Latest Update
2026-11-04 14:18 UTC

Bitcoin: Dragosch Holds Bullish View on Decoupling

Bitcoin: Dragosch Holds Bullish View on Decoupling

André Dragosch reiterated his bearish stance on AI and semiconductors while remaining bullish on Bitcoin, citing early signs of a financial conditions pivot and ongoing decoupling from the S&P 500 on November 4, 2026.

Source

Analysis

André Dragosch reaffirmed his thesis that remains in play, staying bearish on the AI trade and semis while bullish on Bitcoin amid the first signs of a pivot in financial conditions.

The strategist highlighted that the decoupling between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin is materializing, with the SOX index likely to retrace toward 6,000 as semiconductor billings growth decelerates sharply; a reclaim of June highs would invalidate the view.

Bitcoin trades at $80871.56 on the 4h chart inside a bullish trend structure, holding above the EMA200 at $80840.24 while testing upper Bollinger resistance at $80384.96; with RSI(14) at 68.25 still neutral and MACD showing a golden cross at 364.56, price action points to a healthy pullback toward the EMA50 support at $78692.99 before any continuation higher.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.