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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Breakout or Deeper Correction in June 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/1/2025 9:23:00 AM

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Breakout or Deeper Correction in June 2025

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Breakout or Deeper Correction in June 2025

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin must reclaim the $106K resistance to resume an upward liquidity path. If current weakness persists, the market may target liquidity below $101K, potentially marking the end of this correction phase. Presently, this price move is characterized as a standard correction, but traders should closely monitor the $106K and $101K levels for decisive trading signals (source: @CryptoMichNL, June 1, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is at a critical juncture as highlighted by recent analysis from industry expert Michael van de Poppe. On June 1, 2025, at approximately 10:00 AM UTC, van de Poppe shared via his social media platform that Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $106,000 level to resume its upward momentum and follow what he describes as the 'liquidity path.' Failure to break this resistance could signal continued weakness, potentially driving Bitcoin's price down to $101,000 as the final correction zone. This analysis comes amidst a volatile period for both crypto and stock markets, with Bitcoin trading at around $104,500 on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase as of June 1, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC, reflecting a 2.3% drop in the past 24 hours according to data from CoinGecko. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index futures showed a marginal decline of 0.5% on the same day at 9:00 AM UTC, signaling cautious sentiment in traditional markets as reported by Bloomberg. This interplay between stock market movements and crypto prices underscores the importance of cross-market analysis for traders. With Bitcoin's market cap hovering near $2.05 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $38 billion as of June 1, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC, the stakes are high for investors watching these key levels. The current correction, described as 'normal and standard' by van de Poppe, aligns with historical patterns following rapid price surges, often driven by profit-taking and macroeconomic uncertainties. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential breakout or breakdown scenarios in Bitcoin's price action.

From a trading perspective, the implications of Bitcoin's struggle at the $106,000 resistance are significant. If Bitcoin fails to surpass this level, as noted by van de Poppe on June 1, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, a deeper correction to $101,000 could trigger increased selling pressure across major trading pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH. On Binance, the BTC/USD pair saw a trading volume of over $12 billion in the last 24 hours as of June 1, 2025, 1:00 PM UTC, indicating robust liquidity but also heightened volatility. A drop to $101,000 could also impact altcoins, with Ethereum (ETH) already showing a 1.8% decline to $3,800 on the same day at 11:30 AM UTC, per CoinMarketCap data. Stock market correlations further complicate the picture; a continued downturn in indices like the Nasdaq, which fell 0.7% on June 1, 2025, at 9:30 AM UTC according to Reuters, often leads to reduced risk appetite, pushing institutional investors away from volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. This could exacerbate Bitcoin's correction, creating short-term trading opportunities for bearish strategies such as shorting BTC/USD futures on platforms like Bybit, where open interest spiked by 5% to $8.2 billion as of June 1, 2025, 12:30 PM UTC. Conversely, a breakout above $106,000 could signal a return of bullish momentum, potentially driving Bitcoin toward its all-time highs and benefiting related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which saw a 1.2% uptick to $1,650 per share on June 1, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, as reported by Yahoo Finance. Traders must monitor these cross-market signals to position themselves effectively.

Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 58 as of June 1, 2025, 2:00 PM UTC, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. However, the 50-day Moving Average (MA) at $103,800 provides critical support, and a break below this level could confirm bearish momentum toward $101,000. On-chain metrics also paint a mixed picture: Glassnode data indicates a 3% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC, reaching 1.02 million as of June 1, 2025, 1:00 PM UTC, signaling accumulation by long-term holders. Yet, exchange inflows spiked by 15,000 BTC over the past 24 hours as of the same timestamp, hinting at potential selling pressure. Trading volume for BTC/USD across major exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken averaged $9.5 billion daily as of June 1, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC, reflecting sustained interest despite the correction. Stock market correlations remain evident, with crypto-related ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) experiencing a 2% price drop to $58.30 on June 1, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, mirroring Bitcoin's weakness, as noted by MarketWatch. Institutional money flow also shows a cautious shift, with a reported $200 million outflow from crypto funds into safer stock assets over the past week, per CoinShares data released on June 1, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC. This suggests a broader risk-off sentiment that could weigh on Bitcoin unless stock indices rebound. Traders should watch the $106,000 resistance and $101,000 support levels closely, using volume spikes and RSI shifts to time entries and exits in this dynamic market environment.

In summary, the correlation between stock and crypto markets highlights the need for a multi-asset approach to trading. Bitcoin's price action around key levels like $106,000 and $101,000, as flagged by van de Poppe on June 1, 2025, will likely influence not only crypto pairs but also related equities and ETFs. Institutional flows, currently favoring safer assets, could reverse if stock market sentiment improves, potentially driving fresh capital into Bitcoin and altcoins. For now, traders should remain agile, leveraging technical indicators and on-chain data to navigate this correction phase while keeping an eye on broader market trends for cross-market opportunities and risks.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast