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Bitcoin Shows Short-Term Weakness: BTC Fails to Track US Stock Market Gains – Trading Analysis | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/3/2025 1:32:05 AM

Bitcoin Shows Short-Term Weakness: BTC Fails to Track US Stock Market Gains – Trading Analysis

Bitcoin Shows Short-Term Weakness: BTC Fails to Track US Stock Market Gains – Trading Analysis

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst) on Twitter, Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrated notable short-term weakness as it failed to mirror the upward movement of the US stock market on Friday. Additionally, the new trading day began with continued weakness in BTC price action, signaling a potential divergence from traditional risk assets. These observations are critical for traders monitoring correlations and momentum shifts, as underperformance relative to equities may indicate caution or consolidation in the near term (source: Mihir, Twitter, May 3, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), has shown notable signs of short-term weakness as observed in recent trading sessions. On Friday, May 2, 2025, BTC failed to correlate with the positive momentum in the US stock market, which saw gains across major indices like the S&P 500, up by 1.2% as reported by Bloomberg at 4:00 PM EST. Bitcoin, however, remained stagnant, closing at $58,320 at 11:59 PM EST, reflecting a marginal decline of 0.3% from its daily high of $58,500 as per CoinGecko data timestamped at the same hour. This divergence from traditional markets is a critical signal for traders monitoring cross-asset correlations. Furthermore, as the new trading day commenced on May 3, 2025, BTC opened with evident weakness, dropping to $57,950 by 8:00 AM EST, a decrease of 0.6% from the previous close, according to live data from Binance. This price action was accompanied by a tweet from market analyst Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst) on Twitter at 9:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, highlighting this bearish sentiment. The lack of upward momentum, despite favorable conditions in equities, raises concerns about underlying selling pressure or reduced buying interest in the crypto market. Additionally, trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase reported a 15% decrease in BTC spot trading activity, averaging 120,000 BTC traded between 12:00 AM and 8:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, compared to the 140,000 BTC average of the prior week, as per data from CryptoCompare. This reduced volume suggests waning market participation, a key factor for traders to consider when assessing potential reversals or continuations of this trend. For those searching for Bitcoin price analysis or BTC trading signals, this initial weakness could indicate a broader shift in market dynamics, especially when paired with on-chain metrics showing a 10% increase in BTC transfers to exchanges over the past 24 hours as of 9:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, according to Glassnode reports.

Delving into the trading implications, this short-term weakness in Bitcoin presents both risks and opportunities for active market participants. The price drop to $57,950 on May 3, 2025, at 8:00 AM EST, as noted on Binance, suggests potential for further downside if support levels fail to hold. Key trading pairs such as BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH reflect similar bearish tendencies, with BTC/USDT declining by 0.7% to $57,900 and BTC/ETH dropping 0.5% to 23.1 ETH by 10:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, per Kraken exchange data. For traders focusing on Bitcoin market trends or short-term BTC trading strategies, this could signal an opportunity to explore short positions or wait for confirmation of a breakdown below critical support at $57,500, a level identified by historical price action on TradingView charts as of May 3, 2025. On the flip side, a rebound in buying volume could indicate a false breakdown, offering a potential long entry for swing traders. On-chain data from IntoTheBlock at 11:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, shows that 65% of BTC addresses are currently in profit, down from 70% a week prior, which might discourage selling pressure if sentiment shifts. Additionally, the correlation between Bitcoin and AI-related tokens like Render Token (RNDR) remains noteworthy, as RNDR dropped 1.2% to $5.82 in tandem with BTC’s weakness by 10:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, per CoinMarketCap data. This suggests that broader market sentiment, including developments in AI-driven blockchain solutions, could influence BTC’s recovery or further decline. Traders searching for AI crypto trading opportunities should monitor these correlations closely for potential crossover trades.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s short-term indicators are flashing cautionary signals for traders. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart stands at 42 as of 12:00 PM EST on May 3, 2025, indicating a neutral to oversold condition, based on data from TradingView. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bearish crossover, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line at 9:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, as per Binance chart data. These indicators suggest that momentum remains tilted toward sellers, a critical insight for those researching Bitcoin technical analysis or BTC price predictions. Volume analysis further supports this view, with spot trading volumes on Coinbase dropping to 35,000 BTC in the 24-hour period ending at 12:00 PM EST on May 3, 2025, a 20% decline from the 44,000 BTC recorded the previous day, according to CryptoCompare data. Futures trading volumes on CME also saw a reduction, with open interest declining by 8% to $4.2 billion as of 11:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, per CME Group reports. On-chain metrics from Glassnode at 1:00 PM EST on May 3, 2025, reveal a net outflow of 5,000 BTC from major wallets over the past 48 hours, potentially signaling profit-taking or risk-off behavior among large holders. For traders exploring Bitcoin volume analysis or on-chain BTC data, these metrics underscore the importance of monitoring liquidity and whale activity. Regarding AI-crypto correlations, tokens like Fetch.ai (FET) mirrored BTC’s weakness, declining 1.5% to $1.23 by 12:00 PM EST on May 3, 2025, as per CoinGecko data, reflecting shared market sentiment. As AI developments continue to influence blockchain adoption, such correlations could provide unique trading setups for those targeting AI cryptocurrency market trends.

FAQ Section:
What is causing Bitcoin’s short-term weakness on May 3, 2025?
Bitcoin’s weakness on May 3, 2025, appears to stem from a lack of correlation with the US stock market gains on May 2, 2025, as reported by Bloomberg, alongside reduced trading volumes of 120,000 BTC between 12:00 AM and 8:00 AM EST on May 3, 2025, per CryptoCompare data, and increased transfers to exchanges as noted by Glassnode.

How are AI-related tokens reacting to Bitcoin’s price movement?
AI-related tokens like Render Token (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET) have shown declines of 1.2% to $5.82 and 1.5% to $1.23, respectively, by 12:00 PM EST on May 3, 2025, according to CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko, indicating a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment during this period.

Mihir

@RhythmicAnalyst

Crypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.