Latest Update
2026-09-30 23:18 UTC

Bitcoin: Fractal Cycle Holds With 6 Months to 2025 Top

Bitcoin: Fractal Cycle Holds With 6 Months to 2025 Top

Bitcoin fractal cycle stays intact per Alphractal data, projecting October 2025 peak amid current $83429.58 price and neutral RSI on 4h chart.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin maintains its unbroken 4-year fractal cycle first mapped in 2015, with the markup phase still active and six months remaining until the projected October 12-16 2025 top according to Alphractal analysis shared by @Andre_Dragosch.

Price action at $83429.58 sits inside the Bollinger Bands with upper resistance at $84273.63 and lower support at $82788.58. The EMA50 at $83535.66 acts as immediate resistance while the EMA200 at $79763.25 provides deeper structural support in the ongoing bearish trend. Momentum shows RSI(14) at 46.66 remaining neutral and MACD(12,26) at -91.86 confirming a bullish golden cross, suggesting a potential test of upper band resistance before any retracement toward the 50-EMA confluence zone.

Traders tracking BTC price prediction models and historical cycle symmetry now watch for distribution phase signals as the final markup stretch unfolds.


André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.