Latest Update
8/7/2026 10:03:00 AM

Bitcoin: Halving Cycle Bottom Points to Q4 2026

Bitcoin: Halving Cycle Bottom Points to Q4 2026

Bitcoin at $64866.1 on day 839 post-halving aligns with prior bottoms at 777-924 days, projecting Q4 2026 cycle low amid diminishing returns from 90x to 2x peaks.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin sits at day 839 after the latest halving, placing the current cycle between the 777-day and 889-day bottoms recorded in prior halvings and pointing to a potential Q4 2026 low if the drift continues.

Price action on the 4h chart shows BTC at $64866.1 inside the Bollinger Bands with upper resistance at $64994.79 and lower support at $63732.76; the EMA50 at $64091.26 acts as immediate structural support while the EMA200 at $63645.44 anchors the longer-term bullish trend, though the MACD death cross at 229.23 and neutral RSI at 61.74 suggest a healthy pullback toward the 50-EMA before any continuation higher in this BTC price prediction environment.


Ran

@ranyi1115

The co-founder of Orderly (founded in 2022), a cloud liquidity infrastructure aiming to revolutionize trading with a permissionless, omnichain liquidity layer. Also co-founded WOO Network and advocates for DeFi's democratization potential.