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7/17/2026 1:21:00 PM

Bitcoin ETFs: Gold ETF Cycle Roadmap

Bitcoin ETFs: Gold ETF Cycle Roadmap

Bitcoin ETFs: Gold ETF 22-year cycles of gains and drawdowns ahead, BTC at $62618.62 tests lower Bollinger support amid bearish EMA50 resistance.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin ETFs face the same sentiment-driven cycles that defined GLD over 22 years, with spectacular inflows followed by multi-year drawdowns before new highs, according to Eric Balchunas.

Price action on the 4h chart shows BTC at $62618.62 testing the lower Bollinger band support at $62636.07 while the EMA50 at $63670.18 and EMA200 at $63661.23 act as firm overhead resistance; the MACD death cross at -143.65 confirms bearish momentum even as RSI at 38.3 leaves room for further downside before any relief rally toward the upper band at $65837.59.


Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.

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