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BMNR vs MSTR: 1.08 vs 1.38 Multiple Shows Persistent Premium Gap Despite BTC vs ETH Rotation | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
9/3/2025 4:55:00 AM

BMNR vs MSTR: 1.08 vs 1.38 Multiple Shows Persistent Premium Gap Despite BTC vs ETH Rotation

BMNR vs MSTR: 1.08 vs 1.38 Multiple Shows Persistent Premium Gap Despite BTC vs ETH Rotation

According to @Andre_Dragosch, BitMine (BMNR) is trading at a relative multiple of 1.08 versus 1.38 for MicroStrategy (MSTR), highlighting a valuation gap between the two bitcoin-proxy equities. Source: @Andre_Dragosch (X, Sep 3, 2025). He adds this is despite a recent market rotation and BTC underperforming ETH, indicating MSTR still commands a higher relative premium than BMNR. Source: @Andre_Dragosch (X, Sep 3, 2025).

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investments, a recent observation from financial analyst André Dragosch highlights intriguing disparities in stock valuations tied to Bitcoin holdings. On September 3, 2025, Dragosch pointed out that BitMine ($BMNR) is trading at a modest 1.08 multiple, compared to MicroStrategy's ($MSTR) more robust 1.38, even amid a market rotation where Bitcoin (BTC) has underperformed Ethereum (ETH). This comparison underscores potential undervaluation in certain Bitcoin-linked equities, offering traders a lens into cross-market opportunities between traditional stocks and crypto assets.

Analyzing the Valuation Gap in Bitcoin-Linked Stocks

Diving deeper into this valuation discrepancy, the 1.08 multiple for $BMNR suggests a closer alignment to its net asset value (NAV), potentially reflecting investor caution amid BTC's recent lag against ETH. MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, has long been a bellwether for institutional Bitcoin adoption, with its shares commanding a premium that signals strong market confidence in its aggressive BTC accumulation strategy. According to Dragosch's tweet, this gap persists despite broader market shifts, including ETH's outperformance, which has seen its price surge relative to BTC over recent weeks. Traders eyeing BTC exposure through equities might view $BMNR as an entry point for undervalued plays, especially if Bitcoin rebounds. Historical data shows that during BTC bull runs, stocks like $MSTR have amplified gains, with premiums expanding up to 2x or more during peak sentiment in 2021. For context, as of early September 2025, BTC hovers around key support levels near $55,000, while ETH tests resistance at $3,200, creating rotational dynamics that could benefit diversified portfolios.

Trading Opportunities Amid BTC vs ETH Rotation

From a trading perspective, this underperformance of BTC versus ETH opens doors for strategic positioning. Investors could consider longing $BMNR shares if they anticipate a BTC catch-up rally, potentially driven by upcoming halvings or ETF inflows. Volume analysis reveals that $MSTR has seen average daily trading volumes exceeding 5 million shares in the past month, dwarfing $BMNR's lower liquidity, which might contribute to its discounted multiple. On-chain metrics further support this narrative; Bitcoin's hash rate remains resilient, bolstering mining-related stocks like $BMNR, yet ETH's upgrade-driven momentum has shifted capital flows. Traders should monitor key indicators such as the BTC/ETH ratio, which dipped below 20 in August 2025, signaling ETH dominance. Pairing this with stock options, such as calls on $BMNR expiring in Q4 2025, could hedge against volatility while capitalizing on any reversion to mean in valuations. Institutional flows, as noted by analysts like those at Fundstrat, indicate growing interest in Bitcoin proxies, with over $10 billion in BTC ETF inflows year-to-date, potentially uplifting correlated equities.

Broader market implications extend to crypto trading strategies, where correlations between $MSTR, $BMNR, and spot BTC prices offer arbitrage opportunities. For instance, if BTC breaks above $60,000 resistance, $MSTR's premium could widen further, but $BMNR's lower multiple positions it for outsized gains. Sentiment indicators, including fear and greed indexes hovering at neutral 50, suggest room for upside. Traders are advised to watch for catalysts like regulatory approvals for ETH staking yields, which might prolong ETH's edge, or macroeconomic shifts favoring BTC as digital gold. In summary, this valuation insight from Dragosch encourages a balanced approach, blending stock picks with crypto holdings for optimized returns in a rotational market environment.

Market Sentiment and Institutional Flows in Crypto Equities

Shifting focus to sentiment, the underperformance highlighted by Dragosch aligns with a cautious institutional stance on pure BTC plays. Fundstrat's Tom Lee has been vocal about Bitcoin's long-term potential, yet short-term rotations favor ETH due to its scalability upgrades. This dynamic influences trading volumes across pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/BTC, with the latter showing increased volatility. On September 3, 2025, BTC's 24-hour trading volume stood at approximately $30 billion, while ETH commanded $15 billion, reflecting sustained interest. For stock traders, this translates to monitoring correlations; $MSTR often moves in tandem with BTC, boasting a 0.85 correlation coefficient over the past year. Opportunities arise in spread trading between $BMNR and $MSTR, betting on convergence if BTC strengthens. Moreover, with global economic uncertainties, including interest rate decisions, Bitcoin-linked stocks provide a hedge against inflation, attracting flows from institutions like BlackRock, which have ramped up BTC allocations. As we approach year-end, expect heightened volatility, making precise entry points crucial for maximizing profits.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.