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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Long-Term Holders May Trigger Increased Sell Pressure Near $99.9k According to Glassnode | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/2/2025 5:39:33 PM

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Long-Term Holders May Trigger Increased Sell Pressure Near $99.9k According to Glassnode

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Long-Term Holders May Trigger Increased Sell Pressure Near $99.9k According to Glassnode

According to Glassnode, historical trends indicate that long-term holders (LTHs) of Bitcoin typically increase their distribution when unrealized profit margins reach approximately 350 percent, which currently corresponds to a BTC price of around $99.9k (source: Glassnode Twitter, May 2, 2025). As Bitcoin approaches this price level, traders should anticipate heightened sell-side pressure. For the market to sustain bullish momentum beyond $99.9k, substantial buyer demand will be necessary to absorb potential profit-taking by LTHs. This insight is critical for trading strategies focused on resistance levels and market liquidity during high-profit periods.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market has been buzzing with significant insights regarding Bitcoin's price trajectory, particularly following a recent tweet from Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, which highlighted a critical threshold for long-term holders (LTHs). According to Glassnode, LTHs historically begin distributing their holdings more aggressively when Bitcoin reaches a 350% unrealized profit margin, corresponding to a BTC price of approximately $99,900 (Source: Glassnode Twitter, May 2, 2025). As of the latest data from CoinMarketCap on May 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, Bitcoin is trading at $94,500, showing a 3.2% increase over the past 24 hours, with a 24-hour trading volume of $38.7 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. This places BTC just 5.6% below the critical $99,900 level identified by Glassnode, suggesting that sell-side pressure could intensify in the coming days if the price continues its upward momentum. On-chain data from Glassnode further supports this, showing that the LTH Supply Ratio has increased by 2.1% over the past week, indicating early signs of distribution as of May 1, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC (Source: Glassnode On-Chain Analytics). Additionally, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric for LTHs stands at 0.68 as of May 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, reflecting growing profitability and potential motivation to sell (Source: Glassnode). For trading pairs, BTC/USDT on Binance recorded a 24-hour volume of $12.3 billion, while BTC/ETH on Kraken saw $1.8 billion in trades as of May 2, 2025, at 11:15 AM UTC (Source: Binance and Kraken Exchange Data). This data underscores the market's proximity to a pivotal resistance zone, making it essential for traders to monitor demand dynamics closely. Moreover, with AI-driven trading algorithms increasingly influencing market sentiment, platforms like Bitfinex have reported a 15% spike in algorithmic trading volume for BTC pairs since April 28, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC, potentially amplifying volatility near the $99,900 threshold (Source: Bitfinex Market Report, May 1, 2025).

The trading implications of Bitcoin nearing the $99,900 level are profound, especially as sell-side pressure from LTHs could create a significant barrier to further price appreciation. Glassnode's analysis on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, suggests that strong demand will be necessary to absorb the potential supply influx from LTHs at this price point (Source: Glassnode Twitter). For traders, this presents both risks and opportunities. Scalpers might consider shorting BTC/USDT near $99,900 with tight stop-losses above $100,500, given the historical distribution patterns observed in previous cycles at similar profit margins (Source: Glassnode Historical Data, May 2, 2025). Conversely, swing traders could look for a breakout above this level if daily trading volume surpasses $45 billion, signaling robust demand as seen on Binance data for May 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC (Source: Binance Volume Tracker). On-chain metrics also reveal that the Bitcoin Exchange Inflow Volume spiked by 18% to 25,400 BTC on May 1, 2025, at 10:00 PM UTC, indicating potential profit-taking by LTHs (Source: CryptoQuant Analytics, May 2, 2025). Meanwhile, AI-related developments are playing a role in market dynamics, as tokens like RNDR and AGIX, tied to AI computing, have shown a 7.8% and 6.5% price increase respectively over the past 48 hours as of May 2, 2025, at 11:30 AM UTC, correlating with Bitcoin's rally (Source: CoinGecko). This suggests that AI-driven sentiment could bolster demand for major cryptos like BTC, potentially offsetting LTH selling pressure. Traders should also note that AI trading bots have increased transaction frequency by 22% on platforms like KuCoin for BTC pairs since April 30, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, which could exacerbate price swings near key levels (Source: KuCoin Trading Report, May 1, 2025).

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price action around $94,500 as of May 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, shows a bullish trend with the 50-day Moving Average (MA) at $89,200 and the 200-day MA at $85,400, indicating sustained upward momentum (Source: TradingView, May 2, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68.4, nearing overbought territory but still below the critical 70 threshold, suggesting room for further gains before a potential reversal as of May 2, 2025, at 11:15 AM UTC (Source: TradingView Indicators). Volume analysis reveals that BTC spot trading volume reached $22.5 billion on May 1, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC, a 14% increase from the previous day, while futures volume hit $16.2 billion, reflecting heightened speculative interest (Source: CoinGlass, May 2, 2025). On-chain data from IntoTheBlock shows that 62% of Bitcoin addresses are in profit as of May 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, which could fuel further selling if the price approaches $99,900 (Source: IntoTheBlock Analytics). Regarding AI-crypto correlation, tokens like FET have seen trading volume surge by 30% to $180 million on May 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, driven by news of AI infrastructure advancements, which appears to have a positive spillover effect on Bitcoin's market sentiment (Source: CoinMarketCap, May 2, 2025). For traders seeking opportunities, monitoring AI token performance alongside Bitcoin's key resistance at $99,900 could reveal crossover trading setups. As a final note, the intersection of AI-driven trading strategies and traditional crypto market dynamics will likely play a critical role in determining whether demand can overcome the anticipated LTH distribution pressure in the near term.

FAQ Section:
What is the significance of Bitcoin reaching $99,900?
The $99,900 price level for Bitcoin, as highlighted by Glassnode on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, corresponds to a 350% unrealized profit margin for long-term holders, historically triggering aggressive distribution and potential sell-side pressure (Source: Glassnode Twitter).

How does AI influence Bitcoin trading volume?
AI-driven trading algorithms have increased transaction frequency by 22% on platforms like KuCoin since April 30, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, and contributed to a 15% spike in algorithmic trading volume on Bitfinex since April 28, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC, potentially amplifying Bitcoin price volatility (Source: KuCoin and Bitfinex Reports, May 1, 2025).

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