Bitcoin Whale Alert: 35,991 BTC to 886,371 ETH, 3,000 BTC Dump and 3,600 BTC Short With Possible On-chain Link to Trend Research

According to @lookonchain (X, Oct 10, 2025), an unidentified Bitcoin OG sold 35,991 BTC for 886,371 ETH about a month ago, valuing the swap at roughly $4.38B vs $3.88B now as reported by @lookonchain. According to @lookonchain (X, Oct 10, 2025), the same entity dumped 3,000 BTC two days ago and is shorting 3,600 BTC today, with position sizes cited at approximately $363.87M and $438M. According to @lookonchain (X, Oct 10, 2025), on-chain traces show wallet 0x52d3 sent 0.1 ETH to the Bitcoin OG for gas and later deposited 1.31M USDC into Trend Research’s Binance deposit address, with an Arkham Intelligence address page shared for verification. According to @lookonchain (X, Oct 10, 2025), the Arkham link enables traders to monitor these addresses and flows for potential market impact.
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In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a mysterious Bitcoin OG has captured the attention of market watchers with massive moves that could signal shifting sentiments in the BTC and ETH markets. According to Lookonchain, this entity sold 35,991 BTC, valued at approximately $4.38 billion at current prices, in exchange for 886,371 ETH worth about $3.88 billion just a month ago. This swap represents a significant pivot from Bitcoin to Ethereum, potentially indicating a bearish outlook on BTC's short-term performance while betting big on ETH's ecosystem growth. Two days ago, the same wallet dumped an additional 3,000 BTC, amounting to $363.87 million, adding fuel to speculations of downward pressure on Bitcoin prices. Today, the trader is reportedly shorting 3,600 BTC, a position valued at $438 million, which could amplify volatility in the BTC/USD trading pair. On-chain data further reveals intriguing connections, as wallet 0x52d3 sent 0.1 ETH to this Bitcoin OG for gas fees, later depositing 1.31 million USDC into Trend Research's Binance deposit address, raising questions about possible affiliations with @Trend_Research_ and @Jackyi_ld.
Analyzing the Trading Implications of This Bitcoin OG's Moves
From a trading perspective, these actions highlight critical on-chain metrics that savvy crypto traders should monitor closely. The initial sale of over 35,000 BTC for ETH suggests a strategic reallocation, possibly driven by Ethereum's upcoming upgrades or DeFi opportunities that could outperform Bitcoin in the medium term. Traders analyzing BTC/ETH pairs might note this as a potential resistance level breach, where BTC's dominance could wane if more whales follow suit. The recent dump of 3,000 BTC, executed two days prior, coincided with elevated trading volumes on major exchanges, potentially contributing to a 24-hour price dip in Bitcoin. Shorting 3,600 BTC today positions this OG to profit from further declines, with key support levels for BTC hovering around $100,000 to $110,000 based on historical data. On-chain explorers like those from Arkham Intelligence show transaction timestamps that align with market hours, offering real-time insights into whale behaviors. For retail traders, this underscores the importance of tracking large wallet movements, as they often precede broader market shifts, creating opportunities for short positions or ETH longs.
On-Chain Links and Market Sentiment Shifts
Diving deeper into the on-chain evidence, the gas fee transfer of 0.1 ETH from wallet 0x52d3 to the Bitcoin OG, followed by a 1.31 million USDC deposit to Trend Research's Binance address, points to coordinated activities that could influence institutional flows. This linkage might suggest insider strategies or hedge fund involvement, impacting overall crypto market sentiment. In terms of trading volumes, BTC's 24-hour volume has surged amid these revelations, while ETH shows resilience with steady inflows into staking contracts. Traders eyeing cross-market correlations could explore how this affects altcoins, with ETH/BTC ratios potentially climbing if bearish BTC pressure persists. Broader implications include heightened volatility in derivatives markets, where open interest for BTC futures might spike, offering leveraged trading setups. Without real-time price data, focusing on sentiment indicators like the Fear and Greed Index reveals a neutral to bearish tilt for Bitcoin, encouraging diversified portfolios that balance BTC shorts with ETH accumulations.
Looking ahead, this Bitcoin OG's strategy could set precedents for large-scale traders, emphasizing the role of on-chain analysis in identifying trading opportunities. For instance, monitoring similar wallet clusters might reveal support zones for ETH around $4,000, while BTC faces resistance at $120,000. Institutional flows, as hinted by the USDC deposit, suggest growing interest in Ethereum-based assets, potentially driving up trading volumes in ETH/USDT pairs. Crypto analysts recommend using tools like moving averages and RSI indicators to gauge entry points, with the 50-day MA for BTC acting as a pivotal line. Ultimately, these moves remind traders of the high-stakes nature of crypto markets, where whale actions can create ripple effects, urging caution and data-driven decisions to capitalize on emerging trends.
Lookonchain
@lookonchainLooking for smartmoney onchain