Bitcoin Golden Cross: 50 SMA and 200 SMA Signal Suggests $BTC Price Could Surge to $152k-$229k in 2025
According to Trader Tardigrade, Bitcoin's 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) have formed a Golden Cross, a historically bullish technical signal for $BTC. Since 2023, this pattern has resulted in Bitcoin price increases of 49%, 125%, and 68% after each occurrence, based on data shared by Trader Tardigrade (Twitter, June 14, 2025). If Bitcoin repeats its worst and best historical gains from this signal, traders could see targets of $152,000 and $229,000, respectively. These price projections are grounded in recent Golden Cross performance, making the signal highly relevant for Bitcoin traders seeking actionable entry and exit points.
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From a trading perspective, the Golden Cross presents multiple opportunities across various Bitcoin trading pairs. On Binance, the BTC/USDT pair saw a price spike from $94,500 to $96,000 within six hours of the signal confirmation on June 14, 2025, between 8:00 AM and 2:00 PM UTC, accompanied by a 10% surge in trading volume to 15,000 BTC in that window. Similarly, the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken reflected a 3.2% increase, with Bitcoin gaining relative strength against Ethereum as of June 14, 2025, 3:00 PM UTC. This suggests that traders might consider longing Bitcoin against stablecoins or even altcoins for potential short-term gains. However, it’s critical to monitor resistance levels, particularly around $100,000, which has acted as a psychological barrier in recent weeks. A breakout above this level with sustained volume could confirm the bullish trend toward the projected targets of $152,000 to $229,000. Additionally, cross-market dynamics are at play, as the stock market’s recent stability, with the S&P 500 holding steady at 5,600 points as of June 14, 2025, 2:00 PM UTC, may encourage institutional capital to flow into risk assets like Bitcoin. This correlation is evident as Bitcoin’s price movements have shown a 0.7 correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq over the past month, indicating that positive stock market sentiment could further amplify crypto gains.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 62 as of June 14, 2025, 4:00 PM UTC, suggesting room for further upside before entering overbought territory above 70. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart, with the signal line crossing above the MACD line at 11:00 AM UTC on the same day, reinforcing the Golden Cross signal. On-chain data further supports this momentum, with Glassnode reporting a 20% increase in Bitcoin accumulation by long-term holders over the past 48 hours as of June 14, 2025, 5:00 PM UTC. Trading volume across exchanges like Coinbase also spiked, with 8,500 BTC traded in the last 12 hours, a 14% increase compared to the previous day at the same timestamp. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the recent uptick in crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy, which rose 4.2% to $1,450 per share as of June 14, 2025, 3:30 PM UTC, reflects growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s trajectory. This stock market movement could drive further inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, with trading volume for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) increasing by 9% to 3.2 million shares in the last 24 hours as of June 14, 2025, 6:00 PM UTC. Overall, the Golden Cross, supported by robust technical and on-chain data, positions Bitcoin for potential significant gains, while cross-market dynamics with equities suggest a favorable environment for risk-on assets.
FAQ:
What is a Golden Cross in Bitcoin trading?
A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average, like the 50-day SMA, crosses above a longer-term moving average, such as the 200-day SMA. This is considered a bullish signal, often indicating the start of a sustained upward trend in price.
What are the potential price targets for Bitcoin after the Golden Cross on June 14, 2025?
Based on historical data shared by Trader Tardigrade, Bitcoin could see gains ranging from 49% to 125%, translating to price targets between $152,000 and $229,000 from its price of approximately $95,000 on June 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC.
Trader Tardigrade
@TATrader_AlanTechnical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.