BNB Price Analysis: Surging On-Chain Activity Fuels Rally as Bernstein Hikes Coinbase (COIN) Target to $510

According to @OnchainDataNerd, Binance Coin (BNB) has demonstrated significant strength, driven by a massive surge in network usage on the BNB Chain. On-chain data from Nansen reveals daily transactions jumped from around 4 million earlier in the year to over 16 million, while DeFiLlama data shows BNB Chain's decentralized exchange (DEX) volume surpassed $104 billion in the last month, outpacing both Ethereum and Solana. This fundamental growth supported BNB's price, which held firm at the $646 level amid broader market volatility. Technical analysis models point to a building uptrend with a series of higher lows, backed by unusually high volume suggesting institutional interest. However, a 6.9% weekly drop in BNB derivatives open interest to $750 million signals some trader caution. In related market news, a Bernstein research report raised its price target for Coinbase (COIN) stock to $510 from $310, citing the company's misunderstood potential. Bernstein highlighted Coinbase's dominant role in U.S. trading, its custody services for eight of the eleven spot Bitcoin ETFs, and the rapid growth of its Layer 2 network, Base.
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BNB Shows Resilience on Surging Network Activity as Coinbase Eyes $510 Target
Binance Coin (BNB) demonstrated remarkable strength in recent trading sessions, navigating broader market volatility fueled by geopolitical events. While assets like Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant swings, with prices on the BTCUSDT pair hovering around $108,025 after a temporary dip, BNB maintained a firm stance. The token held the $646 support level before pushing to a high of $658, with the BNBUSDT pair currently trading near $659.56. This price stability is not arbitrary; it is fundamentally supported by a massive surge in on-chain activity on the BNB Chain. According to data from Nansen, the network has seen a dramatic increase in usage, recording over 16 million daily transactions earlier this month. This figure represents a fourfold increase from the approximately 4 million daily transactions processed at the beginning of the year, signaling a powerful expansion of its user base and application ecosystem.
On-Chain Metrics and DEX Volume Fuel BNB's Momentum
The engine behind this growth is the burgeoning decentralized finance (DeFi) activity on the network. Data from DeFiLlama reveals that BNB Chain handled an astonishing $104 billion in decentralized exchange (DEX) volume over the past month, a figure that surpasses the volume on both Ethereum and Solana. A significant contributor to this volume is PancakeSwap, the network's flagship DEX, which alone processed $2.7 billion in daily volume during peak periods. This explosion in usage provides a strong fundamental thesis for BNB's value, as the token is used for transaction fees and governance within the ecosystem. From a technical perspective, the price action for BNB is forming a constructive pattern of higher lows, a classic indicator of a building uptrend according to technical analysis models. This pattern is further validated by consistently above-average trading volumes, suggesting that the buying pressure is driven by more than just retail speculation and may involve institutional participants. For instance, the BNBUSD pair saw a 24-hour volume of 3.359 BNB, while the more active BNBUSDT pair registered 76,504 BNB in volume. However, some caution is warranted, as open interest in BNB derivatives has declined by 6.9% week-over-week to $750 million, indicating some traders may be hedging their positions or closing out leveraged bets.
Bernstein Upgrades Coinbase (COIN) to $510, Citing 'Universal Bank' Status
In the traditional markets, cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) is capturing significant institutional attention. In a research report published Wednesday, Wall Street brokerage firm Bernstein substantially raised its price target for COIN to $510 from a previous $310, while maintaining an outperform rating. Analysts led by Gautam Chhugani argued that Coinbase is one of the most misunderstood businesses in the crypto space, positioning itself as the industry's "universal bank." Following the report, COIN shares surged over 4% to trade around $360 in early Wednesday trading. Bernstein's bullish thesis is built on Coinbase's unique position to bridge retail, institutional, and on-chain infrastructure at an unparalleled scale. The firm is seen as a primary beneficiary of potential U.S. regulatory clarity, such as the proposed GENIUS and CLARITY Acts.
Coinbase's Multi-Faceted Growth Engine
Bernstein's analysis highlights several key growth drivers for Coinbase that justify the ambitious price target. Despite intense competition, the exchange remains the dominant force for U.S. crypto trading and is the only crypto-native company included in the S&P 500. Its stablecoin business now accounts for approximately 15% of total revenue and is rapidly expanding through strategic integrations like Shopify. On the institutional front, Coinbase's custody services are critical infrastructure for the new wave of spot Bitcoin ETFs, providing custody for eight of the eleven approved issuers. This solidifies its role as a trusted partner for Wall Street's entry into digital assets. Furthermore, Coinbase is aggressively expanding its technological moat. The recent acquisition of Deribit, the world's largest crypto options exchange, and the explosive growth of its Ethereum Layer 2 network, Base, underscore this strategy. Base is already hosting significant tokenization pilots, including JPMorgan's JPMD coin, positioning Coinbase at the core of the financial system's future evolution. This ecosystem growth creates a symbiotic relationship with the assets it lists, like ETH, which traded at $2,536 on the ETHUSDT pair, and SOL, trading at $148.60, as Base increases utility and transaction demand for the underlying Ethereum network.
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