark. Institutional flows, often tracked through ETF inflows or whale wallet movements, could amplify this momentum. For instance, if the RSI divergence leads to a breakout, traders might target profit levels at previous all-time highs, while setting stop-losses below recent lows to manage risk. This analysis aligns with broader market sentiment where Bitcoin's correlation with gold underscores its evolving role as digital gold, potentially attracting more traditional investors seeking diversification amid stock market fluctuations.
Trading Opportunities and Risk Management in Crypto Markets
Integrating this RSI signal into a comprehensive trading plan involves looking at multiple pairs, such as BTC/USD, BTC/ETH, or even BTC against major stock indices like the S&P 500. The weekly RSI below 30 on BTCUSD/GOLD suggests Bitcoin may be undervalued compared to gold, which has been rallying on inflation fears. A bullish period on the horizon, as implied by van de Poppe's insights, could see Bitcoin reclaiming dominance in the crypto market, boosting altcoins and related tokens. Traders should monitor trading volumes on exchanges; for example, a spike above average daily volumes could validate the divergence. In terms of SEO-optimized trading tips, focusing on Bitcoin price prediction based on RSI divergence often highlights entry points around oversold levels, with potential upside to $70,000 or beyond if macroeconomic factors like interest rate cuts support risk assets.
To optimize for voice search queries like 'Is Bitcoin showing bullish signals right now?', the answer lies in these technical setups. Market indicators such as moving averages could provide additional confluence; a crossover of the 50-day MA above the 200-day MA would strengthen the bullish case. However, risks remain, including geopolitical tensions or regulatory news that could trigger sell-offs. Overall, this analysis encourages a data-driven approach, emphasizing patience for confirmation before entering trades. By blending technical analysis with market context, traders can navigate Bitcoin's path toward potential recovery, capitalizing on the implied bullish horizon while managing downside exposure effectively.
Expanding on the implications for stock markets, Bitcoin's signals often correlate with tech-heavy indices, where a Bitcoin rally could spill over to AI-related stocks or crypto-exposed companies. For instance, if the bullish divergence plays out, it might signal broader risk-on sentiment, benefiting trading opportunities in correlated assets. Always remember, past performance isn't indicative of future results, and consulting verified sources like on-chain analytics platforms is key for informed decisions.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast