Bitcoin: September 2026 Opens With -1.75% Return

Bitcoin enters September 2026 already down 1.75% following eight negative closes out of thirteen Septembers since 2013 and an average monthly return near -3%.

Price sits at $77662.16 inside the Bollinger Bands with the upper resistance at $79158.15 and lower support at $77170.13. The 50-EMA at $77574.55 acts as immediate support while the 200-EMA at $71685.74 remains the deeper floor. RSI at 44.59 stays neutral yet the MACD death cross at -187.18 signals fading momentum, pointing to a likely test of the 50-EMA before any sustained push higher. BTC price prediction models and crypto market seasonality both flag elevated downside risk through month-end.