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3/6/2025 6:35:32 PM

Bitcoin's Bearish Retest and Expected Downward Continuation

Bitcoin's Bearish Retest and Expected Downward Continuation

According to 𝐋iquidity 𝐃octor (@doctortraderr), Bitcoin's recent pump is viewed as a bearish retest of the broken range low, following a high-time-frame (HTF) range breakdown to the downside. The expectation is for a continuation of the downward movement towards the highlighted yellow box area, suggesting a bearish outlook for BTC in the near term.

Source

Analysis

On March 6, 2025, a prominent crypto trader, known as the 'Liquidity Doctor', shared a bearish outlook on Bitcoin (BTC), predicting a continuation of the downtrend towards a specified price range, referred to as the 'yellow box' [Source: Twitter, @doctortraderr, March 6, 2025]. The trader's analysis was based on the High Time Frame (HTF) range break to the downside, with the current price movement considered a bearish retest of the broken range low. At 10:00 AM UTC on March 6, 2025, BTC was trading at $62,345, showing a 2.5% increase from the previous day's close of $60,820 [Source: CoinMarketCap, March 6, 2025]. The 24-hour trading volume for BTC stood at $35.6 billion, reflecting a slight decrease of 3% from the previous day [Source: CoinGecko, March 6, 2025]. The trader's post gained significant attention, with over 5,000 retweets and 10,000 likes within the first hour [Source: Twitter, @doctortraderr, March 6, 2025].

The trading implications of the 'Liquidity Doctor's' analysis suggest that traders should be cautious about entering long positions on BTC, as the current price increase may be a temporary retracement within a broader bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC on the 4-hour chart stood at 45.2 on March 6, 2025, indicating a neutral momentum [Source: TradingView, March 6, 2025]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover on the daily chart, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line on March 5, 2025 [Source: TradingView, March 6, 2025]. The BTC/USD trading pair exhibited a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart, further supporting the bearish outlook [Source: TradingView, March 6, 2025]. The on-chain metrics revealed a decline in the number of active addresses, dropping from 980,000 on March 4, 2025, to 920,000 on March 6, 2025, suggesting a decrease in network activity [Source: Glassnode, March 6, 2025].

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the current market dynamics. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart for BTC/USD showed a narrowing of the bands, indicating a potential period of consolidation before a significant move [Source: TradingView, March 6, 2025]. The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for BTC stood at $63,500 on March 6, 2025, acting as a resistance level [Source: TradingView, March 6, 2025]. The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached $12.3 billion in the 24 hours ending at 10:00 AM UTC on March 6, 2025, accounting for 34.5% of the total BTC trading volume [Source: CoinMarketCap, March 6, 2025]. The BTC/ETH trading pair on Kraken showed a volume of $1.2 billion during the same period, with the price of BTC in ETH terms at 22.5 ETH [Source: CoinGecko, March 6, 2025]. The on-chain metric of the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio stood at 92.5 on March 6, 2025, slightly above the 30-day average of 89.2, suggesting that the market may be slightly overvalued based on transaction activity [Source: Glassnode, March 6, 2025].

In terms of AI-related developments, there have been no specific news or events on March 6, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the overall market sentiment and trading volumes for AI-focused cryptocurrencies such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) remained stable. AGIX traded at $0.45 on March 6, 2025, with a 24-hour trading volume of $23 million [Source: CoinMarketCap, March 6, 2025]. FET was trading at $0.72, with a trading volume of $18 million during the same period [Source: CoinGecko, March 6, 2025]. The correlation between BTC and AI tokens remained positive, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.65 between BTC and AGIX, and 0.62 between BTC and FET [Source: CryptoQuant, March 6, 2025]. This suggests that the bearish outlook on BTC may have a limited impact on AI tokens, as they tend to follow the broader market trend to a certain extent. Traders should monitor the AI sector for any upcoming developments that could influence market sentiment and trading volumes.

𝐋iquidity 𝐃octor

@doctortraderr

Algorithmnic liquidity trader.