BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) Breaks Downtrend with 22% Volume Surge Amid Strong Institutional Inflows, Bull Flag Pattern Signals Upside

According to @FarsideUK, BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) snapped a four-week downtrend in trading volume last week, surging 22.2% with 210.02 million shares traded. This volume increase is supported by strong institutional demand, as IBIT saw net inflows of $1.31 billion last week and has accumulated $3.74 billion this month, according to data from SoSoValue. From a technical perspective, IBIT has formed a bull flag pattern, mirroring a similar bullish continuation signal on the Bitcoin (BTC) price chart. A breakout could signal an extension of the uptrend. Further reinforcing the institutional adoption theme, BRN analysis suggests a structural shift with corporations and institutions now dominating demand, maintaining a high-conviction view that prices will grind higher into 2025. For traders, Bitcoin's 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has emerged as a critical support level.
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Institutional demand for Bitcoin (BTC) is showing no signs of slowing down, with BlackRock's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (IBIT) leading the charge. In a significant reversal, IBIT's trading volume snapped a four-week downtrend, signaling renewed investor appetite. For the week ending June 27, the Nasdaq-listed ETF saw its share price rise by 3.49% as a total of 210.02 million shares were traded. According to data from TradingView, this represents a substantial 22.2% increase from the 171.74 million shares traded in the previous week, marking the first weekly volume growth since the third week of May. This surge in activity is underpinned by powerful and consistent capital inflows. Last week alone, IBIT attracted a net inflow of $1.31 billion, building on the $1.23 billion from the week prior. Data from SoSoValue confirms that the fund has amassed an impressive $3.74 billion in investor capital this month.
Bitcoin ETFs Signal Bullish Continuation as Institutions Dominate
The positive momentum is not confined to BlackRock's offering. The eleven U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs have collectively recorded over $4 billion in net inflows this month, their third consecutive month of positive flows. This sustained institutional buying pressure is creating a compelling technical picture. The price chart for IBIT has formed a distinct bull flag pattern, which mirrors a similar bullish continuation setup on the spot BTC price chart. A confirmed breakout from this pattern would strongly suggest an extension of the rally that began from the early April lows near $42.98. The market is witnessing a structural shift, according to Valentin Fournier, lead research analyst at BRN, who noted that corporations and institutions are now the dominant force in demand. This dynamic creates a favorable risk/reward asymmetry for investors, with BRN maintaining a high-conviction view that prices will continue to grind higher into 2025.
Market Navigates Headwinds with Cautious Optimism
Despite the underlying bullish sentiment from ETF flows, the broader crypto market has been trading with a degree of caution. Both Bitcoin and Ether (ETH) have remained in a relatively narrow range, reacting mutedly to both geopolitical developments and positive industry news. A key event on the horizon is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. While the market widely expects the central bank to hold rates steady, traders are closely watching for any changes in commentary from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the future rate trajectory. According to analysis from XBTO, capital flows have become more selective and risk-averse. The firm's Market Factor, a proxy for liquid crypto assets, fell by 4.06%, indicating that while major assets like BTC held firm, a wider basket of altcoins experienced a more significant sell-off. However, this is seen as a controlled de-risking and capital consolidation rather than a panic-driven flight from the asset class.
Behind the scenes, institutional adoption continues to gather pace. Investment banking giant JPMorgan recently filed for a crypto-focused platform, JPMD, which aims to offer a suite of services including trading, exchange, and digital asset issuance. Furthermore, MicroStrategy announced the acquisition of over 10,100 BTC for $1.05 billion last week, one of the most significant corporate purchases of the year. From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin's 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has proven to be a formidable support level, having defended against downside moves on at least two occasions this month. A break below this critical average could invite stronger selling pressure, making it a key level for traders to monitor. Meanwhile, derivatives data from Deribit shows bullish sentiment is concentrated in longer-dated BTC options contracts post-August, suggesting traders are positioning for price appreciation later in the year.
Farside Investors
@FarsideUKFarside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.