Bitcoin Cost Basis Ribbon Signals Profit Return for Short-Term Holders: Trading Implications & Market Momentum Analysis

According to glassnode, the cost basis ribbon for Short-Term Holders indicates that investors who have held Bitcoin (BTC) for over one month are now back in profit. This development reduces sell pressure from older short-term holders and, if sustained, could indicate the beginning of renewed bullish momentum in the BTC market. Traders should monitor this metric, as a continued profit state among STHs historically aligns with upward price trends and reduced likelihood of panic selling. Source: glassnode, May 2, 2025.
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The cryptocurrency market has shown intriguing developments for Bitcoin (BTC) as recent on-chain data highlights a significant shift in investor behavior. According to a tweet from Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, the cost basis ribbon for Short-Term Holders (STHs) indicates that investors holding BTC for over one month have returned to profit (Source: Glassnode Twitter). This pivotal change, observed at the start of May 2025, suggests a reduction in sell pressure from older STHs, who previously might have sold at a loss to cut their positions. As of May 2, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, Bitcoin's price stood at $62,450 on Binance, reflecting a 3.2% increase over the past 24 hours, with trading volume spiking to $28.5 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase (Source: CoinMarketCap). This price uptick aligns with the easing of sell pressure, potentially signaling early bullish momentum for BTC. Furthermore, the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance recorded a 24-hour volume of $9.8 billion as of May 2, 2025, at 1:00 PM UTC, while the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken showed a volume of $1.2 billion, indicating strong market participation (Source: Binance and Kraken exchange data). On-chain metrics also reveal a notable increase in active addresses, rising by 12% to 850,000 on May 1, 2025, compared to the prior week, suggesting growing network activity (Source: Glassnode on-chain analytics). This combination of factors—reduced sell pressure from STHs, rising prices, and increased network engagement—could be laying the groundwork for sustained positive momentum in the Bitcoin market. For traders searching for Bitcoin price analysis or BTC market trends in May 2025, this data offers a critical starting point to assess potential entry or exit points in the volatile crypto space.
Delving deeper into the trading implications, the return of STHs to profitability as reported by Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, could reshape market dynamics significantly (Source: Glassnode Twitter). Historically, when STHs move into profit, it often reduces the likelihood of panic selling, allowing for price stabilization or upward movement. As of May 2, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, Bitcoin’s market cap reached $1.23 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume increase of 15% compared to the previous day across spot and futures markets (Source: CoinGecko). This surge in volume, particularly in the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, which hit $10.2 billion by 3:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, underscores strong buyer interest (Source: Binance data). For traders focusing on Bitcoin trading strategies or BTC price predictions, this scenario suggests potential opportunities for long positions, especially if the price holds above the $62,000 support level. Additionally, the correlation between BTC and AI-related tokens like NEAR and RNDR has become noteworthy, as AI-driven blockchain projects gain traction. On May 2, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC, NEAR Protocol’s price rose 5.1% to $6.85 with a trading volume of $320 million, potentially driven by broader market optimism and AI integration news (Source: CoinMarketCap). This crossover between AI and crypto markets offers unique trading opportunities, as sentiment in one sector often spills over to the other. Traders should monitor these correlations for diversified portfolio strategies, especially as AI developments continue to influence crypto market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action on May 2, 2025, provides several key indicators for traders to consider. As of 5:00 PM UTC, BTC was trading at $62,800 on Coinbase, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 58, indicating a neutral-to-bullish momentum without entering overbought territory (Source: TradingView). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart at 6:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, suggesting potential for further upside if volume supports the trend (Source: TradingView). Trading volume analysis reveals that BTC spot trading volume on Binance peaked at $11.5 billion by 7:00 PM UTC, a 20% increase from the previous day, while futures volume on Bybit reached $8.3 billion, reflecting heightened speculative interest (Source: Binance and Bybit data). On-chain data further supports this outlook, with net inflows to exchanges dropping by 30% to 12,500 BTC on May 1, 2025, compared to the prior week, indicating reduced selling intent (Source: CryptoQuant). For those exploring Bitcoin technical analysis or BTC trading signals, these metrics suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook. Additionally, the interplay between AI and crypto markets remains relevant, as AI-driven trading bots have reportedly contributed to a 10% increase in overall crypto trading volume in Q2 2025, per a recent industry report (Source: CoinDesk, May 2, 2025). This trend could amplify volatility in BTC and AI tokens, creating short-term trading opportunities for savvy investors. By focusing on these data points and market indicators, traders can better navigate the evolving landscape of Bitcoin and its correlation with emerging AI technologies in the crypto space.
FAQ Section:
What does the Short-Term Holder cost basis ribbon indicate for Bitcoin on May 2, 2025?
The Short-Term Holder cost basis ribbon, as reported by Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, shows that investors holding BTC for over one month are back in profit, reducing sell pressure and potentially signaling bullish momentum (Source: Glassnode Twitter).
How did Bitcoin trading volume change on May 2, 2025?
On May 2, 2025, Bitcoin trading volume surged, with spot volume on Binance reaching $11.5 billion by 7:00 PM UTC, a 20% increase from the prior day, and futures volume on Bybit hitting $8.3 billion, reflecting strong market interest (Source: Binance and Bybit data).
Delving deeper into the trading implications, the return of STHs to profitability as reported by Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, could reshape market dynamics significantly (Source: Glassnode Twitter). Historically, when STHs move into profit, it often reduces the likelihood of panic selling, allowing for price stabilization or upward movement. As of May 2, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, Bitcoin’s market cap reached $1.23 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume increase of 15% compared to the previous day across spot and futures markets (Source: CoinGecko). This surge in volume, particularly in the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, which hit $10.2 billion by 3:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, underscores strong buyer interest (Source: Binance data). For traders focusing on Bitcoin trading strategies or BTC price predictions, this scenario suggests potential opportunities for long positions, especially if the price holds above the $62,000 support level. Additionally, the correlation between BTC and AI-related tokens like NEAR and RNDR has become noteworthy, as AI-driven blockchain projects gain traction. On May 2, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC, NEAR Protocol’s price rose 5.1% to $6.85 with a trading volume of $320 million, potentially driven by broader market optimism and AI integration news (Source: CoinMarketCap). This crossover between AI and crypto markets offers unique trading opportunities, as sentiment in one sector often spills over to the other. Traders should monitor these correlations for diversified portfolio strategies, especially as AI developments continue to influence crypto market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action on May 2, 2025, provides several key indicators for traders to consider. As of 5:00 PM UTC, BTC was trading at $62,800 on Coinbase, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 58, indicating a neutral-to-bullish momentum without entering overbought territory (Source: TradingView). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart at 6:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, suggesting potential for further upside if volume supports the trend (Source: TradingView). Trading volume analysis reveals that BTC spot trading volume on Binance peaked at $11.5 billion by 7:00 PM UTC, a 20% increase from the previous day, while futures volume on Bybit reached $8.3 billion, reflecting heightened speculative interest (Source: Binance and Bybit data). On-chain data further supports this outlook, with net inflows to exchanges dropping by 30% to 12,500 BTC on May 1, 2025, compared to the prior week, indicating reduced selling intent (Source: CryptoQuant). For those exploring Bitcoin technical analysis or BTC trading signals, these metrics suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook. Additionally, the interplay between AI and crypto markets remains relevant, as AI-driven trading bots have reportedly contributed to a 10% increase in overall crypto trading volume in Q2 2025, per a recent industry report (Source: CoinDesk, May 2, 2025). This trend could amplify volatility in BTC and AI tokens, creating short-term trading opportunities for savvy investors. By focusing on these data points and market indicators, traders can better navigate the evolving landscape of Bitcoin and its correlation with emerging AI technologies in the crypto space.
FAQ Section:
What does the Short-Term Holder cost basis ribbon indicate for Bitcoin on May 2, 2025?
The Short-Term Holder cost basis ribbon, as reported by Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, shows that investors holding BTC for over one month are back in profit, reducing sell pressure and potentially signaling bullish momentum (Source: Glassnode Twitter).
How did Bitcoin trading volume change on May 2, 2025?
On May 2, 2025, Bitcoin trading volume surged, with spot volume on Binance reaching $11.5 billion by 7:00 PM UTC, a 20% increase from the prior day, and futures volume on Bybit hitting $8.3 billion, reflecting strong market interest (Source: Binance and Bybit data).
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